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八点最热报 | 明天就是马六甲州选的投票日。巫统和伊党联手掀起的“蓝色浪潮”，是否能在马六甲再下一城？前首相纳吉获准居家服刑，究竟会在最后关头催出抗议票，替希盟筑起一道防线？还是愤怒没有冲向巫统，反而倒灌回希盟，让首相安华再输一场，手上的筹码进一步缩水呢？（主播：萧慧敏）
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00:00A reminder before watching the video
00:01Popular websites have more content
00:04Tomorrow is the polling day for the Malacca weekly election.
00:07The blue wave launched by UMNO and one party
00:10Can they secure another victory in Malacca?
00:13Former Prime Minister Najib may be allowed to serve his sentence at home.
00:15Will a protest vote be blown at the last minute?
00:18Build a defensive line for Simon
00:20The anger did not reach UMNO.
00:22Instead, Simon will lead the anti-championship party.
00:23Let Prime Minister Anwar lose another battle
00:25Then let your chips shrink even further.
00:27Nanati's release allows UMNO supporters
00:30The background of Malay votes is greatly encouraged and is expected to rise.
00:32On the other hand, Simon's supporters may not be willing to rejoin the team.
00:36They might even choose not to vote altogether out of disappointment.
00:39The more Malaysian tickets are urged, the more Oom there is.
00:41Chinese votes are gradually cooling down.
00:43The winds of this election
00:44Will it ultimately result in a landslide victory for Barisan Nasional?
00:47Simon, however, lost so badly that he could only hold onto his original seat to survive.
00:51Even fewer situations
00:52How long can Anwar hold out?
00:56The fake election was ostensibly a contest for one seat in 28 states.
00:59But what shines brighter behind the scenes are two sets of political offensives.
01:02On one side, UMNO and one party joined forces
01:04Concentrate firepower on mixed constituencies
01:07To translate the momentum of Malay unity into votes
01:11Meanwhile, on the other side was Simon, who was suffering repeated setbacks.
01:14It is necessary to prove one's multiple approaches
01:16It still possesses cross-ethnic competitiveness.
01:19In the past, they relied on their opponents splitting votes.
01:21What about the benefits of this narrow victory?
01:23It has disappeared
01:24Tomorrow's battle
01:25Simon has to face it head-on.
01:27Securing more votes
01:28Expanding support for all ethnic groups
01:30Only then can we hold the position.
01:32Just at the crucial moment before the vote
01:35That level of home-based imprisonment was approved.
01:36This pushed another wave of discontent to a climax.
01:40Many people are asking
01:42Why are powerful criminals...
01:44They can receive treatment that ordinary people can hardly imagine.
01:47Simon was in the federal government
01:49They couldn't even keep their initial reform promises.
01:51Therefore, they held onto hopes for reform in the last general election.
01:53For Chinese voters who voted for Simon
01:56The most noteworthy thing to observe tomorrow
01:58It's not just about whether the votes will shift.
02:00Rather, it's whether they are willing to go to the polling station.
02:04Originally opposed to Najib
02:06Voters who support the New Movement Party
02:07Perhaps the stance remains unchanged
02:08But what truly determined the outcome of the battle was...
02:11Those who are disheartened
02:12Undecided swing voters
02:15They may not necessarily be dissatisfied.
02:17And voted for Barisan Nasional
02:18But perhaps because they are tired of it.
02:20Prioritize the overall situation
02:21Compromise repeatedly
02:22Choosing to stay at home
02:24For those who rely on high voter turnout
02:26For Simon, who was able to break through...
02:28Even if the supporters did not defect
02:30As long as you choose silence
02:32Stay home
02:33That would be enough to break down the defenses.
02:35And even if the Rockets hold on
02:37So what if it's a Chinese-majority vote bank?
02:38Mixed constituencies lost
02:40This means Simon has become a political island.
02:43Turning things around seems a long way off
02:47Malacca Weekly Selection
02:48Entering the final countdown to voting
02:50UMNO and One Party Pledge
02:52To amplify the momentum of cooperation
02:53Transform into a real Monday seat
02:55Simon, however, must prove...
02:57I still have confidence
02:58Withstanding this blue wave
03:00Just at this critical juncture
03:02Former Prime Minister Najib
03:03Granted home confinement
03:04Voters' pursuit of anti-corruption
03:06A sense of fairness
03:07Pushed back to the front lines of the election campaign
03:09The same judicial ruling
03:10Why might Barisan Nasional (BN) and UMNO score points?
03:13But instead, it caused Simon to lose blood.
03:15Political scientist Pan Yongqiang believes
03:17The key lies in what the supporters of both sides see.
03:19These are two completely different results.
03:21In the eyes of some Malay voters
03:23This is a victory for UMNO over its promises.
03:25But for non-Malay voters
03:27However, expectations for reform have once again been dashed.
03:30He will generally still favor unification by force.
03:33Or perhaps the Barisan Nasional coalition has a positive effect.
03:36In this great unity of Malaysia
03:38In this context
03:39In addition, it can be used to obtain home imprisonment.
03:43Let some Malay voters
03:45Still believe in unification by force or the Barisan Nasional coalition
03:48They are reliable.
03:50Not a single voter
03:52Especially Chinese voters
03:53I'm disappointed about this.
03:55Of course, this is unacceptable.
03:57So for Simon and Anwar
04:00This is all a shock.
04:01However, enthusiasm for voting has cooled down.
04:05Cannot elevate the status of Chinese Americans
04:07Or the voter turnout among non-indigenous people
04:09Anger may prompt people to vote
04:11Disappointment may cause people to stop voting.
04:13For Simon
04:15The most dangerous are not necessarily the supporters.
04:17collectively leaning towards UMNO
04:18Rather, they do not want to support their opponents.
04:20He was also unwilling to come out and defend the city for Simon anymore.
04:23Pan Yongqiang pointed out
04:24Following the Johor and Negeri Sembilan weekly elections
04:26The trend of cooperation between witch doctors and healers has taken shape.
04:28Simon's most realistic test tomorrow
04:31It may have already moved beyond striving for a breakthrough.
04:32Can we retreat to the point of being able to hold on?
04:34Existing positions
04:35Simon will find it difficult to win the election in the Sixth Point.
04:39It has the ability to stop this blue tide.
04:42In addition to Najib's release from prison
04:43Your opponent, who advocates for a military unification of the Barisan Nasional coalition, will receive some bonus points and additional strength.
04:48Simon's traditional supporters will also be concerned about his performance in office.
04:53Or perhaps Najib's appearance was met with disappointment and frustration.
04:56In this situation of poor performance
04:58Simon's election prospects are actually not very good.
05:03If he can retain one of the five remaining seats out of the three thousand.
05:07This can be considered a huge win.
05:09Retaining five seats would be a big win
05:11This statement perfectly illustrates just how dire Simon's situation was.
05:15Under pessimistic expectations
05:17Holding the position can certainly be considered a successful defense.
05:20But if Simon ultimately has no choice but to rely on the Action Party
05:22Retaining strongholds with a large Chinese-American voter base
05:25Other member parties, however, were unable to break through.
05:27This led to the complete loss of the mixed constituencies.
05:30Simon's political sphere will likely shrink further.
05:33In particular, one of the Egyptian state constituencies
05:36Because this is a mixed selection area.
05:38The most difficult constituency to win
05:40Therefore, the indicator is the state constituency of El Elijah.
05:42If this constituency can still be barely won
05:45Basically, it's still a strong motivation for Simon.
05:48Because it doesn't just mean that Chinese voters can hold on.
05:51He wouldn't necessarily lose local Malay votes.
05:56Sofian, director of the Modica Polling Center
05:58Similarly, the key indicators for this state election are...
06:00The focus is on whether Simon can expand.
06:02More support from Malay voters
06:04After all, even if the Chinese safe zone has a majority of votes
06:07It is also unable to fill gaps in other battlefields across regions.
06:10Simon must prove he can step out of his comfort zone.
06:13Only then can we regain the trust of people from different ethnic groups.
06:28What Simon will be watching on Election Day tomorrow
06:31Long past the throne
06:34What Simon will be watching on Election Day tomorrow
06:37Long past the throne
06:38What Simon will be watching on Election Day tomorrow
06:45Long past the throne
06:46Arithmetic for four or five seats
06:48The key lies in the voter structure behind the victory.
06:50The real impact of the Uilan tide
06:53It's not just about losing the state assembly seats right now.
06:55More likely to push Simon step by step towards
06:57A political island from which it is difficult to break free
06:59And the chain reaction of this election
07:01It won't just stop at the Malacca State Legislative Assembly
07:03This will directly affect Prime Minister Anwar.
07:05Bargaining chips in the center of Putrajaya
07:07Sufian pointed out
07:09If Simon cannot reverse the current downward trend
07:11Even if scattered safe zones are preserved
07:13Future bargaining power at the federal level
07:15It will likely be further weakened.
07:52Returning to the expected results of the Malacca state election
07:54If Simon ultimately retains his original four or five seats
07:58Can this really be considered stopping the bleeding and saving a life?
08:00It was still a great victory.
08:02It is important to know that the Malacca State Legislative Assembly
08:03There are a total of 28 seats.
08:0415 seats are the threshold for governing.
08:06Once there is one remaining seat
08:08They all fell into the hands of Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional.
08:10The other party still easily controlled it.
08:13More than two-thirds majority
08:15The scholar interviewed believed
08:16Such results at most demonstrate Simon's...
08:18Not cleared
08:20But it's far from being a party-led movement.
08:22More importantly
08:24Malacca state election defeat
08:25Although it will not affect Prime Minister Anwar's parliamentary majority.
08:27But if UMNO proves again
08:30Cooperating with PAS can lead to victory
08:32So he was at the negotiating table
08:33This gives you another way out.
08:35On the other hand, if Simon continues to retreat...
08:37Anwar wants to maintain the existing unity government cooperation.
08:40It will inevitably be more difficult
08:42Faced with Simon's political persecution
08:44Anwar will before the end of his term
08:46Becoming a turncoat prime minister
08:49If the Malacca basketball craze continues...
08:51UMNO becomes powerful
08:52PAS assists
08:53Anwar's bargaining chips will also shrink significantly.
08:56Anwar's real risks right now
08:58It may not be an immediate loss of the prime minister's seat.
09:00Instead, he continued to sit in that position.
09:02However, it is becoming increasingly difficult to control the direction of governance.
09:05In order to maintain the majority
09:07More compromises must be accepted.
09:09To avoid conflict between the ruling coalition
09:11More commitments will have to be postponed again and again.
09:13This cycle continues in depth.
09:15Then the government might be able to continue operating.
09:17But the space for reform is only getting smaller and smaller.
09:21Who is less afraid of a breakdown in cooperation?
09:22Whoever is more qualified to open the store
09:24If unification by force begins to be firmly believed
09:26I can win even without Simon.
09:28Simon, however, grew increasingly afraid of losing federal power.
09:31Even if both sides continue to sit at the same negotiating table
09:34The power dynamic has completely reversed.
09:36If things don't work out in the future, Anwar will no longer have the final say.
09:40Thank you for watching
09:43Thank you for watching
09:45Thank you for watching