- 2 days ago
八点最热报 | 国阵与国盟在柔佛、森美兰的合作，一度让外界认为，两大马来政治力量已经找到整合选票、避免内耗的黄金公式。但就在很快将近年底之前必须举行选举马六甲州选前，伊党主席哈迪阿旺却突然踩刹车，公开强调……（主播：蔡心慧）
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00:00A reminder before watching the video
00:01Popular websites have more content
00:04The cooperation between Guozhi and Guomeng in Sammerang, Johor.
00:06It was once thought by outsiders that
00:08Two major Malay political forces
00:09Consolidation of votes has been found
00:11The Golden Formula for Avoiding Internal Friction
00:14But just before the end of this year
00:16The Malacca weekly election that must be held
00:18As the countdown begins
00:19One-party leader Hadi Awang
00:21But suddenly slammed on the brakes
00:22Publicly emphasize
00:23Johor and Sammeran Model
00:25It may not be possible to replicate it in Malacca.
00:28He further pointed out the special characteristics of Malacca.
00:30That 2021 Weekly Selection
00:32Barisan Nasional swept 21 out of 28 seats
00:35But in the national election a year later
00:38A crushing defeat with zero seats
00:39In contrast, the National Alliance
00:41Based on the performance in the national election
00:42Holding new political leverage
00:45Hardy's shot
00:46Does this reveal the true nature of the Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional coalitions?
00:48What are the cracks behind the cooperation?
00:51The honeymoon period of the political marriage is not over yet.
00:53Both sides have already begun to calculate their interests.
00:55Fighting for chips
00:56Perhaps Malacca will no longer be a copy.
00:59Rousen Model of Cooperative Business
01:01Rather, it is a colossal group of two major Malay political behemoths.
01:05Power in direct confrontation
01:09The contradiction between the United Arab Emirates and one-party states
01:10It has never been just a contest for a few seats.
01:13Instead, both parties want to become
01:15The core representative of Malay politics
01:16For Ukrainian Union
01:18Accepting one party as an equal partner
01:20Even the stronger party
01:22This means that the Union of Ukrainians must face a more difficult problem to accept.
01:26Former senior figure in Malay politics
01:28Are they becoming ordinary partners?
01:31Even the second oldest among the partners
01:33But on the other side
01:34One party is no longer satisfied with the unknown of the past.
01:37In recent years
01:38With one party gaining influence in multiple states
01:39Expand influence
01:40Support among Malay voters is steadily increasing.
01:43In the eyes of one party
01:45I am no longer the person I used to be.
01:47Political parties limited to the northern region
01:49Instead, it is someone capable of taking on challenges.
01:52The power of the national political landscape
01:55so what
01:55Ukrainian Union wants to maintain its past status.
01:57One party wants to prove that the future belongs to them.
02:00Two forces collide
02:02The biggest contradiction in the cooperation between the two sides was determined.
02:05It's not about whether we have a common goal or not.
02:06It's not about who's willing to move to the second row.
02:10The real test in Malacca selection
02:12Not just national politics and the National Alliance
02:14Can we stand together?
02:15Instead, they are two political behemoths.
02:17Can we accept each other as equals?
02:20The easiest thing for a political marriage is to shake hands.
02:23The most difficult part is splitting the fist.
02:25When both sides are facing the same map
02:28Competing for the same group of voters
02:29Yet they all felt they should sit in the seat of honor.
02:32True unity requires facing the most realistic tests.
02:36Who's behind the wheel?
02:37Who gave way?
02:39Who will become the leader?
02:40Malacca?
02:42Not just the next election
02:43It's more like a power rehearsal being staged in advance.
02:47If they can't even get past the Malacca hurdle...
02:49How should we discuss future cooperation at the national level?
02:55Following the cooperation between Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional in Johor and Negeri Sembilan, respectively.
02:59Whether the two sides will continue with the same model in the next stop, Malacca, is attracting much attention.
03:04However, party leader Hadi Awang was the first to pour cold water on the idea.
03:07He had already made his point clear in an interview with the party's newspaper.
03:11He said the cooperation model between Johor and Negeri Sembilan may not necessarily be applicable to Malaysia.
03:16Rokko
03:16Because the political realities of each state are different.
03:18He pointed out that although the Barisan Nasional coalition holds a majority of state assembly seats in Malacca...
03:22But the Perikatan Nasional coalition has more parliamentary seats.
03:25Therefore, how the two sides will coordinate and cooperate in the future will depend on the local situation.
03:31Why did Hadi specifically mention Malacca?
03:33Shaza, an associate professor at the International Islamic University, believes
03:36The key is that Malacca is neither like Johor nor Negeri Sembilan.
03:39In the past, Johor was dominated by UMNO.
03:42Negeri Sembilan needs cooperation from both sides to avoid splitting the vote.
03:46However, both Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional believed they held sufficient power in Malacca.
03:50force
03:51Therefore, seat negotiations are bound to be more intense than in the previous two weeks.
03:55Nine is very much an UMNO
03:57specifically a stronghold
03:59so that's why PAS was giving it in a sense
04:02giving UMNO the way
04:03Negeri was more competitive
04:05so it was clearly that they need to work together
04:07but for Melaka is very hard to say who has the advantage
04:12because of course if we look in 2021
04:14UMNO had the advantage right
04:17Winning 21 out of 28 seats
04:18however just a year later for the parliamentary elections
04:23BN did not win a single seat
04:25a single parliamentary seat in Melaka
04:27So what this means is that
04:29PN specifically feels confident and emboldened
04:33that they have more of a footing in Melaka
04:36if we look at 2022 being closer to 2026
04:40So what this means is that
04:42PAS andPN want to get more seats
04:46it's all about seat negotiation
04:48The question now is
04:49would AMLO give up the 21 seats
04:52that are in their hands right now
04:55Both interviewed scholars believed
04:56Malacca is not the end of the cooperation between Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional.
04:59Rather, it marks the beginning of a new phase for both sides.
05:02If even the allocation of seats in Malacca is difficult to coordinate...
05:05So next, let's face Thunderbolt Teng Heng.
05:07Even during the national election
05:08Only greater challenges will be faced.
05:10Therefore, the focus of future discussions between the two sides will be...
05:13It's probably no longer a matter of cooperation or not.
05:15But who has more control?
05:18I think the president of past statement regarding
05:20the arrangement in Melaka may be different than
05:23Johor and Negeri Sembilan
05:25I think it's an acknowledgment that
05:27the relationship or arrangement between
05:30barisan and perikatan
05:32is actually transactional
05:34it is not something that is set
05:36very hard in stone
05:38it is decentralized and it is very
05:40state specific
05:41so it is not really a permanent alliance
05:43governed by a nationwide formula
05:46but it goes on a case by case basis
05:49and I think Melaka is important because
05:51It's the first major test
05:53where actually both sides
05:55can claim credible strength to dominance
05:58So I think Melaka situation
06:00is not really the end of cooperation
06:02but rather the beginning of the hard bargaining
06:05between the two sides
06:06to own the Malay electorate
06:09the bigger question would be in states like
06:11if they do decide to work together
06:13would they work together in states like Perak
06:15would they work together in states like Pahang
06:17Where again BN has more seats
06:19but PAS is making inroads in Pahang
06:22same with Perak
06:23PAS has a big stronghold in Perak
06:25and then if we go further north
06:27right where like Terengganu
06:29where it's a clean sweep for PAS
06:31is PAS willing to give up some seats
06:34the UMNO or UMNO willing to say
06:36okay we're just going to support PAS
06:38the way that PAS supports UMNO and BN in Johor
06:41So that's why I feel like
06:42Melaka is just one of many many more experiments to come
06:46Director of the Modica Poll Center
06:47Sufian said
06:48Seat allocation is just a superficial issue
06:50Deeper contradictions
06:52The reason is that both sides want to become part of the Malay society.
06:54The most representative political force
06:56Both parties want to represent Malay voters
06:59UMNO believes it possesses
07:00Long history of governance and political foundation
07:03PAS believes that recent election trends show
07:06He is expanding his influence.
07:07Therefore, even if both parties are willing to cooperate
07:10The biggest challenge in the future remains
07:12Who is in charge?
07:14Who is willing to back down?
07:15NAMNO has been representing
07:17Malayas elected for the first 60 years
07:19of this country political history
07:20so if they accept PAS
07:22as an equal partner
07:23or even as a stronger partner
07:25that would actually acknowledge
07:27that they have lost their historic position
07:29as the prime institution of Malay politics
07:32at the same time PAS believe that
07:33the electoral momentum
07:35the changes in demographics
07:36and support patterns
07:37that they are the ones that are coming up
07:40and so they don't longer see themselves
07:42just party regional party
07:44They see themselves now
07:45as a national party
07:46that can represent
07:47the entire country
07:49particularly the Malay muslims
07:50I think one factor
07:51and I think the most important factor is
07:53in this transaction
07:54between PAS and UMNO
07:56one party must assume
07:57the subordinate role
07:59one party must be the junior partner
08:00so it's PAS willing to accept that
08:02even though they have the bigger number of seats
08:04and we'll pass allow UMNO to take the leading role
08:07even if they have smaller numbers
08:13Hadio wanted to emphasize at this time
08:15Malacca is different
08:16What they really meant wasn't necessarily a refusal to cooperate.
08:19It's more like a reminder to unify by force.
08:21Today's negotiating table
08:23We shouldn't just look at the past.
08:25What the military unification sees is the Malacca state election.
08:27They have retained their majority of 21 state seats.
08:29But what one party sees is the Perikatan Nasional (PN) coalition.
08:32It has been proven through the national election
08:34He is changing the local political landscape.
08:38Both sides believe they are qualified to open a sales channel.
08:40This collaboration is no longer a simple one.
08:43Who supports whom
08:44Rather, it was a negotiation to redistribute political resources.
08:48Iran wants to ask what
08:49Since the National Alliance has risen
08:51Why can we only stand here?
08:53UMNO plays a supporting role behind the scenes
08:55But UMNO also asked a counter-question.
08:57Since the advantages of grassroots and central seats still exist
09:00Why hand it over so easily?
09:01Political territory cultivated over many years
09:03Thus, Malacca became a political arena.
09:07Two political behemoths are standing on the same stage
09:10But not to share the victory.
09:12Rather, it's about deciding who has greater dominance.
09:17Please feel free to like, subscribe, share, and tip to support Mingjing and DianDian Column.
09:26Please feel free to like, subscribe, share, and tip to support Mingjing and DianDian Column.
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