Gold-Silver Price Fall: सोना-चांदी पहले रॉकेट फिर टूटे, क्या कह रहे हैं Experts?

Gold और Silver ने record high के बाद market में FOMO बढ़ा दिया और फिर Profitbooking के चलते बुरी रह टूट गए... Rally खत्म हुई या अभी असली चाल बाकी है? Silver की तेजी, Gold की dip और Union Budget 2026 की एक घोषणा खेल पलट सकती है। Investors के लिए ये मौका है… या बड़ा trap? फैसला अब बेहद crucial है...

#GoldPrice #SilverPrice #GoldSilver #ProfitBooking #FOMO #CommodityMarket #GoldDip #SilverRally #UnionBudget2026 #BudgetImpact #InvestmentAlert #MarketVolatility
#SafeHaven #WealthProtection #InvestorAlert

Also Read

Gold Rates Crash Today: Gold Rate In Chennai Falls Rs 23,500, Gold Down In Hyderabad Too; 24K, 22K, 18K Gold :: https://www.goodreturns.in/news/gold-rates-crash-today-gold-rate-in-chennai-falls-rs-23500-gold-in-hyderabad-24k-22k-18k-gold-prices-1483489.html?ref=DMDesc

Gold Rates In India Today Live Updates: Gold & Silver Halts Record Rally As Trump Pulls Back Tariffs Threat :: https://www.goodreturns.in/news/gold-rates-today-live-updates-mcx-gold-silver-prices-fall-on-22-jan-check-24k-22k-18k-gold-prices-1483433.html?ref=DMDesc

Gold & Silver Strong Rally Changed Face Of Commodity Market At MCX; Zerodha's Nithin Kamath Explains :: https://www.goodreturns.in/news/gold-silver-strong-rally-changed-face-of-commodity-market-at-mcx-zerodha-nithin-kamath-explains-1483431.html?ref=DMDesc

~HT.96~

Transcript

00:00Hello and welcome, you are looking at Good Returns. I am with you, I am with you.

00:15Gold is about 1.5 lakhs. Chandy has 3 lakhs.

00:21You can clearly see that in the commodity market, there is a lot of time.

00:25You can see both Sun and Chandy.

00:30So, what do you want to do?

00:32Do you want to invest?

00:34If you have invested, go to wait and watch.

00:37Or do you want to do a profit booking?

00:39Now, what are you doing in this video?

00:43We have a very special guest with you.

00:46Renisha Chenani Ji is joined with us.

00:49Ma'am, welcome to Good Returns.

00:52Thank you. Thanks for inviting me.

00:55First of all, we will ask you, how are these commodities' outlook?

01:01How are the gold and silver?

01:04And the biggest thing is, Niveshuk is a little confused and a little scared.

01:08The rally has not been missed. How are Niveshuk's FOMO factors?

01:11We have seen a phenomenal return in the last 2-3 years in the last 2-3 years.

01:18In fact, silver has outperformed quite a lot.

01:20In the last 2-3 years, the price rises in the last 2-3 years.

01:24The price rises in the last 2-3 years.

01:26I think silver has been pretty strong.

01:28Yes, fundamentals were quite strong, particularly.

01:31Industrial demand was quite strong.

01:33It was a lot of supply deficit in the last 4-5 years.

01:36The boom in the prices, I think, I haven't expected too much to have a fast lot of efficiency.

01:42expected but as b prices now you know 95 dollars

01:47ka level silver ne touch kiya hai sava 3 lakh and gold ne

01:50ormust 1.5 lakh ka level cross ka liya hai

01:54ah to yes ea fomo here market mein kaapi hai

01:57ki hamin ye rally miss ka li ab kya karna chahiye

02:00so i would advise is ki abhi kisi ko agar newly enter hoona hai is market mein

02:06so pura lump sum amount na invest karein thoda risk factor jahada

02:10rahe ga batik staggered way me investment karna start kare

02:13sakte hai ar mahini aap thoda thoda invest ki jihye sip ke through

02:17aa sip ap eqf's mein bhi kar sakte hai and aap digital gold digital silver

02:22mein bhi kar sakte hai so staggered way me aapka joh average buying price joh

02:26hai wo sahi rahe ga and aap thoda aapna time horizon lamba rakhye

02:30aisa na sochei ki mihja 6 mahine me ek saal pe profit book kar lera hai

02:34thoda 2-3 saak at least time horizon rakhye to aapko bhoat hi

02:37achi returns milenge and aapne portfolio ka i would say at least 20 percent gold in

02:43silva me zharu ndal hai toh bhi aapka joh overall portfolio hai uska risk adjusted return

02:48kaafi aachha ho jayera so abhi bhi this rally still has more room

02:52aa to go higher aa to abhi bhi yaha phe investment kia ja saka hai

02:56ji aa ma'am lekin targets agar me aapse jana chao ki almost dhe laakka ka akra

03:05paar ho gaya hai gold ka tien laakke oopar silver chala gaya hai dhonohi commodities all time

03:10high per hai apne iske baar targets kya honge niche aayenge dhonoh commodities kya

03:15aa jis tarah se abhi aa geo-political tensions banne huo hai jo makro economic outlook hai

03:21toh fundamentals kaafi strong hai abhi toh thoda profit booking a sakta hai but it would be like ki

03:28agar four steps uh prizes higher jari hai toh it will only come back by only one step

03:34aa otherwise mujhe lagta hai for next two-three months abhi bhi upside momentum continue rahe ga so

03:39so yeh rally mujhe lagari hai gold aa five thousand dollars across kar sata hai next two-three

03:44mahinay mein and aa silver jo hai mujhe lag ra hai ki hundred dollars ki level across kar sakti

03:50hai in short term joh indian prizes mein lag-lag silver ki level rahegi aa saadhe three lakh ki

03:55and aa gold ka jo target hai mera aa index uh in mei short term mujhe lag ra hai ki one

04:01lakh sixty thousand sixty five thousand tak ke am levels dek sakti hai in yeh short term targets

04:06on long term mujhe lagta hai by this year end agar isi tarah se you know geopolitical tensions

04:12banne rahe ah jis tarah se abhi aap dekhray hai hai trump jo hai u.s ka apna power

04:17egressively sub-jaga apna show kar rahe hai ah woh china ke saadh you know ah already a cold war

04:25mein hai russia ke saadh cold war mein hai abhi european union ke saadh bhi wo ek trade tariff

04:31laga kar waha pe bhi war like situation create kar rahe hai iran ke saadh unko problems

04:35hain to pura ka pura world ek taraf aur u.s ek taraf is tarah se situation ho chukhi hai toh trump

04:41is having problems with everyone every country most of the countries toh ye eek aisa situation

04:47joh pehle kisi nahin dahi gha and is geopolitical tensions mein tandao mein political uncertainty mein

04:53joh safe event asset hai hard asset hai wohh sirf gold and silver hai joh perform kar rahe hai

04:59toh isli mujhe lag ra hai ji short term mein abhi bhi ye rally continue rahe gi long term

05:04targets abhi bhi yaan sa mujhe lag ra hai 20-25 percent higher prices dekhi jaa sakti by this year end

05:09baat sirf gold ki kye kare hai hai ham silver ke baro me bhi bata rhae hai ki gold ko outperform kar rahe hai

05:14renisha ji gold ko outperform kar rahe hai silver eek sammye mein kaa zhata tha ki poor man's gold

05:20hai silver lekin ab new gold hai silver kya sakti hai

05:25ji bilkul it is no more a poor cousin of gold silver ne bhoat hi achha perform kiya hai gold ke

05:31mokable pichle sasal dh menei pahele april mein joh gold silver ratio tha that was around 105

05:37aur abhi joh gold silver ratio hai that is below 50. matlab agar aapko 1 kg ah gold khari

05:43dna tha toh aapko 107 kgs 105 kgs jitna silver chahiye tha aur abhi sirf 50 kg silver chahiye

05:51hai silver kohat hi achha outperform kiya hai gold ke mokable because uski industrial demand kafi

05:58strong ho chukhi hai agar sirwar ka hum supply demand equation dhekhe toh lagbag ah joh

06:04demand joe hai woh hai 33,000 tons ka aspars har saal aur joh production hai joh

06:09amare pas supply aati hai recycled ya mining woh lagbag hoti hai 30,000 ka aspars

06:15toh joh yoh gap hai 3,000 tons ka yeh deficit create kar rahe pichle 4-5 salou se

06:21aur lagadar haap dhekh rahe hai ki industrial demand berht rahi hai so out of this 33,000

06:27uh industrial demand joh hua kerti thi pahle 15,000 tons hua kerti thi pahle 15,000 tons hua kerti

06:30but pichle 5-5 salou mein yeh demand berht ke abhi 20,000 tons jitni ho chukhi hai toh solar

06:37energy may joe green energy hai ev vehicles mein yaa phir ai data centers mein faiji

06:44technology mein joh har chhoti chhoti chhoti cheez naam silver ka usage dekh hai hai continuously

06:49demand bhoot jahda strong hai and hum investment demand bhi kaafi strong

06:53dhekh rahe hai loog baars and points khari dae hai actually to gain you know this rally

06:57os profit karne ke liye bade bade bade amount me baars khari dae hai toh hi continue se joh

07:03demand arhi hai prices ko support karri hai toh I don't think he ee bubble hai joh

07:07burst ho jahe ga this rally is fundamentally backed and mujhe lagta hai ki still uh abhi bhi

07:12am yaa se upside moment up aur bhi dhekh sakti hai agar bubble nahi hai aur agar yoh fundamentally

07:18backed hai toh phir sabse bada sawal yehi ki ki kis tariqe se isme nivesh karna chahiye

07:23ki ki return ke chances bhoot mazboot ho jatay hai aasi situations mein fundamentli

07:28back bhi hai bubble bhi nahi ban raha toh returns behter milenge kitna gold mein kitna silver

07:33mein kis tariqe se balance kare aapne portfolio ko ame hamishe ye advice karthi ho ki aap

07:39aapne portfolio mein jasne mei bata aya ki aap 20% gold silver rakhye toh usmei aap 10 to 15

07:45percent gold rakhsakte hai and five to ten percent silver rakhsakte hai ah silver jahada

07:50volatile hai iske thoda ba proportion silva ka kam rakhsakte hai otherwise if you can more take

07:55more risk a risk averse hai toh donoh 50 50 bhi rakhsakte hai and kis form mein karna chahiye

08:01i would say ki ah you know agar if you want to flaunt your assets aapko dikhana hai aapke

08:06bhi gold hai hai physical ah jewelry khari dna physical bars and points khari dna bhi hai

08:11my advice karthi ho ki ki ah jo auspicious days aate hai jase akshir titya aagya dhantirasi bali aagya

08:18saal mei ee 2 baara physical ah job ka lam sum savings saal me aap physically pay kigeje

08:23baars mein kige coins mein kige jay joelleri mein kige whatever form you want silva baars

08:28me kare saktte hai gold baars me kare saktte hai so 50 percent of physical amount invest kige

08:32and 50 percent of digital way me kige jay se mein hai bata ya ki aap sip ka lije toh har mahini

08:37aapthoda-thoda-thoda-thoda sip bhi kar rahe hai through ah etfs ya digital gold se digital silver

08:43mahi sip ho ta hai ah toh is sara se aap apna overall you know diversified rehte hai 50

08:49percent aapne physical buy ki hai jau aapke baas savings aari akshir titya aari diwali par

08:54and baaki har mahini thoda-thoda-thoda invested rehte hai so diversified aapka portfolio bhoat

08:58echa batta hai jay aap eek number hai mein uski taraf apka dhyan leker ke jatui gold etfs ka

09:06inflow joe hai wo december 2025 ka akra joh amfi najari kiya uske according

09:1211,647 crore rupae ka inflow aaya hai gold etfs me ab agar renishanji usko market se compare

09:20to market yani equities ki me baat karhi ho bhoat kum valuation yaha pa naza rati hai compare to

09:27gold etf ka inflow jah gold etfs ki joh issa me valuation hai kya ye risky situation nahi

09:33hai gold investors ke liye kya aisa lag raha hai ki ab interest thoda equities ki

09:38taraf ja sakta hai kyunki valuation gold etfs ke comparison mein bhoat zyadha kam ho

09:42gai hai kyunki ek time tha jab equities chod karke loog gold ki taraf a raha hai

09:46see pura ka pura apna portfolio eek jaga se hai dhusri zaga shift ko hi bhi

09:51nahi nahi karta sablog jitna ho sakhi diversify karte hai hai and jis tarah se gold

09:56ne athne achse returns dhiye hai 15% CHJR returns dhiye hai pichele 20 saal ho se toh

10:01ham dekha hai that is even more than nifty toh outperform kiya hai gold ne in short term

10:06and long term as a asset class toh sab apna portfolio eek joh diversify kar raha

10:12aur joh joh under allocated thay gold mein jaysse koji 5% 10% allocated tha toh

10:18apna portfolio ka allocation bada raha raha hai yeh sirp india me nhi ho raha hai world over

10:22ho raha hai ki allocations bada raha hai bade bade investment funds pensions funds

10:26woh bhi apna allocation bada raha raha hai boriserva meh so yes ah mocha li rhatta ki

10:31evolutions overvalued ho chukhi hai toh bhi bhi haan se bhoat zyadha hume ah

10:36inflows aate pe dekh saate hai kyunki joh india meh jayse apne ah value terms me bataya

10:41agar mein aapko volume terms meh bethau toh india meh just you know 95 tons ka

10:46aum hai gold ka and woh ek saal pehle ah 60 tons tha toh ek saal mein 50 percent

10:53hamne jahada inflows dekhi hai 50 percent jitna yeh aum bade chukka hai from 60 tons to 95 tons

11:00in only one year 2025 toh iski wajay se ah lagataar bhoat achi bhaing a rahi hai hai jayse

11:06meh nne bataya allocations bade raha aur ma expect kar rihun bhoat hi chel 100 tons bhi yeh cross

11:11ho jayega eek dho mahinye mein and in fact gradually aum bharata ni jayega etf etfs ka and

11:17jada se jada log abhi jueleri se jada yeh pasand kare hai ki bars and points mein

11:22hum physical bhaing kare yaa phir etfs mein bhaing kare kyunki wo investment ki tada

11:25dhek rhaen ah gold ko i think abhi bhi yaha se kafi jaga baaki hai etfs aur

11:30aur aachha outperform kar sakti hai and aur ismein holdings bhar sakti hai ah jo maam

11:36log current buying ki opportunity dhune raha hai unko suggestion kya hoga dips mein bhai karne

11:42ka suggestion hai yaa phir current prices pe abhi kharidari ki jasa sakti hai ah see dips

11:47milna pakarna un levels ko bhor difficult hai ah so iste mei bholti yun ki ah lam sam

11:53ek price pe gold or silver buy karna it's not possible for retail investors

11:58toh hamishaa passive way me aap ki jay si p karte hai yeh stagard way me nahi toh

12:03thoda-thoda kardi ji agar aapke paas lambsup amount hai aaj invest karne ke liye

12:07toh 25 percent do it at current price 25 percent do it at current price 25 percent

12:11aapko lagta hai ki thoda prices niche aare hai silver 10-15000 niche aare

12:15thoda aur 25 percent ndale aur 10,000-15000 niche aare ke toh aur

12:19ndale ki isse tarah se thoda stagard way me kare hai poora-poora amount

12:22eek amount eek price pe maddane adewais aapki timing nahi pakar baate hai nahi

12:27samaj jata hai toh the best way is sip kare le you you know consider it and

12:31bhol jaya har mahinay automatically aapke account se karta raha

12:34and teen saal ke baad dekhen toh aapka dekko kya aapki returns achwe bantte hai

12:39okey toh kul mila karke jitni bhaach hamaari hui hai abhi silver or gold

12:45fundamentally bagged hai aur bubble nahi create kar raha hai achi price rise

12:50dikhai dhe raha hai hai isliya agar investment karna hai toh aap apni risk

12:53profile ko analyze zaroor kar lene aur aapne financial advisor ki raya ke

12:57sath in doonohi assets ko positively aap dhek sakti hai investment ko purpose se

13:02renisha ji hamaara saath judnene ke liye bhoat-bhoat shukriya aapka

13:05volatile markets aur volatile commodity markets ke biech mei is tariqe ke expert

13:09opinions bhoat zyada kaam hain gaya maare viewers thank you thank you

Gold-Silver Price Fall: सोना-चांदी पहले रॉकेट फिर टूटे, क्या कह रहे हैं Experts? | Renisha Chenani

Category

Transcript

Comments

Recommended