00:00Russia has intensified its attacks against Ukrainian Black Sea ports, seeking
00:05not only to curb grain exports, but to deprive kyiv of one of its main
00:10sources of foreign currency.
00:12According to columnist Ian Bremer in Time magazine, the Kremlin is also betting that the
00:17Rising global food prices are putting pressure on Ukraine's international partners.
00:23so that they demand a cessation of their attacks within Russian territory.
00:27The analysis indicates that, despite Ukrainian successes with drones on Russian soil, Moscow
00:33has made progress through missile and drone attacks against port infrastructure,
00:38which has reduced agricultural export revenues, by about 60% of exports
00:44Ukrainians, just before the harvest.
00:47Although Ukrainian authorities insist that the ports remain operational, the text
00:52He maintains that around 90% of shipping companies have suspended their port calls due to the increase in
00:57Insurance premiums are rising in the face of the risk of new attacks, in a phenomenon compared to what happened
01:02in the Strait of Hormuz.
01:04The author explains that Ukraine relies on a limited number of Patriot interceptor missiles.
01:10to protect both their cities and their logistics routes, which makes it costly and risky
01:16divert them towards port defense.
01:19Russia, aware of this, would maintain pressure on the ports without the insurers
01:25have reason to lower their rates.
01:28Bremer also emphasizes Ukraine's importance as a wheat supplier to Egypt and Indonesia.
01:34corn for the European Union and sunflower oil, resulting in an overall price increase
01:40The food crisis, exacerbated by the war between the United States and Iran, could be used as
01:46pressure lever.
01:47However, the columnist concludes that this strategy is unlikely to succeed, since
01:53European support for Ukraine remains firm, and public opinion tends to hold them responsible.
02:00to Moscow, not kyiv, because of the price increase.
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