00:00Cognize sa posibleng taas presyo ng diesel at gasolina sa susunod na linggo at magiging hakbang dito ng gobyerno,
00:06makakakapanayin natin si Department of Energy Oil Industry Management Bureau Director Rino Abad.
00:11Magandang umaga at welcome po sa Balitang Hali.
00:15Magandang tanghali po sa Rocky and Ma'am Pony at sa ating mga kababayan po.
00:19Opo, base po sa 4-day trading, malaki-laki yung oil price hike next week,
00:23aabot ng 10 pesos per liter sa diesel.
00:25Ano po ang dayla ng malaking talon sa presyo?
00:28Well, ito'y sunod-sunod pa rin doon sa ongoing na game changer na sinasabi na
00:36pag ito'y nasarahan yung petrol line ng Saudi Arabia,
00:40ito yung mag-i-increase talaga sa matagal ng tanong na
00:46so sobra ba tayo doon sa 80 to 90 peso pump price per liter na range.
00:52Ito, nangyari na ho, September 10, nagkaroon ho ng drone attack
00:57at nakashuck in ho yung petrol line ng Saudi Arabia.
01:02At for the meantime, my estimate na assessment and repair kung may gagawin
01:08could take 3 to 5 weeks ang initial estimate.
01:12During this period, umakyat na nga tayo to 90 to 100 peso range of the pump price.
01:20Mm-hmm. Meron na ho ba alternatibo na pagkukunan ng krudo?
01:26Yung palaging pinagkukunan for the past 5 months
01:30ay yung tinatawag nilang global inventory.
01:33Ito ho yung mga inventory ng crude oil na nakalabas na sa lupa,
01:39meaning nandun sa storage tank.
01:41At ito'y kinukunan natin for the past 5 months,
01:46ang average ho na estimate ng IAA ay around 2.7 to 3 million barrels per day.
01:55Dahil nga may problema ngayon yung petrol line at about 5 to 6 million barrels per day
02:02ang lumaalabas dyan.
02:04E parang ang nangyari ho ngayon,
02:06nadagdagan pa yung 3 million barrels per day nakakulangan
02:10at magiging 8 to 9 million barrels per day na.
02:15Now, may pagkukunan pa ba?
02:17Ang report naman ng IAA,
02:19around 7.9 billion barrels pa ang available doon sa inventory.
02:23Nang siya namang pinagkukunan yan.
02:26At ngayon nga lang, madagdagan,
02:28instead na 3 million,
02:30magiging 9 million na ho yan,
02:34may pagkukunan pa,
02:36pero hindi ho po pwede na,
02:39pag i-divide ho natin yan,
02:42eh may hangganan ho,
02:44may hangganan po ang kakayahan ng 7.9 billion barrels
02:48na naan dyan na sumusuporta
02:50habang sarado ho yung Persian Gulf.
02:55At dahil marami po talagang maghahati-hati nyan,
02:57magkano na po ba ngayon
02:58yung kada barilis ng crudo,
03:01ng Dubai Crude?
03:03Well, ang ating home latest,
03:05I would mention na lang
03:08yung kahapon na price.
03:11Meron na ho tayong Dubai Crude
03:14is at 123 US Dollar per barrel.
03:18So, above 80 dollars na po ito, ano ho?
03:22Matagal na ho ba ng above 80 dollars ito?
03:26Yung, well, 123 na ho, malayo na ho yan sa 80 US Dollar per barrel.
03:33Kasi kung pagbabasayan po kasi yung Republic Act 12.316,
03:36pwedeng suspindi ng Pangulo yung excess tax sa langis
03:39kapag isang buwan nang mahigit na 80 dollars
03:41kada barilis yung Dubai Crude.
03:43Ito ba, irecommend nyo na po ba sa Pangulo?
03:46Ay, natapos na ho.
03:48Ang, hindi ho recommendation.
03:51Ang sabi sa batas,
03:53magsisertify lang ho kami sa Dubai.
03:55Okay.
03:56Nagawa na ho yan,
03:58last Monday,
04:00naipadala na ho yan sa
04:01APLIP committee.
04:03So, ngayon,
04:05ang kasunod ho nyan is
04:06may evaluation ho
04:07gagawin yung
04:08DBCC
04:10for the recommendation
04:11to the President.
04:12So, nandun na ho ang stage.
04:14Nasa second stage na ho.
04:16Nandun tayo ngayon
04:17sa usapin ng
04:19I think you're referring to the possibility
04:22of reducing
04:23Opo.
04:24Gaano po kayang katagal
04:25bago maramdaman ito ng publiko?
04:28Well, hindi ko masagot no.
04:30Kasi ang aming side is
04:32mag-certify.
04:33Ang sunod ho na side is
04:35evaluation and recommendation
04:37ng DBCC
04:38of which hindi ho
04:40natin
04:42masabi.
04:43Hindi ho naman namin
04:44mabigyan ng timeline
04:45ang mga
04:47fiscal
04:47agencies
04:48natin.
04:49But, I think
04:51ito naman
04:52ay hindi
04:53hinihintuan na.
04:54At, in fact,
04:55nagkaroon na nga
04:57ng meeting
04:57kahapon
04:58ang APLIP committee.
04:59At,
05:00tinisiguro ho natin
05:01na
05:01dinidiscuss na ho ito.
05:03Of course,
05:03hahabulin po siguro nila
05:05yung next week
05:05dahil kung next week
05:06mega oil price
05:07sa hike na
05:07yung susunod na linggo
05:09pa, kasunod noon,
05:10hanggat hindi natatapos
05:10itong issue at
05:11sarado pa rin
05:12yung source,
05:14baka umakyat pa ulit.
05:18Of course,
05:19yung tendency
05:20to increase
05:21ang elevated price.
05:23Naanyan ho yan?
05:23In fact,
05:24kung maayos ni
05:25Saudi yung
05:26petro line niya,
05:28ang ating
05:29logical
05:30conclusion
05:31dyan is
05:32maibabalik lang
05:33uli natin,
05:34mag-resume yung
05:34kanyang 5 to 6
05:35million barrels,
05:37mababalik lang
05:38ho tayo uli
05:39sa yung
05:40nag-cost kasi
05:40ng increase
05:41ngayon
05:41from 90 to
05:43100
05:44ay yung
05:45nangyari
05:45dyan.
05:46So,
05:47babalik tayo
05:48uli
05:48most likely
05:49sa 80 to
05:5090.
05:50Pero elevated
05:52pa ho yan.
05:52Mataas pa rin ho.
05:53Hindi mo tayong
05:53baka kabalik
05:54sa 50 to 60.
05:56Masyadong
05:56malayo pa ho yun.
05:58Para sa mga
05:59nag-aalala po
05:59nating mga kababayan,
06:00ano pong
06:00in-expect
06:01at ano pong
06:02masasabi nyo
06:02sa kanila
06:03na assurance
06:04o kayo
06:04expectation
06:04in the next
06:05coming weeks?
06:07Well,
06:07ang ating
06:08binabantayan
06:09palagi ay
06:10yung supply
06:10security.
06:11So far
06:12ngayon,
06:13meron
06:13hong report
06:14ang IEA
06:15na nandyan pa
06:16yung
06:16global
06:17inventory.
06:18So tuloy ho
06:19ang ating
06:20supply.
06:21Pero hindi
06:22ho yan
06:24finite
06:25ho yan.
06:26So palagi
06:27ho natin
06:28binabantayan
06:28yan on a
06:29weekly basis.
06:30So far
06:30ngayon,
06:31may supply
06:32ho tayo
06:32very tight
06:33dahil
06:34humuhugot
06:34na tayo
06:35hindi na
06:35kaya
06:36ng production
06:37itself.
06:38Meaning
06:39humuhugot
06:40na tayo
06:40sa mga
06:41savings
06:42natin.
06:43Ika nga,
06:43save natin
06:44ang mga
06:45inventory.
06:45But
06:47for the
06:48price,
06:49yun na nga
06:50dahil
06:50tight,
06:51yan ang
06:51tinatawag
06:52na tight
06:53yung supply.
06:55Elevated
06:55pa rin
06:56ho.
06:56Nasa
06:5790 to
06:57100
06:58na tayo.
06:59At
06:59kung mababalik
07:00yung Saudi
07:01Petroline,
07:01baka bumaba
07:02tayo
07:02to 80
07:03to 90.
07:03Yan
07:03na lang
07:06dyan
07:07muna
07:07ang ating
07:07real
07:08expectation.
07:09Very
07:12quickly po,
07:13wala na
07:13talaga
07:13tayong
07:14ibang
07:14source,
07:15kundi
07:15yun
07:15lang.
07:15At
07:16kumusta
07:16naman
07:17yung
07:17presya
07:17ng
07:17LPG?
07:18Kasama
07:18ba
07:18ito
07:18sa
07:18maapektuhan?
07:20Sir
07:20Raffi,
07:21kasi
07:22sumusunod
07:23tayo
07:23sa mga
07:23ganitong
07:24oil
07:24market
07:24report,
07:25nakikita
07:26na
07:26natin
07:26na
07:26talagang
07:27hindi
07:28kinakaya
07:29ng
07:29alternative
07:30source.
07:30Punuan
07:31yung
07:31in fact
07:323
07:32million
07:33talagang
07:33hindi
07:34kinaya
07:34for the
07:34past
07:355
07:35months.
07:36Ngayon
07:36mayroong
07:37nadagdag
07:37na
07:375 to
07:386
07:38million
07:39galing
07:39kay
07:39Saudi,
07:40magiging
07:41million
07:41yan.
07:42So
07:43that
07:44is
07:45something
07:45that
07:46we
07:46have
07:46to
07:46accept.
07:47Well,
07:48maggrow
07:49naman
07:49yan.
07:49Gaya
07:50nung
07:50nangyari,
07:50ang
07:51report
07:51din,
07:51naggrow
07:52naman
07:52yung
07:53non-Persian
07:54Gulf,
07:55pero
07:55around
07:563
07:56million
07:56lang.
07:57Remember
07:57na
07:57ang
07:57nakataya
07:58ngayon
07:58sa
07:58Persian
07:58Gulf
07:59is
07:5921
08:00million
08:01barrels.
08:01So
08:01hindi
08:02humadalin
08:03punuan.
08:03So
08:04ang
08:04atin
08:05lang
08:05may
08:05tightness,
08:07we
08:08just
08:08have
08:08to
08:08monitor
08:09talaga
08:09kasi
08:10hindi
08:10kami
08:11pwedeng
08:11magpabaya
08:12at
08:13kailangan
08:13ma-advance
08:14yung
08:15ating
08:17foresight
08:18sa
08:18posibleng
08:19mangyari.
08:19So
08:20okay yung
08:20supply
08:21at
08:22mataas
08:23lang
08:24ang price.
08:24Again
08:24yung LPG
08:26po?
08:27Sa LPG
08:28meron
08:29na rin
08:30tayong
08:30nakikitang
08:31pagtaas
08:32kasi
08:33nga
08:33galing
08:33din
08:34naman
08:34yan
08:34sa
08:34crude
08:35oil.
08:35So
08:36the
08:37fact
08:37na
08:37uming
08:38increase
08:38na
08:38ang
08:38ating
08:39crude
08:40oil
08:40from
08:41a
08:42little
08:42more
08:43than
08:43100
08:43US
08:44dollar
08:44before
08:45this
08:45problem
08:46with
08:46petro
08:48line
08:48nasa
08:48123
08:49na
08:50tayo
08:50ngayon.
08:50So
08:50yung
08:5123
08:52US
08:53dollar
08:53per
08:53barrel
08:54na
08:54naging
08:54increase
08:54in a
08:55matter
08:55of
08:552
08:55weeks
08:56going
08:563
08:57weeks
08:57ngayon
08:57e
08:58sigurado
08:59e
08:59efekto
09:00yan
09:00dun
09:00sa
09:01magiging
09:01contact
09:02price
09:03ng
09:03Taudi
09:03Aramco
09:04for
09:04the
09:04month
09:05for
09:05the
09:05next
09:05month
09:06of
09:06October.
09:07So
09:07inasahan
09:08natin
09:08baka
09:09tumaas
09:09po
09:10talaga
09:10ang
09:11presyo
09:11ng
09:12LPD
09:12next
09:12month.
09:13Okay,
09:13abangan po
09:14natin
09:14yung iba
09:14pang aksyon
09:15ng
09:15gobyerno
09:15patungkol
09:16dito.
09:16Maraming
09:16salamat
09:17po
09:17sa oras
09:17na
09:17binahagi
09:18nyo
09:18sa
09:18balitang
09:18hali.
09:19Opo
09:19magandang
09:20tanghali
09:20sa lahat.
09:21Yan po
09:21si DOE
09:22Oil Industry
09:22Management
09:23Bureau
09:23Director
09:23Rino
09:24Abad.
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