Josh Reynolds Vs. Christian McCaffrey: Performance Analysis

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00:00 I looked at Josh Reynolds. He was down at 34 and a half when I took him. Not a large

00:07 amount but I think Josh Reynolds going to have some opportunities here around down the

00:11 perimeter of the field which is exactly where they need to hit him. You know JMO is going

00:16 to have some opportunities as well. Both of these guys are going to have to step up. I

00:20 just looked at in game states where the Lions had been losing and we saw a higher target

00:26 rate move from JMO and actually go over to Josh Reynolds. So that's one of the reasons

00:31 why I was on Josh Reynolds a little bit here. One other prop that I want to fit in here

00:36 just on the Niner side of the ball is this may seem counterintuitive because we're talking

00:40 about the Niners having a good day offensively here and maybe playing in positive game state.

00:45 But I do like Christian McCaffrey to go under his rushing attempts. And the reason why is

00:50 because I think for him to go over these rushing attempts you really have to thread the needle

00:54 here of a game that's close enough where the passing game isn't explosive enough to flip

00:59 the field and to score points too quickly to give the ball back to the Lions. But the

01:03 running attack is working well enough but the 49ers aren't pulling away too far because

01:07 otherwise then if you're up big you're going to be getting some of your other backs involved

01:11 in the fourth quarter. So it's just a very narrow needle to thread and there's lots of

01:16 other game states where if the run game is not working well enough or the pass game is

01:20 very explosive or they're not up big and they might be trailing so they're throwing more

01:25 or they're up big so they're going to be running with backups more. There's a lot of other

01:28 things that could happen here to force him to not exceed 20 carries and so that's what

01:33 I took there.

01:34 [Music]