00:00It's Friday, November 13th. Here's why global investors are paying attention to Korea today.
00:05Three things stand out. The trade boom is powered by AI. The Jensen-Hwang scandal is spreading
00:11across the AI sector. And Korea's bond market faces its first real test next week. Let's start
00:17with trade. Foreign institutional flows into Korea are now tied closely to one theme, AI
00:23infrastructure. Exports from Korea rose 93.7% year-on-year in October, and semiconductor
00:30shipments jumped 259.4%. China's exports grew 35% over the same period. Capital economics estimates
00:38that up to 80% of recent global export growth is concentrated in AI-related goods. Here's what
00:44the numbers show. Global trade is set to post its fastest growth since the early 1990s, excluding the
00:51rebound after COVID-19 and the global financial crisis. But that growth rests on U.S. data center
00:57spending. Oxford economics notes that U.S. imports of IT equipment, relative to GDP, fell 55% over two
01:05years after the dot-com peak. Asian exporters took the hit. Global growth dropped to 2% in 2001.
01:12So what does this mean for global investors weighing Korea exposure? Korean equities are heavily
01:17concentrated in AI hardware. That makes the trade boom a double-edged position. Moody's analytics
01:23warns that a sharp sell-off in AI stocks, combined with other shocks, could tip the global economy
01:29into recession. Earlier, we said Korea's export strength is an AI story. Here's what that actually
01:35means for you. Position sizing in Korean exporters now depends on the durability of the U.S. data center
01:42cycle, not just Korean fundamentals. Watch the sustainability of hyperscaler capex as your
01:47primary signal. That's today's AI Prism, Global Investors. This episode was produced with AI
01:54assistance based on Seoul Economic Daily Reporting. AI Prism is a Won Ifra award-winning series.
02:01We'll be back tomorrow.