Zerillo’s UFC Fight Night Model Projections for Holm vs. Aldana More


Another week, another slate of action on Fight Island. Saturday’s UFC Fight Night action will take place on Yas Island starting with a six-bout undercard starting at 7:30 p.m. ET followed by five fights on the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN. The action is headlined by 38-year-old former women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm as she is set to face Irene Aldana in the main event. This week, my projections will look a bit different from past versions. You can still see the model and find an edge for moneyline bets, exact winning methods, winning round props, and whether or not the match will go to a decision or finish inside of the distance below. And I’ll be giving short analysis of the fights I’m looking to bet this weekend, but the picks I’m making can also be found in the Action App. Check out the full betting odds for Saturday’s UFC card, with analysis and picks from for each fight below:Odds as of Friday evening and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks. UFC Fight Night Moneyline Projections and PicksAs a result, after examining all of the betting options, your typical UFC card can offer a substantial amount of actionable value. Below, you can find my crowdsourced fair odds moneyline projection for each of Saturday’s 11 bouts. UFC Fight Night Prop Projections and PicksIn addition to creating a crowdsourced projection for moneyline plays, I also collect data on each fighter to win by decision, knockout, or submission — which also enables us to determine fair odds for each fight to go the distance.