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00:00All right, Adam Kaplan is our NFL insider.

00:08You can follow him on X for free at Kaplan NFL.

00:11He's covered the league for almost 30 years.

00:13He's been on sports grid with me for five years.

00:16He's undeniable, unequaled by his peers, and he's on coast to coast regularly and on the

00:22grid regularly.

00:23You can catch him all over the place on sports grid.

00:26Thank God for that.

00:27And you can even follow him on the sports grid app.

00:30So Adam, why don't we start with the Steeler story coming out of Pittsburgh with Sutton

00:35who's having a bad day.

00:38Yeah.

00:39So Cam Sutton, the veteran corner who the Lions cut earlier this offseason due to a

00:45off the field domestic violence issue.

00:48So Sutton signed a one year minimum deal.

00:51Today he was suspended.

00:53The Steelers were notified.

00:54He knew it was coming.

00:55It's not a secret.

00:56It's not six games.

00:57That's the baseline for domestic violence or a violation of personal conduct policy.

01:01It's eight games, not weeks.

01:03It's actual games.

01:04So he could practice with the team and train a camp.

01:06He actually can play in the preseason.

01:09Once the team sets its initial 53 man roster, he goes what's called on the reserve suspended

01:15list.

01:16So he doesn't count against the roster.

01:17They could replace him on the roster every serves the eight games.

01:21They would have to make room for him to put him back on the roster.

01:24What they'll do, and they made a trade for Dante Jackson.

01:27He was acquired in the Deontay Johnson trade with the Panthers, but Dante Jackson was expected

01:32to start anyway and Sutton with being the third outside corner.

01:36So their depth at the outside corner position is impacted by this situation with Sutton

01:41out for eight games.

01:42This is an issue.

01:43I'll look at Corey Trice, by the way, who was the seventh runner last year.

01:47They really like it.

01:48He suffered a torn ACL.

01:49He's doing well, I'm told.

01:51That's a guy to watch and train a camp.

01:52He's got a real shot, not only to make the team, but to contribute.

01:56I mean, besides Minka and Joey Porter Jr, again, this is their issue.

02:04People always say it's their offensive coordinator.

02:08It's their offense.

02:09They're so boring, this and that, but the reality is it's the back end of their defenses

02:13that has been killing them the last couple of years.

02:17They can't stop anybody.

02:19They got one or two guys and that's it.

02:20It's not enough.

02:22Yeah, it's the cornerback position.

02:24It's been the problem.

02:25Joey Porter Jr will be a full-time starter now, no question about it.

02:28He's their best corner.

02:29So that's something to look at.

02:30You're right.

02:31Those teams will spread them out.

02:32But Mick is back from his injury.

02:34Watt's back from his injury.

02:37They're a little bit older on their front, but this is going to be a good defense.

02:41But when you try to beat the Steelers, you don't run it.

02:43You throw the football.

02:44You and I probably would agree on that.

02:45All right.

02:46Let's do it.

02:47We're going to break down the AFC East today.

02:50Let's start with the Buffalo Bills.

02:52All right.

02:53So this is for training camp, right?

02:54So the Bills, you and I have talked about the Bills this offseason.

02:58It's really interesting.

02:59So their win total, the over at 9.5 is minus 160.

03:04Clearly the oddsmakers think that they'll do that.

03:06In fact, most people do.

03:07That's why the number is what it is.

03:09The under, by the way, is plus 130 at 9.5.

03:12Now to win the East, it's plus 165.

03:16You like them.

03:17Now's the time to get out on them.

03:18Now, the offense is going to change a little bit.

03:21Joe Brady, the offense coordinator, who took over for Ken Dorsey, who was fired during

03:24the season.

03:25They'll never be a run offense.

03:28Let's clear this up because there's too much misinformation out there.

03:30But they'll run the ball more than we've been used to with Josh Allen being the quarterback.

03:34There's still going to be a spread offense.

03:37That's going to happen.

03:38They're not the deepest team at wide receiver.

03:40The starters there, Keon Coleman, they're excited about.

03:43He'll be their ex-receiver.

03:45Curtis Samuel, they know him a little bit.

03:47They did a lot of work on him.

03:49He'll share time with Khalil Shakir at that number two spot.

03:52Samuel is probably going to play a little bit more.

03:56They're not super deep to tight end, but they're deep enough with their two guys.

04:01Kincaid's the guy to watch.

04:02The offensive line's undergone a couple of changes.

04:05But Pharrell, the issue with the Bills is on defense.

04:07I'm not really worried about their offense.

04:09I'm worried about their defense.

04:10Lack of a pass rush did them in last season.

04:13They're going to have two new starting safeties, one new starting outside corner.

04:15They need to get the pass rush back.

04:17Carver High's favorite player, Matt Milano, is back at linebacker.

04:20And man, did they miss him when he suffered that serious leg injury.

04:24They lost a lot of star players.

04:27And their back end is, right now, a problem.

04:32It's a weakness.

04:33And at some point, somebody just has to say it.

04:36Von Miller was terrible last year.

04:38What makes anyone think he's going to be better this year?

04:40He looked shot.

04:42And he's 35, which he turned in March.

04:44And he was coming back with an ACL injury.

04:46He took a pay cut.

04:48He's in the twilight of his career.

04:49Greg Russo's back.

04:51They have to figure out how they're going to get to the quarterback.

04:53That is a problem.

04:54They're not a big blitz team, by the way.

04:55They're a big zone defensive team.

04:57It's going to be hard.

04:59That is why, to me, the Bills should not be the favorite.

05:02I know they're the odds maker's favorite and the fans' favorite,

05:04because people are still loading up on the Bills.

05:06But the team we got number two here, the Jets, they're the team that I think is

05:10going to upset the Bills for this division.

05:12So you're going to take the Jets to win the division,

05:16it sounds like, what I just heard.

05:18And we know for a fact that this team, you know, I've always said,

05:23I've been here 25 years.

05:25Every year, I read the same thing in August.

05:28The Jets and the Giants are going to the Super Bowl.

05:31Every year, the same thing.

05:32That, you know, gang green this, gang green that, big blue.

05:36Oh, God.

05:38And they both stink.

05:40And all I've heard is that the Jets are going to the Super Bowl with Aaron Rodgers,

05:44and the Jets are loaded, and the Jets are deep.

05:48The Jets stink, and their coach stinks.

05:51Their coaching staff stinks.

05:54And then their quarterback played for five seconds,

05:57but now everyone's got them going to the Super Bowl, and you too.

06:01I don't know about Super Bowl, but here's the deal.

06:03The over is minus 150 at nine and a half, by the way.

06:07Nine and a half wins is the number.

06:08The under is plus 125, and to win the division, it's plus 190.

06:13Still, the Bill's a small favorite.

06:15You mentioned Rodgers.

06:16He's back.

06:16He looked fine in OTAs.

06:18Got to protect him.

06:20They redid their offensive line.

06:22Two new starters to tackle.

06:23They're older, though.

06:24Tyron Smith is their left tackle.

06:28You hope he holds up.

06:29They spent the first-round pick on an offensive lineman, Pashano.

06:33We'll see how he does.

06:35The right side, they brought back Morgan Moses.

06:40Three new starters, two tackles, so we'll see how that holds up.

06:43That does concern me, but the protection will be better.

06:45Defensively, they're phenomenal, possibly Pharrell.

06:48The NFL's best defense.

06:49They're terrific, terrific on defense.

06:51Not great at center.

06:54Great at corner.

06:55Great front, and they add Hassan Redick.

06:57If Rodgers plays at least 14 out of 17 games,

07:01they are locked to win that division.

07:02You heard it here first.

07:03If their defense is so phenomenal, how come they never win?

07:09Quarterback, man.

07:10You saw what happened last season.

07:12They didn't have a good backup.

07:13Now they got Tyron Taylor, who's a little bit better

07:15than what they had.

07:16All right, I've heard it all.

07:18I'm going to hurl, okay?

07:20I'm going to remember this.

07:22I think the Dolphins are going to be a problem

07:24for everyone in this division.

07:27Well, offensively, it's not the problem.

07:28They're working on Tua's contract.

07:30We'll see if it gets done before training camp starts.

07:32Their win total, also nine and a half.

07:35The over's minus 135, so on your point,

07:37it's really tight between the other two teams and them.

07:39The under nine and a half is plus 110,

07:43so clearly the odds makers think this thing's going over

07:45nine and a half.

07:46They're bringing back the same offensive personnel.

07:49OBJ's in there as their third receiver,

07:51where it was a problem last season, so they've upgraded there.

07:53Two new starters from the offensive line,

07:55left-guarded.

07:57The big issue for them is new defense coordinator

07:59Anthony Weaver, and a lot of new personnel on defense,

08:02Scott, five new starters.

08:03That's a concern.

08:04That's why they're the number three team for me

08:06in that division.

08:08Well, you know, I'll believe it when I see it.

08:11I think they're going to be a tough team.

08:12They made the playoffs.

08:13They lose in the playoffs.

08:14They got to learn how to win in the playoffs.

08:16They always fail when they get to the postseason.

08:20And speaking of failing,

08:22the Patriots are going to fail miserably.

08:25Four and a half win total, over minus 160.

08:29The honors, plus 130.

08:30So within division, the longest odds of any 30,

08:33of the 32 teams, plus 2,500.

08:36That tells you all you need to know.

08:38New quarterback, Drake May,

08:39unlikely to start their first round pick

08:41at the beginning of the season.

08:42Eventually, he'll start in season,

08:43but that's why they got Jacobi Brissette.

08:45They lack a true number one receiver.

08:47Defensively, super competitive.

08:49They're going to run the same scheme under Gerard Mayo.

08:51The defense won't be the problem.

08:53They get Christian Gonzalez back,

08:54their first round pick at corner from his injury.

08:56Offensively, Scott,

08:57they're going to have trouble scoring.

08:59They're a five to six win team for me.

09:00Actually, I kind of like the open four and a half,

09:02but it is telling when they only have four and a half win total.

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