00:00Ukraine's 40-day campaign, pushing Putin to a crossroads Kyiv, July 20th.
00:05Ukraine's 40-day military campaign against Russian targets is designed to force President
00:11Vladimir Putin to choose between peace and continued war, with the operation reaching
00:16its halfway point amid growing impacts on Russian society and the economy.
00:21A campaign with multiple objectives.
00:23On June 26th, President Volodymyr Zelensky directly announced a 40-day campaign against
00:30Russian military, industrial, and energy targets, spanning the period from late June to early
00:36August.
00:37Three weeks into the operation, analysts are assessing its significance and impact.
00:42Orissia Lutsovich, head of the Ukraine Forum at Chatham House, described the campaign as
00:47a powerful signal to Putin.
00:49She explained that Zelensky is skilled at crafting political messages.
00:53And the 40-day time frame carries symbolic weight, comparable to the biblical flood, a
00:58period for Putin to decide whether to choose heaven or hell.
01:01The message is that Russia is seen as almost dead, and it is now up to Putin to decide whether
01:07to save himself or continue on the same path.
01:10Lutsovich also noted the political significance.
01:13The campaign coincides with Russia's parliamentary election scheduled for September, potentially
01:18influencing the political atmosphere within Russia.
01:21One goal is to send a message to Putin that his power is declining while Ukraine is bringing
01:26the war to Moscow and St. Petersburg.
01:29Professor of Strategic Studies at ST University assessed this as a psychological campaign, not
01:35to force Russia to surrender immediately, but to demonstrate that Ukraine can bring the
01:40war to Russian territory.
01:41He also highlighted the attempt to create fuel shortages and show Ukrainians that they are
01:47taking the initiative on the battlefield.
01:50Deep strikes and expanding impact
01:53Zelensky did not specify the campaign's details initially, but Ukrainian officials later confirmed
01:59that it includes a strategy of mid-range strikes disrupting Russian supply chains and long-range
02:05strikes on military-industrial sites, oil refineries, transport vessels, and major cities.
02:12Former Australian General Mick Ryan described it as an influence operation aimed at forcing
02:17Russia to halt its invasion.
02:19He characterized it as a comprehensive campaign striking oil refineries, military sites, and
02:25major cities to pressure Moscow into ending the war.
02:28The scale of the strikes has shocked Moscow residents, who never expected the war to affect
02:34their daily lives to this extent.
02:36Long queues at gas stations across Russia indicate fuel shortages caused by the campaign.
02:42In occupied Crimea, strikes on bridges and key roads have caused power outages and a sense
02:49of being trapped among residents.
02:51Political Tensions in Russia
02:53The situation is also creating political tensions within Russia, with some citizens criticizing
02:59the government for failing to establish an effective air defense system to protect key
03:04infrastructure.
03:06Ukraine's success in bringing the war into Russian territory may be a factor influencing
03:11the Trump administration's policy shift toward Ukraine, and potentially the reason behind
03:16the authorization for Patriot missile production in Ukraine.
03:21Analysts predict the 40-day campaign could expand to include larger military operations
03:25to pressure Putin into losing support, including strikes on key military units.
03:30Ukraine may also attempt to regain territory, and Lutsevich believes the campaign will not
03:35stop at 40 days but may intensify further.
03:38Latest Strikes on Moscow Region
03:40Ukraine's drone operations continue, with reports of a drone attack on the Moscow region
03:45overnight on July 19 targeting an oil depot and logistics centers, citation dot original.
03:50Social media footage showed thick black smoke over the city of Podolsk, approximately 40 kilometers
03:56south of Moscow, after an oil depot was struck.
03:59Other targets included a warehouse owned by Russian online retailer Wildberries in the Kolodino
04:04area, a building in Domodedovo, and a warehouse in the Yuzhny Port logistics hub.
04:09Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin claimed more than 400 drones were headed toward Moscow, with 85
04:15shot down as they approached.
04:17Oil Infrastructure as a Legitimate Target
04:19Ukraine considers Russian oil infrastructure a legitimate military target, as it supplies
04:25fuel and funding for Russia's war effort.
04:28The Deep Strike campaign is yielding results, with fuel shortages and production disruptions,
04:33and in some cases forcing indefinite shutdowns.
04:36The Tuap's oil refinery in Krasnodar Krai is reportedly unlikely to restart production
04:42this year after being severely damaged in recent Ukrainian drone strikes.
04:46The campaign has created pressure on the Russian government, worsening the fuel supply crisis.
04:52This has led to export restrictions, rising fuel prices, and sales controls across many regions.
04:58Citizens across Russia continue to report long queues at gas stations as shortages persist.
05:03to the average level of the U.S.
05:03while we large-level values, the U.S.
05:04So, I hope that's been helpful, and it was possible to this
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