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Un experto militar ucraniano advierte que los ataques a los transformadores rusos podrían desatar apagones masivos en pleno invierno, con consecuencias devastadoras para el suministro eléctrico, el agua y el alcantarillado en Rusia. Según explica, mientras Ucrania está preparada para soportar el frío gracias a un sistema energético pensado para escenarios extremos, la infraestructura rusa sería mucho más vulnerable. Además, el avistamiento de un misil "Flamingo" a más de 500 km de la frontera pondría en evidencia serias fallas en la defensa aérea rusa. Un análisis que revela hasta qué punto podría cambiar el curso del conflicto este invierno.

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00:00Thanks to the sanctions imposed back in 2014, numerous accidents of Russian origin occur in Russia.
00:06human, and that's even before Ukraine has begun attacking the Russian energy sector. The expert
00:13Military officer Sergei Gravsky spoke about this on the program Fábrica de Noticias, noting that
00:19Even attacks by defense forces against Russian transformers could provoke
00:24Power outages in Russia this winter. When a transformer is hit, no one can shut it down for 72 hours.
00:32Ultimately, it's between 3 and 5 tons of oil that must be completely consumed. The water
00:39It doesn't work
00:39You're welcome. The oil will float. Foam, especially in winter, is a problem. Cover it with dirt.
00:46It is also incredibly difficult, he noted. The expert added that Ukraine can survive
00:52temperatures are quite low thanks to the use of alternative energy sources and the local climate
00:58at our latitude. In Ukraine it's already between -5 and -7 degrees Celsius, which is quite a lot.
01:05low. So imagine what would happen if the transformers in the Russian Federation failed,
01:11Gravsky said. He added that average winter temperatures in Russia can range from -20
01:17degrees Celsius and minus 30 degrees Celsius. And if a transformer burns for three days and then
01:24It requires another week of repairs, which could have critical consequences.
01:30What does a week without electricity mean? What will happen to the sewage systems and
01:36"Water supply, which barely works anymore?" the expert pointed out. He explained that the system's peculiarity...
01:43Ukraine's electrical system was specifically designed to function in the event of a
01:48Nuclear war. It is quite dense and flexible, something that cannot be said of needs.
01:54specific to the electricity supply in the Russian interior. Nobody is going to attack Moscow. It doesn't have
02:00That makes sense. But destroying transformers is a trivial task for the current Ukrainian army. And an attempt
02:07Cutting off our electricity supply would have repercussions in the Russian Federation, with a much more significant impact.
02:14serious, Gravsky added. He also noted that these types of attacks would not pose a problem for
02:20Ukraine. Proof of this is that a Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missile has already been sighted several hundred kilometers away.
02:27kilometers from the contact line. What is the Flamingo? I call it a product of war. It's a
02:34a relatively quiet aerial target that uses an engine from an older aircraft. Consequently,
02:41Its speed is low. And its appearance reminds me of something the Soviet Union used for
02:46train air defense crews. Speaking of the Ukrainian situation, take any
02:52Statistics on cruise missiles and you will see that a cruise missile rarely even reaches kyiv.
02:58Why? Because Ukraine has been actively using aircraft that engage these missiles.
03:03Lately, Grafsky said. In this context, he noted that the appearance of the Flamingo to a
03:10A distance of more than 500-600 kilometers from the border indicates problems in the defense system
03:17Russian airspace. Up to 400 kilometers is disputed airspace, where Russian aircraft operate.
03:24Caution to avoid being destroyed. But beyond 500-600 kilometers, what difficulty is there in
03:32How do you take down a slow-moving target that anyone can film? It's the detail of its movements. The
03:38The Russian Federation has what is called a focal air defense, which is not capable of
03:43"Protect all important facilities," Grafsky explained.
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