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八点最热报 | 一场俄乌战争,打了将近五年,如今终于再次迎来美俄乌三方直接谈判。美国总统特朗普急着推动停火,甚至放话,可能与俄罗斯达成一项涵盖整个欧洲的“大交易”。特朗普究竟是想拿欧洲安全做交易,换取俄罗斯在乌克兰问题上的让步?还是想通过改善美俄关系,达到“联俄制中”的战略目的,甚至与俄罗斯联手,重新洗牌世界权力格局呢?(主播: 蔡心慧)
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00:00A reminder before watching the video
00:01Popular websites have more content
00:04The war between Russia and Ukraine has lasted for nearly five years.
00:06Now, direct negotiations between the US, Russia, and Ukraine have finally resumed.
00:11US President Trump is eager to push for a ceasefire and even a visit.
00:15A major deal with Russia covering the whole of Europe may be reached.
00:20Trump generously stated that these peace talks are likely not just about ending the war.
00:25So simple
00:25Is Trump trying to trade European security for something else?
00:29In exchange for Russia's concessions on the Ukraine issue
00:32They still want to achieve their strategic goal of uniting with Russia to contain China by improving US-Russia relations.
00:38of
00:39Could they even join forces with Russia to reshape the world's power structure?
00:45Trump is eager to push for a ceasefire
00:46There must be a strategic bill from the United States behind this.
00:50The longer the Russia-Ukraine war drags on...
00:52The United States must continue to invest military, diplomatic, and economic resources.
00:57Especially when facing China, a long-term strategic competitor
01:01The United States also needs to consider its military deployments in the Indo-Pacific.
01:04Competition in the technology supply chain
01:05So what?
01:07End the Russia-Ukraine war as soon as possible
01:08For Trump
01:09More than just fulfilling campaign promises
01:11It is more likely to free up strategic space for the United States.
01:15Trump is eager to end the Russia-Ukraine war
01:17Is the real goal to break up China and Russia?
01:20The concept that was once discussed in the US strategic circle
01:24Resurfaced
01:25That is, to unite with Russia to China
01:28What about this line of thinking?
01:29It's a bit like the 70s.
01:30Former US President Nixon exploited the Sino-Soviet divide
01:34Improving relations with China
01:35To contain the Soviet Union
01:36Now it seems Trump wants to reverse things.
01:39By improving US-Russia relations
01:41Weakening Russia's strategic dependence on China
01:45But what happened after the Russia-Ukraine war?
01:46Russia's economic and diplomatic support for China
01:48Increasingly dependent
01:50Putin really would do this for the United States
01:52Should we abandon China, such an important partner?
01:56Compared to allying with Russia to China
01:58What Europe should be even more wary of is
02:00Originally
02:01Russia-Ukraine negotiations focus on ceasefire territories
02:03Ukraine's security guarantees
02:05But Trump now
02:06However, the scope was expanded to Europe.
02:08Overall security architecture
02:10This touched a nerve most sensitively in Europe.
02:13Putin has long opposed NATO's eastward expansion.
02:16If Trump wants to gain concessions from Russia...
02:19Willing to discuss limiting NATO deployments in Eastern Europe
02:22Even rearrange the European security order
02:25Then this peace talk could turn into
02:28Exchange of interests between major powers
02:31The United States and Russia negotiated terms.
02:33Europe?
02:34But there may be consequences.
02:36When Putin became Trump's new flag bearer
02:39Europe may well become the biggest loser.
03:04Ten months Nine months
03:05The US, Russia, and the five-party trilateral alliance are finally preparing again.
03:07Sit at the same negotiating table
03:09Russian President Vladimir Putin confirms meeting time
03:12US President Trump further released optimistic signals.
03:15Claiming good cooperation among all parties
03:17Significant progress has been made in the negotiations.
03:19So, to what extent has it progressed?
03:21There are no specific details of the agreement yet.
03:24On the contrary, Trump previously
03:25After meeting with Russian President Putin's special envoy
03:28Suddenly raising a bigger issue
03:30Claiming that the United States may cooperate with Russia
03:32Reaching a huge and beautiful agreement
03:35It involves more than just Ukraine
03:37It could even affect the whole of Europe.
03:39From the original discussions on a ceasefire in Ukraine
03:42To this day, the entire European security architecture
03:44Also included in the discussion
03:45Trump suddenly broadened the scope of negotiations
03:48Ultimately, it was just to end the war.
03:50Or is the United States trying to ease relations with Russia?
03:54To lay out a larger geopolitical chessboard
03:57For Europe
03:58What is truly alarming
03:59What fancy name did Trump propose for the agreement?
04:02Rather, it's about what conditions might be involved behind the agreement.
04:05This is why Europe quickly stepped forward to draw a clear line.
04:09Polish Foreign Minister attends Porodheim event in Warsaw
04:11During the meeting of foreign ministers of the Council of States
04:13direct emphasis
04:14Negotiations must have a sequence.
04:17First ceasefire
04:18Let's talk about lasting peace again
04:19The European security architecture comes last.
04:41The Polish foreign minister's remarks were tantamount to a message to Washington.
04:44No need to reach a ceasefire agreement yet
04:46Just remembering the need to arrange postwar security for Europe
04:49The EU's foreign and security policy officials also attended the press conference.
04:52High Representative Karas
04:53A tougher stance
04:55He emphasized that Europe already has its own security architecture.
04:59Russian President Vladimir Putin has no power to decide on security arrangements in Europe.
05:02Even directly stating
05:04Any agreement not developed with the participation of the European Union
05:06The EU will not be responsible for implementation.
05:09Any protocol provided
05:42These words directly drew a red line for Europe.
05:45The United States can lead the negotiations.
05:46However, they cannot decide Europe's security on its own.
05:49Europe is not against peace.
05:51But without participation
05:53Forced to accept the arrangements made for him by a major power.
05:56Trump wants to end the war
05:58Europe, however, worries whether peace will come at the cost of its own security.
06:02Abu Dhabi negotiations next week
06:04What truly deserves attention
06:06It's not just about whether the US, Russia, and Ukraine can reach an agreement.
06:09Rather, it's when major powers begin to discuss the post-war world.
06:11How much room for Ukraine and Europe to determine their own future?
06:21The Russia-Ukraine war is not over yet.
06:22Europe, however, has begun to worry.
06:24Will I become first?
06:26A casualty of the US-Russia negotiations
06:30Trump wants to end the war
06:32Ring and US-Russia relations
06:33Even to reshape the great power landscape.
06:36But what if European security also becomes a bargaining chip?
06:39Can Europe still control its own destiny?
06:42Is Trump actually promoting peace?
06:45Or are they working with Putin to redraw the European security map?
06:49When Europe's future is placed on the negotiating table of major powers
06:52Can Europe retain its voice?
06:55That's probably the real key to this game.