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2024 NFL Preview: Can Anyone Catch the Houston Texans?
SportsGrid
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7/15/2024
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Sports
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00:00
We go over to the Houston Texans who last year, countless people kept saying, nobody
00:08
saw this coming despite the fact that if you were with us on game time decisions, you very
00:14
much did hear the Texans 10 to 1 AFC South bet.
00:18
And it was a product of some CJ Stroud hype, some hype around Demeco Ryans, but also the
00:24
fact that that team did have a soft schedule they could take advantage of.
00:28
What's even more interesting, though, is now how the conversation has shifted for the
00:32
Houston Texans.
00:33
They have just completely replaced the Jaguars.
00:38
What I mean by that is if you look back to last year's Jacksonville team, runaway favorites,
00:42
nobody in this division has a pulse.
00:45
How could it not be them?
00:46
Best quarterback.
00:47
I'm not trying to downplay the Texans, but it's pushed everyone else in the division
00:53
aside.
00:55
I think the best way to open this up, and I'll start with you, Donny, is do you feel
00:59
the Texans are in a tier of their own when you evaluate this division?
01:05
You know what?
01:06
You take a look at the odds, right?
01:07
Plus 105, plus 270.
01:08
And then you see what you get after that.
01:10
But for me, it sort of has that Buffalo Bills feel for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
01:14
And the reason I say that is the It Kids last year were not the Texans.
01:18
I understand you thought they would have a solid season, but for me it was like it's
01:22
Jacksonville and it's probably everybody else.
01:25
And it turned out, quite frankly, that it should have probably just been the Texans
01:27
at the top of the heap from when we saw, like, oh, not buying in weeks three, weeks four,
01:31
weeks five.
01:32
Rookie quarterback.
01:33
Sooner or later going to hit the wall.
01:34
They never did that.
01:35
So when I look at this myself, I say, you're still going to have to reach down deep.
01:37
And also, you get paid a lot of money for Trevor Lawrence.
01:40
We're no longer looking at Trevor Lawrence, hey, young quarterback trying to be the franchise
01:43
guy.
01:44
He's paid to be the franchise guy.
01:45
They expect those expectations to be settled this season.
01:49
So for my money, I'm trying to gauge what I saw from the Texans last year and use it
01:53
towards this year.
01:54
Because if it's just that upward trend, watch out.
01:56
They might knock off the Chiefs.
01:58
But if it's year number two, sophomore slump is not the right thing to say.
02:02
But let's just not say an MVP trajectory for your quarterback and he just has a good season.
02:07
Is that enough to overtake the Jacksonville Jaguars if they're on top of their game?
02:10
That's what I'm trying to marry right now.
02:12
But I do agree with the odds right now.
02:13
Nothing that I saw last year from the Houston Texans tells me this year that they're not
02:17
going for it.
02:18
Everything they did in the offseason, the draft, they're going for it this year.
02:21
And I like the spot that they put CJ Stroud.
02:23
I agree.
02:24
I have Houston as the best team in the division and it comes down to CJ Stroud.
02:27
He didn't turn the football over.
02:29
Only four interceptions in the regular season.
02:31
And that's the main reason why I think they're the frontrunners right now.
02:35
You look at Trevor Lawrence.
02:36
Yeah, he got paid the money.
02:38
They started eight and three.
02:40
But he was turnover prone and back-to-back losses to Cleveland and the Tampa Bay Bucs.
02:45
Six interceptions in both of those games.
02:48
Travis Etienne was nonexistent as it related to the rushing attack.
02:52
And more pressures on Doug Peterson.
02:54
This team does not make the playoffs this year.
02:56
I think Doug Peterson could be on his way out in regards to Jacksonville.
02:59
I'm not a buyer in regards to what I saw from Trevor Lawrence last year.
03:04
I know he was hurt.
03:05
But again, he looked inconsistent.
03:07
He did not look confident where he wanted to go with his regional progressions.
03:11
And that's why I would buy into CJ Stroud and the Houston Texans as being the main frontrunners.
03:17
But I'll say this.
03:18
Anthony Richardson, Jonathan Taylor for the Colts, they should be a little bit priced
03:22
a little bit closer to the Jacksonville Jaguars as well.
03:25
Here's kind of my thing on the Texans.
03:28
And again, if you compare them to the Jaguars, the Texans did it earlier, right, in that
03:33
Trevor had, it was Trevor's second season where they were able to win the division.
03:37
But bringing in Doug Peterson after the Urban Meyer disaster class obviously was a big step
03:42
forward.
03:43
But if you look back to the Texans year, week 18, they had to go to Indianapolis and get
03:49
a win.
03:50
They did.
03:51
And then they needed the Jaguars to lose to the Titans.
03:54
Otherwise, they still would have not made the playoffs.
03:58
And I don't think anybody would suggest the Houston price would be what it is if the Texans
04:03
didn't make the playoffs.
04:06
And that was something that was out of their control.
04:09
So again, we're early out, right, fellas?
04:12
Everybody here is today locking in dead set.
04:15
I got you X, Y, Z.
04:17
But from a price perspective, it's too strong because of the things that led us to that
04:24
number.
04:25
It was the performance against Cleveland, I really believe, that got us there.
04:29
Again, a performance that was only made happen by a Jaguars collapse.
04:33
I mean, think back to the, what is it, four or five game losing streak they had.
04:38
It coincided with a Trevor injury.
04:41
So if this is going to be Texans as a maybe 12-win team, then OK.
04:48
But could these other teams bounce back?
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