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00:04Next Saturday, the 31st, is nomination day for the Malacca state election.
00:08UMNO and PAS seem poised to press their advantage.
00:12The advantage of the blue tide that Johor and Negeri Sembilan have gathered.
00:17Pushing south all the way
00:19A high-profile alliance, masking their private ambiguity.
00:22Originally, the seats for both sides had already been agreed upon.
00:25UMNO leader Mohd Zahid confidently predicted the day before yesterday...
00:29The two parties will appear together on the 24th.
00:31It was also announced that UMNO would contest 21 seats, with PAS and other allies also vying for them.
00:357 seats
00:36To create an atmosphere of Muslim unity.
00:39However, this political drama, which was originally intended to be a display of affection, was...
00:42The situation changed in the last minute.
00:45PAS suddenly announced today that it would refuse to share the stage with Barisan Nasional.
00:49They even changed their tune, saying they wanted the Barisan Nasional coalition to announce its candidate list first.
00:53He kept his cards under wraps until the eve of the nomination.
00:56Duanlin Brahim, Independent Chairman of the Islamic Party
00:59In an interview with Sunshine Daily, he said
01:01The Islamic Party expects to wait until October 28th or 29th.
01:06That is, the last week before the nomination date
01:09The lineup was only officially announced then.
01:11Although they verbally claim they will prioritize the Barisan Nasional coalition.
01:15Ensure smooth cooperation
01:16But the Islamic Party immediately revealed its true intentions.
01:20It has been publicly stated that the Perikatan Nasional (PN) coalition still hopes to secure two more seats.
01:25Come and join the battle
01:26Even if Tashi had unilaterally decided to allocate seven seats to one party earlier, then...
01:31However, Duanlin Brahim invoked the Supreme Negotiation Committee.
01:35They insist that nothing is settled yet.
01:37Does this mean that cooperation between the two parties is still a matter of mutual testing and uncertainty?
01:42plate
01:42The answer will likely only be known after the candidate list is released.
01:46Already
01:46Regardless, the alliance between Barisan Nasional, UMNO, and PAS is a done deal.
01:51The remaining game is merely a negotiation.
01:54How much should be given, and how should it be given?
01:56Elham Center Inspirational Think Tank
01:59Their analysis pointed out
02:01Even though there were undercurrents of tension below the stage
02:03The alliance between the two parties in the Malacca election
02:05It can still effectively reduce the degree of Malay vote fragmentation.
02:09This presents Pakatan Harapan with enormous challenges.
02:11Their organization's executive director, Sissomodin
02:14When interviewed by Oriental Daily
02:16To put it very bluntly
02:17Despite the grassroots votes of the Islamic Party for the unification of the military
02:20It may not be possible to achieve a 100% seamless transfer.
02:23But as long as the integration level is high enough...
02:26That's enough to rewrite the competitive landscape.
02:29In other words
02:30In constituencies where Malay voters are the majority
02:32Simon Yao's breakthrough will be more difficult.
02:35The battleground in some mixed constituencies is bound to be reshuffled.
02:39However, Sissomodin also reminded
02:41The alliance of witch doctors and healers is a double-edged sword.
02:43Barisan Nasional is very likely to need to take on
02:46The cost of losing Malay votes
02:48Based on Simon's desire to profit from it
02:50It depends on whether you can give voters a reason to support you.
02:55Because of dissatisfaction with the witch doctor alliance
02:57They may not automatically switch their votes to Simon.
03:00If Simon cannot present a convincing governing vision...
03:04These undecided votes are more likely to remain neutral.
03:08Or simply not come out to vote.
03:11Then we look back from Johor to Negeri Sembilan
03:14Then there's the upcoming Malacca state election.
03:15UMNO and PAS have gone from backstage negotiations to open cooperation today.
03:20hand
03:20If this momentum of cooperation continues into the next general election...
03:24What impact will this have on the political situation in Malaysia?
03:28Maslan Ali, political analyst at the Malaysian Public Welfare University
03:33He told Free Malaysia Today
03:35He said that once the two parties form a coalition government after the election...
03:38As long as PAS is willing to play a supporting role
03:43Then UMNO President Ahmad Zahid's chances of becoming Prime Minister will be greatly increased.
03:46Increase
03:47After all, it's in UMNO's political DNA
03:49The core issue that cannot be compromised is the inability to maintain control of the government.
03:52They would absolutely not do this to appease the PAS's prime ministerial candidate.
03:56He easily relinquished the prime minister's seat.
