00:00Why China should not have a conflict with India?
00:03First, more than two-thirds of the maritime commerce and 80% of the imported oil industry
00:08pass by the Detroit of Malacca.
00:10This is a loss of 1848 billion dollars for China in one year,
00:15which is not sustainable for China.
00:18The bad news for China is that in practice,
00:21India controls the entry of the Detroit of Malacca,
00:23because it controls the island of Andaman and Nicobar.
00:26In case of conflict with the China,
00:28the Inde would probably be able to use the United States
00:30and block all types of maritime commerce via its islands,
00:35paralysing the second world economy.
00:37The only option for China would be to control the Detroit
00:41and increase the delay of delivery.
00:46The only option for China, to nourish its immense industry,
00:50would be to increase its importations of oil from its granddaughter,
00:54China in anger, Russia.
00:56That's why China should not contrarize the neighboring countries.
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