- 2 years ago
- #Paytm responds to #RBI action, to pause loan disbursement for a few weeks
- Passenger vehicle sales jump significantly even as commercial vehicle sales fall
All this and more with Alex Mathew on 'All You Need To Know'. #NDTVProfitLive
Guest List:
Jahangir Aziz, MD, Head-EM Economics Research, JP Morgan
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- Passenger vehicle sales jump significantly even as commercial vehicle sales fall
All this and more with Alex Mathew on 'All You Need To Know'. #NDTVProfitLive
Guest List:
Jahangir Aziz, MD, Head-EM Economics Research, JP Morgan
_______________________________________________________
For more videos subscribe to our channel: https://www.youtube.com/@NDTVProfitIndia
Visit NDTV Profit for more news: https://www.ndtvprofit.com/
Don't enter the stock market unaware. Read all Research Reports here: https://www.ndtvprofit.com/research-reports
Follow NDTV Profit here
Twitter: https://twitter.com/NDTVProfitIndia , https://twitter.com/NDTVProfit
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TVTranscript
00:00 Good morning and happy Friday to you. This is NDTV Prophet. My name is Alex Mathew and
00:07 you are watching All You Need to Know. Over the course of the next half an hour or so,
00:11 we will tell you everything that you need to know to start your day on the right note
00:15 and also so that you have a little more time to plan your weekend. Let us start with the
00:19 headlines. The Dow resumes its record run as some of the top U.S. companies post strong
00:26 results. The Nasdaq 100 climbs 1.3 percent while the S&P 500 ends the day a percent higher.
00:33 No rating upgrade for India just yet, but the growth outlook is strong according to
00:39 Moody's. They say this in an exclusive interview. Adani Enterprises' profit more than doubles
00:45 on higher operating profit. Margins expand over 500 basis points to over 11 percent.
00:52 ATM response to RBI action says it will not disburse any loans. The stock ends the day
00:57 20 percent lower, wiping out over 9700 crore in market capitalization. And Baiju's major
01:04 investors call for the ouster of Baiju Ravindran and family from the board. U.S. equities gained
01:11 overnight on the back of strong earnings by a few of the largest listed companies in the
01:16 world. The Dow gained over 350 points to close at another record high while the S&P 500 and
01:22 the Nasdaq climbed over a percent each. Amazon and Meta both announced better than expected
01:28 growth outlook while Apple reported notable weakness in China and that affected shares
01:34 in extended trading. Oil meanwhile has fallen after a choppy session as traders take into
01:39 account conflicting reports on the progress of an agreement between Israel and Hamas to
01:46 pause the war. As of this morning Brent crude was trading at below 79 dollars to the barrel.
01:51 Remember just not too long back it was trading at over 83 dollars to the barrel. In the Asia
01:57 Pacific region you've had a mostly positive start at least the early risers two of them
02:01 starting in the green. The Nikkei 225 was lower last I checked but it has in fact again
02:07 ground it is trading with gains of 1 percent right now. Let's talk about let's talk about
02:15 a few factors from the interim budget yesterday and of course it took center stage and it
02:21 was described at the end of it as a bond market budget. And the reason for that is the prudence
02:28 that the finance minister and her team displayed in the setting up of the interim budget. Most
02:36 prominent of course was that fiscal deficit number 5.8 percent for FY 24 and 5.1 percent
02:44 projected for FY 25. And what's more the finance minister said repeatedly yesterday that she
02:51 is confident of the glide path to below 4.5 percent in FY 26. Now this was music to the
02:58 ears of a lot of bond market participants in India because this describes the government's
03:05 shift from a spending driven economy and government spending at that to a more pragmatic fiscal
03:14 approach to managing the finances of the government. Now why is that important particularly this
03:21 year because of the inclusion of India in the global bond index by J.P. Morgan. In fact
03:28 here is my colleague Samina Inamda, apologies, Samina Nalwala speaking with Jahangir Aziz,
03:36 the managing director and head of emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan.
03:44 Thank you so much for joining us. I'm Samina Nalwala. I'm Jahangir Aziz. I'm the managing
03:51 director of emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director
03:58 of the emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:05 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:12 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:19 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:26 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:33 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:40 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:47 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
04:54 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:01 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:08 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:15 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:22 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:29 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:36 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:42 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:49 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
05:55 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:02 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:08 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:15 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:21 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:28 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:34 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:41 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:47 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
06:54 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:00 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:07 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:13 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:20 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:26 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:33 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:39 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:46 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:52 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
07:59 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:05 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:12 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:18 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:25 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:31 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:38 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:45 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:52 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
08:59 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:06 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:12 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:19 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:25 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:32 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:38 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:45 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:51 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
09:58 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
10:04 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
10:11 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
10:17 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan. And I'm also the managing director of the
10:24 emerging market economics at J.P. Morgan.
10:29 - Do you also think this could be more directional of course. So with India's
10:34 inclusion in the JPM, there's also conversations that we might be in the Bloomberg
10:38 bond index. Now with this very strong commentary coming in where you've got to
10:43 wake up and notice India now, right? And the Prime Minister's done that. He's not
10:48 just put us on the map, he's also created a very credible growth dominated country.
10:53 And he's got a 4.5% number, 4.5% target number in F526. We could see some more
10:59 inclusions come our way and that could again spur up the bond market.
11:03 - Yeah, I mean it's typically the case that, you know.
11:06 - So that conversation will continue in fact on our social media platforms. And if
11:11 you continue watching this and would like to watch it later, you can catch it later
11:15 in the day of course. Let's turn to earnings now. And Adani Enterprises reported
11:20 a doubling of its net profit in the quarter gone by to over Rs.1880 crore.
11:25 In fact, very close to the Rs.1900 crore mark. And here's in fact what Jyotish
11:32 Inder Singh, the CFO of Adani Group had to say about the company's growth plans earlier.
11:38 - In our Adani new industries, green hydrogen ecosystem, our target of 10 gigawatt
11:45 green hydrogen integrated manufacturing ecosystem is progressing well.
11:50 In addition to our existing 4 gigawatt solar module manufacturing capacity, we are now
11:54 ready to commission India's first ingot wafer line of 2 gigawatt. A critical input
12:00 for our solar manufacturing. We are also ramping up our recently commissioned
12:05 wind manufacturing. We have already produced 15 sets of 5.2 megawatt wind turbines each.
12:11 This is India's largest and have an order book of 142 sets. We have received a letter
12:17 of award from Solar Energy Corporation of India for setting up annual electrolyzer
12:21 manufacturing capacity of 198.5 megawatt. Civil Foundation and flooring works are
12:27 completed for testing and laboratory setup.
12:29 - Now a standard disclaimer here. NDTV profit is part of the NDTV Group which is
12:35 owned by AMG Media Networks which is also owned by Adani Group. Let's talk about
12:42 Tata Motors then. It is going to report its third quarter earnings today and in fact
12:47 it gained significance in a week when it has gone past Maruti Suzuki, albeit briefly,
12:54 on market capitalization. It is likely to report a net profit jump of as much as 50%
13:01 to talk about why that is, Vinay is joining. And Vinay, I would think that this is on
13:06 account of a significant rebound in performance by Jaguar Land Rover.
13:10 - Yes, exactly. As you know that JLR contributes around 60% of the company's
13:17 revenues whenever we see any quarterly earnings from the company. So JLR is the
13:22 reason that the company is turning around. So JLR sales if you see in the quarter
13:26 excluding the China joint venture rose 27% to 1.01 lakh units in the quarter.
13:32 If you see the sales in the Tata Motors that is the Indian company, the passenger
13:36 vehicle sales rose 5% while the commercial vehicle sales rose 1%. So you're clearly
13:42 seeing that there is this divergence of growth in sales at JLR and at Tata Motors.
13:47 So JLR is driving this profit jump of 54% in the quarter and in December.
13:53 Management has already guided that the performance in the second half of the
13:56 fiscal is going to be better than the first half. And that is because the healthy
14:01 order book at JLR, new product launches at the passenger vehicle segment and
14:05 commercial vehicle demand will drive performance. That is what management has
14:09 said. And if you see that this is also a quarter where we can say that we are now
14:14 comparing profit with profit because before that for many quarters we were
14:18 comparing profits with losses because this is going to be the fifth consecutive
14:24 quarter where the company is going to report profit that was Bloomberg's
14:28 consensus estimates say. So this is a story of turnaround which has been
14:32 completed and now we need to see how the growth in profit takes on.
14:37 Vinay, while you're with us why don't we also talk about the latest data on the
14:42 volume front for India's auto manufacturers. We're going to see a few
14:47 numbers trickle in today as well but what can you tell us?
14:50 So if you have seen the data print we can see that there is a clear
14:55 divergence between what the data has come for passenger vehicles and two
14:59 wheelers and commercial vehicles and tractors. So passenger vehicles and two
15:03 wheelers have shown growth. If you see just in the passenger vehicle segment
15:07 the growth has come because of the inventory build up because it got
15:11 depleted in December after car makers offered heavy discounts. It cleared
15:18 the inventory at the retail level so now they are sending dispatches to
15:22 dealerships to build this inventory up again. So this has led to growth in
15:26 the passenger vehicle segment. In the two wheeler segment the story of
15:29 gradual recovery is playing out and you can see that double digit growth is
15:33 there in the wholesale numbers of all the two wheeler makers except Royal
15:39 Enfield where there is a problem with the affordable segment of the company.
15:44 So there you can see the growth is a little bit lower but if you see the
15:48 major pack the double digit growth is there in three companies. In the
15:52 commercial vehicle segment the sales have been lower just because the heavy
15:57 vehicle sales are not contributing as much as we have seen in the last few
16:01 months. In the tractor sales as well the sales are going to be softer for
16:05 the coming months as well and this is because of the delayed sowing and that
16:09 has affected the agriculture activity in the rural areas. Got it. All right.
16:13 Thanks so much Vinay for joining in and giving us that perspective. We have
16:16 to step into a very quick break. We've got stock specific news to tell you
16:20 about on the other side so do stay tuned.
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18:16 All right. Welcome back. You're watching All You Need To Know. Let's talk about
18:30 the stocks that you need to watch out for in trade today. In fact we've got
18:34 Mahanagar Gas among them to talk about and Varsha is joining in to tell you
18:39 more about that. Varsha what can you tell us? Good morning Alex. So as you rightly
18:43 said starting with Mahanagar Gas it has acquired 100% equity in Unison Enviro
18:47 at 562 crore. Now this is the this is company's first acquisition. Also Ashoka
18:52 previously Ashoka Bilcon an investment fund by Morgan Stanley had had equity
18:59 in this company. Now acquisition will expand core business of city gas
19:03 distribution. Also if you see companies working with BMC to set up biogas plant
19:07 based on municipal solid waste and hydrogen EV renewables are adjacent areas
19:12 to expand its energy portfolio. Next we have NMDC where we have business
19:17 updates where sales is up almost 19% year on year and production is up 8%.
19:22 This is monthly update and if you see the cumulative update production is up 16%
19:27 while sales is up 23%. And lastly we have Prime Focus where they have approved
19:32 a 4000 crore funds through right issue. Issue prices are at 90 per share and record
19:37 date to be notified later. Absolutely. Thanks so much Varsha for bringing us
19:42 those details. Let's talk about Interglobe Aviation then. It's expected to post
19:47 a strong profit growth in the third quarter and that is likely to be driven
19:51 by improving passenger yields and also an increase in fare prices. Anushi
19:55 Vakaria is joining in to give you some more details there. Anushi what can you
19:59 tell us about the performance of the company in the quarter gone by?
20:02 Absolutely. So if you have to look at Indigo's numbers the street is expecting
20:07 there to be some strong set of numbers with the revenue peg that to grow about
20:11 22% while EBITDA is seeing about a 27% increase. So this is on the back of the
20:16 one of events also which took place like the World Cup event and some special
20:20 festivities which does fuel the Q3 in general. While we talk about the EBITDA
20:25 is expected to rise about 27% to about 4700 crores while the margins are seen
20:31 improving at about 26% compared to about 25%. This is on the back of the fuel
20:37 prices now that they are incorporating which is the increase with the
20:41 introduction of fuel charge in their airfare prices. So this is again going to
20:46 give a boost to their profitability. So that is another thing that we should be
20:49 watching out for how that fares for the next quarter as well. For the key things
20:54 that we should continue to watch out for is one is the industry consolidation
20:58 that is happening with the grounding of several aircrafts over the last few
21:02 months. So we have to see if there is some considerable market share gains
21:06 going into the quarter 4. Along with that we have to also watch out for the
21:10 expected impact on the capacity guidance that they have given which is expected
21:16 to grow about north of mid-teens. So that is one thing we need to consider going
21:21 forward. So that is the preview on Indigo.
21:24 All right. Thanks so much Anushi. Let's talk about Jupiter Wagons as well as
21:28 Texmaco Rail and more. They have all posted their third quarter results and
21:32 Mahima is joining in to give you some perspective on that. Of course, the
21:36 railway stocks were little bit disappointed in trade yesterday because
21:39 of the lack of clarity on the spend by the government in FY25. But what about
21:43 the earnings for the third quarter Mahima?
21:45 Well, yes, the earnings for the third quarter have been very good for both
21:50 Jupiter Wagons and Texmaco. If we talk about Jupiter Wagons, the margins
21:54 improved to 13.6% in the 9 months FY24 versus that of 11.9% in 9 months FY23.
22:02 This is on the back of strong order book and robust manufacturing facilities
22:07 they have. And they have also acquired a lot of orders from the defense
22:10 ministry which is why the revenues have increased significantly. Then for
22:15 Texmaco, if we see the revenues have grown by 43% and profits have nearly
22:20 tripled. And again, this is on the back of strong order book. So both these
22:24 railway stocks have given extremely positive Q3 results. So these will be
22:28 in focus today. Then we have IHCL where IHCL recorded its all time high
22:33 consolidated Q3 EBITDA with a margin of 38.5%. It signed 28 hotels and 16
22:41 hotels opened in this fiscal year. And the robust performance for IHCL was
22:46 enabled by same store hotels clocking revenue per average room premium of
22:52 across markets and segment. Also, they successfully launched the new Ginger
22:57 Mumbai Airport Hotel and they clocked an occupancy of 80%. And lastly, we
23:01 have Bata where Bata has missed the analyst estimates and their net profit
23:07 has gone down by 30%. Sequentially also their EBITDA margins have shrinked
23:12 significantly. So this will be a stock to watch out for in trade today.
23:16 Alright, thanks so much Mahima for bringing us those details. Titan was a
23:19 stock that we were watching in trade yesterday. Towards the end of the
23:22 session you saw the earnings for the third quarter come through and in fact
23:27 it lost ground towards the end of the session and it would cut about 1.9%.
23:31 There are few brokerage reports that have come through for the company and
23:35 we have got MK that has in fact upgraded the stock. To tell you more about
23:39 what they are saying, we have got Mihika joining in. Mihika, what can you tell us?
23:42 Yes, MK has upgraded the rating on the stock from a neutral previously to a
23:47 buy at a target price of 4200. Now Q3 results were in line with MK's estimates
23:53 and it said that the better margins in the carat lane segment of the company
23:58 offset slightly weaker margins in the watch and the eyewear segment and they
24:03 also expect the EBIT margins of Titan on a consolidated basis to remain in the
24:07 12-13% targeted band of the company and they do expect a 29% net profit cargo
24:14 over FY24 and FY26. We also have a systematics report where the results were
24:19 a marginal miss on their concessions estimates due to the slow jewellery
24:23 retail business. Now this jewellery retail business was majorly impacted
24:27 because in a partial shutout period the timing was changed in December and
24:33 the gold prices did spike higher but the brokerage does think that the company
24:38 will be able to gain 7% market share given that there is a wallet shift to
24:43 travel and hospitality given the post-COVID impact and it does expect a
24:48 17-20% revenue and EPS cargo for the company over FY24-26.
24:53 Alright, thanks so much Meeka for bringing us those details. That brings us to the
24:57 end of this particular edition of All You Need To Know. Do stay tuned, lots more
25:00 coming up before the start of trade and you'll find all of that in India Market Open.
25:04 This is NDTV Profit.
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