00:00A series of drone attacks hit the Russian capital and the Moscow region.
00:05The drones crashed into large wildberry warehouses and other logistics facilities.
00:11and huge plumes of smoke were visible from various points in Moscow.
00:15What consequences does the destruction of these types of facilities already have for the Russian economy?
00:21And what about the Kremlin's ability to continue the war?
00:25Here's a first important point: the economic consequences.
00:30If we estimate the damage caused by the first attack on the wildberry warehouses, it is around one billion dollars.
00:37This is an estimate of the value of the warehouses themselves and the goods stored there.
00:43What does one billion dollars represent for Russia?
00:46That's two or three days of war nowadays, and that's a considerable amount.
00:51It's also important to understand who lost that money.
00:55For Wildberries themselves, this represents about 7% of their storage space.
01:017% was destroyed.
01:0393% is still operational, so it's not critical.
01:08Today's impact, although I haven't seen any estimates yet, could add another 7%.
01:14At some point, this could become critical for a leading company like Wildberries, says military expert Olexi Melnik.
01:23co-director of foreign policy and international security programs at the Razumkov Center in kyiv.
01:29He adds that the second category that suffered losses was small and medium-sized enterprises in Russia.
01:34For them, this blow was extremely painful.
01:39Many of them, and there is video evidence of this, woke up practically bankrupt this morning.
01:45They will not receive any compensation from the State.
01:49What Wildberries is currently considering to preserve its image is not immediate compensation,
01:55but some kind of benefits and loans.
01:58This is unlikely to save your customers or your business.
02:02On a Russian scale, this is only three days of war, although it is still a lot.
02:08Each day of war is equivalent to the budget of a small region.
02:12In the general context of the songbook, it's not too much.
02:16But if it's broken down, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises,
02:20The consequences are catastrophic for many of them.
02:25That's the economic aspect.
02:27But in my opinion, the psychological effect is much more important.
02:32They say Ukrainian drones are passing through without any obstacles.
02:36That's probably a huge exaggeration.
02:38Because out of 400 drones, in the best-case scenario, only 10% manage to pass.
02:44This pales in comparison to Russia's capabilities.
02:48Just a day ago, a ballistic missile was flying towards kyiv almost every minute for 40 minutes.
02:5440 ballistic missiles in 40 minutes.
02:58Of these, the interception rate did not exceed 20%.
03:02In terms of military capabilities, Russia continues to maintain this advantage.
03:07The difference is that Russia is able to achieve its objectives virtually without obstacles.
03:13The damage caused by this destruction and the loss of life are enormous.
03:18But the effect on Ukrainian society, which hasn't exactly gotten used to it,
03:23But the fact that it has somehow adapted during these five years of war is different.
03:28Each time it happens, this blow is painful for Ukrainians, but it has no decisive effect.
03:36Everything has happened.
03:38Everything is still happening.
03:40And we are, to some extent, psychologically prepared for it to continue.
03:45The Russians are now facing, or are facing, a moment of truth.
03:50The war has come to Moscow, permanently and consistently.
03:54This psychological impact on Ukrainian society and its impact on the Russian population cannot be compared.
04:03The expert points out that, in addition to companies,
04:06Ordinary citizens who ordered cheap products from an online marketplace and never received them have also suffered.
04:13And this pot, with its lid firmly sealed, gradually builds up pressure.
04:20It is possible that, as has happened many times in Russian history,
04:23If we recall the famous battleship Potemkin, when the sailors ate borscht and nothing foreshadowed trouble,
04:31This spontaneous and relentless explosion could happen at any time and at any point.
04:37And then the Russian authorities will face another test.
04:54Thank you!
04:56Thank you!
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