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00:04After the memorandum of understanding signed by the US and Iran in early July broke down again.
00:08Starting from July 7th
00:09The United States immediately launched a severe retaliatory military strike.
00:12After 13 consecutive days of airstrikes against Iran
00:15The war has now been temporarily paused.
00:18But the conflict was not truly over.
00:21The US and Iran quickly became embroiled in another confrontation.
00:24That is the struggle for the right to speak.
00:26Trump signals friendly negotiations
00:29And claimed that Iran had requested the meeting.
00:31However, the Iranian Foreign Ministry denied it.
00:34Emphasizing that it has never sought peace talks
00:36The scene before my eyes is still familiar.
00:39The artillery fire has temporarily ceased.
00:41The Rashomon-like situation in diplomacy has already begun.
00:43Who is really in control?
00:45Who is trying to package their victory?
00:49If we look at this game at the negotiating table...
00:51Stop, then play again, then stop again.
00:53This is more like a poker game without a showdown.
00:57Trump's strategy is one of the most obvious.
00:59The idea is to first create momentum through military and economic pressure.
01:02Then make a public statement
01:04The other party sued for peace.
01:05The move to return to the negotiating table
01:07Define it as the other party being unable to hold on.
01:10Iran is clearly unwilling to accept this narrative.
01:13Not only denying the need for peace
01:14It further emphasizes that its own people hold the key bargaining chips.
01:17We will not back down on security and national interests.
01:20Iran's biggest bargaining chip is the Strait of Hormuz.
01:24As a vital global energy transportation corridor
01:27Iran continues to emphasize that the situation in the Straits has not changed.
01:30It is also sending a signal to the outside world.
01:32Even in the face of pressure from the United States
01:34Tehran still possesses the ability to influence global energy markets.
01:38Therefore, this US-Iran confrontation
01:40On the surface, it's a diplomatic decision following the ceasefire.
01:43Behind this is actually a conflict surrounding military pressure.
01:46A tug-of-war between strategic leverage and psychological advantage
01:49Both sides are trying to prove that they are not the ones who will back down first.
01:56The US and Iran have suspended fighting for three consecutive days.
01:58No new missiles have been launched yet.
01:59No new air raid warnings were issued.
02:01But this war lasted for nearly five months
02:03Has the turning point truly arrived?
02:05From the end of February
02:06US-Iran military action against Iran begins
02:08Started and then stopped
02:09Stop and then start
02:10The conflict and anti-nuclear activities have escalated again.
02:12The United States launched a series of airstrikes.
02:14Iran bombs nearby US allies
02:16Blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global energy artery
02:18This caused global markets to be thrown into turmoil.
02:20Both sides are using the same old tactics.
02:23The fighting has now temporarily ceased.
02:25Trump told reporters on Air Force One
02:27It was precisely because the United States took tough military action
02:30Iran has only recently begun seeking renewed contact.
02:47In Trump's narrative
02:49Military action is not a diplomatic failure
02:51Rather, it is a bargaining chip to advance diplomacy.
02:53But can military operations continue?
02:55It has also become the focus of attention from the outside world.
02:57Facing external doubts
02:58US long-term operations
02:59Is it consuming its own resources?
03:01Trump emphasized
03:02The United States has ample ammunition reserves.
03:03At the same time, military production is being expanded.
03:05He was trying to send a strategic signal
03:07No matter how long the conflict lasts
03:09Washington has the capacity to maintain military pressure.
03:11We have a lot of military
03:13Various types
03:13We are building very quickly.
03:15All projects were built
03:18Many projects were built
03:20Trump emphasized
03:21That system has been built
03:23We have many
03:24Every project is under construction.
03:27Four to five types of projects
03:29We are in a very good shape
03:30However, the contact and meeting described by the United States
03:32A completely different version emerged from Iranian accounts.
03:35The US says this is military pressure.
03:37Diplomatic breakthroughs
03:38But the Iranian Foreign Ministry
03:39The two sides denied that they were negotiating directly.
03:41De Yilan said
03:42At most, it's just through
03:44Mediator conveys messages
03:45And emphasized
03:46Not due to military pressure
03:47And change of stance
04:20artillery fire ceases
04:21But the rivalry between the US and Iran has not stopped.
04:23Trump wanted a copy
04:24An agreement that proves the US won
04:26What Iran wants is a
04:28Negotiations that will not force you to back down
04:29So the next step for the US and Iran to discuss is...
04:31Not just peace
04:32The discussion is about who can win this game.
04:34Seize the final initiative in a protracted confrontation
04:40Trump loudly proclaimed that the operation had achieved results.
04:43However, another practical issue has also drawn attention.
04:45Can the United States withstand this?
04:47Long-term high-intensity military pressure
04:49Regarding ammunition stockpiles
04:51There is also discussion about the cost of sustained operations.
04:53Let's talk about the real considerations behind this ceasefire.
04:55More questions remain
04:56at the same time
04:57Iran refuses to admit that it sought negotiations under pressure.
05:01Trying to prove that he was not forced to bow down
05:04Ceasefire, not war
05:05Each speaks their own language
05:06This is actually a typical psychological warfare.
05:10The United States needs to prove to the outside world
05:11Military pressure resulted in concessions from the opponent.
05:14Trump needs to project a victorious image.
05:16Iran, on the other hand, must demonstrate that it holds the leverage.
05:19Maintain its position in the region
05:21And domestic political prestige
05:23A ceasefire does not mean the end of the conflict.
05:25This actually means that both sides have entered another stage of competition.
05:28A contest of patience to calculate costs
05:30Also, wait for the other party to reveal their weakness first.
05:33Ultimately, this struggle is not just about a ceasefire agreement.
05:36It's about who can gain more initiative in the next round of competition.
05:40The artillery fire temporarily subsided.
05:42But this game without a showdown
05:44It's probably not over yet.
05:55Thank you for watching
05:57Thank you for watching
05:58Thank you for watching
