AFL Finals Week 2 Preview with Billy Brownless & Dale Thomas | Powered by PointsBet | Tuesday, September 12
PointsBet's Billy Brownless and Daisy Thomas preview of this weekend's AFL matches providing their best tips. Head over Heart is sponsored content presented by PointsBet. Gamble responsibly - Call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
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00:00 [Music]
00:10 G'day punters, welcome to Head Over Heart, thanks to our very good friends at Pointsbet.
00:15 I'm Billy Brownless and this is Daisy Thomas.
00:17 Yes, I am here Bill and I'll tell you what else is here.
00:20 The second week of finals footy, how good, the sun comes out and it is do or die.
00:25 Win, stay in, lose, out the door.
00:28 And let's have a look, this is the most important award you can win in the finals
00:32 because that means you're playing well, your side plays well and you might win the grand final.
00:36 The Gary Ayres Award which is the coach's award but it's called after the great man Gary Ayres
00:42 and Max Gorn on top there, McCluggage was very, very good last week,
00:46 Josh Kelly outstanding with the Giants, who do you like?
00:50 Well you're going to have to figure out as you say who you think is going to get through you to the grand final.
00:55 So the punter is happy to tip into Max Gorn there, so he's going to have to get it done this week against Carlton
00:59 and then a virtuoso performance up at the Gabba against the Lions,
01:03 if it is then going to make it to a grand final Bill.
01:06 Virtuoso.
01:07 You can look that up when we get done.
01:08 McCluggage though, he was fantastic as well and you think he'll get the opportunities right throughout the final series
01:12 with Lachie Neal the one that most sides want to tag.
01:15 Petrarca could be value as well but do the D's get through?
01:18 Nick Dacos who hasn't played yet.
01:21 So coming for a pre-limb, then a grand final, two best on grounds, 45 possessions, you never know.
01:27 Have a look at Josh Kelly there at 8 bucks.
01:29 Let's have a look at Friday night footy, semi-final one, I'm loving this.
01:33 There'll be 95,000, 96,000 people at the G, Friday night, beautiful conditions
01:39 and a lot of them will be supporting Carlton.
01:43 The lid is off Bill, the lid is well and truly off and it just felt like on the weekend
01:48 if they were good enough to hold on, which they were, the confidence that's going to give to that young group
01:54 who hadn't played a lot of finals footy, that's the young part of that.
01:57 I think from here they are a dangerous proposition and Melbourne will be very nervous
02:01 because their forward line, get the peg out, it was stinky last week.
02:04 They are under the pump, they've got to win this one.
02:07 If they lose this, obviously out in straight sets.
02:10 Two years in a row, straight sets.
02:12 Where are the goals coming from?
02:13 Because they've got to kick 12 or 14 goals in this game to win.
02:16 The only option I can see, and they've done it before and when this issue arose late in the season,
02:21 Christian Petrarca goes small and they go with a really small forward line.
02:25 So you've got Fritz down there as well, Chandler played on the weekend.
02:29 I think there's your option if you are the D's.
02:32 There's Petrarca in your same game, Mo.
02:33 Yes, I'm going to take the total points over in this one.
02:35 As you said, a beautiful night for footy it is going to be.
02:37 Petrarca, who is, if the D's are going to win, he's going to have to kick goals, two or more.
02:41 Charlie Curneau, three or more and Paddy Coopes, 25 or more disposals, $8.68.
02:46 Yes, I like that. Very nice. Only a points bet.
02:48 I like Carlton in that game and I like the Giants in this one.
02:52 Port Adelaide, they've got their issues. They are back at home.
02:55 They'll be loving that. They'll have their supporters there.
02:57 But the Giants don't care. They've got the attitude.
02:59 We'll play anywhere, anytime and I like the Giants at $2.35.
03:04 Yes, and you'd imagine that's going to continue to plummet in too
03:07 because Port Adelaide, they've got issues with their back line
03:09 and the tools of the Giants are really starting to fire.
03:12 Their midfield is awesome. The Orange Tsunami is back in force.
03:15 Run, run, run.
03:16 Port Adelaide, though, I'm not jumping off just yet.
03:18 They've got a good record against the Giants.
03:20 Won their last three, which helps, but they are going to have to figure out a way
03:24 to stop the score from the Giants.
03:25 But I think this should be a high scoring, a real shootout.
03:28 But I'm going to go put the head through it.
03:30 Still going to stick with Port. The heart, null and void.
03:32 If you were going to have a same game multi, what would it be?
03:34 Yes, well it is this, Bill. I'm going to take the total points over.
03:37 Jake Riccardi to kick two or more goals with that depleted back line there from Port.
03:41 Caniglia to come back in, 25, nice and fresh.
03:44 And Jason Horne-Francis, 20 or more, $9.42.
03:47 $9.42 only at points bet. And have a look at this, Daisy.
03:51 This is magnificent.
03:53 This is the Daisy and Billy Browns Grand Final winner and Norm Smith winner.
03:58 Multi.
03:59 Brown low.
04:00 Prost, throw in a brown low, Billy Brown low.
04:02 So this is me. Butters to win the brown low.
04:04 Yes, nice.
04:05 Brisbane, the premiers.
04:06 I don't like that, but yes.
04:07 And Lockie Neal. If Brisbane are going to win, Lockie Neal is going to be the man.
04:10 He gets the Norm Smith. $50 only at points bet. What about yourself?
04:15 Well, I raise you this, Bill. I'm going to take the three-way tie in the brown low.
04:18 Three-way?
04:19 So Butters, Dacos and the Bont. Collingwood premiers, head, heart, come on, surely.
04:24 And if Geordie Dagoe lights it up for the Norm Smith medal, gets you $315 to one for your $1 investment.
04:33 How good is that? That is on the points bet, with everything else you need on your finals footy.
04:37 Mark and Bill, you have yourself a wonderful week.
04:39 I will.
04:40 And happy punting.
04:41 $300.
04:42 [Music]
04:53 Chances are you're about to lose.
04:55 For free and confidential support, call the number on the screen or visit the website.