- 19 hours ago
八点最热报 | 柔佛州选虽已尘埃落定，但政局不但没有归于平静，反而孵化出一套诡谲却高效的新政治公式，“巫伊不互撞”。其实森州选举的内核，本质上是一场关于“马来选票最大化”的精算实验。然而，“柔佛/森州模式”真的可以无缝复制到第16届全国大选吗？（主播: 萧慧敏）
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00:00Before watching the video, please remember that trending websites offer more content.
00:04The Johor election has now concluded.
00:06But the evidence did not bring peace.
00:08Instead, it has given rise to a new, ingenious yet highly effective political offensive.
00:12That is, witch doctors do not protect the body.
00:15This undercurrent is now crossing state borders.
00:18In Negeri Sembilan, it's a perfectly legitimate upgrade.
00:21At the central level, UMNO continues to strongly support a unity government to share governing resources.
00:25On the battlefield of the weekly selection, he turned against the enemy.
00:28Fighting alongside PAS to besiege Simon
00:31We must put him to death.
00:33This is not political ambiguity
00:35It was an open conspiracy.
00:38While remaining in power within Anwar's government
00:40On one hand, they used the Malay votes from PAS to jointly eliminate Simon.
00:43When Wu Tong holds power in the unity government
00:46Holding the PAS vote in one hand
00:48Will Anwar just stand by and watch his allies sharpen their knives?
00:51Only at the very end did he realize that he had become the biggest figure in this game of power.
00:56idiot!
00:57In fact, the core of Deep Weekly Selection
00:59Essentially, it's an actuarial experiment about maximizing Malay votes.
01:04The success of the Rongfo model proves
01:06Hanging different flags
01:08Without signing a formal treaty
01:10It's just a matter of tacit understanding in avoiding triangle battles.
01:14This would allow the scattered Malay Muslim voters to be reunited.
01:19Straight rope
01:19The logic behind this kind of covert maneuvering is actually very straightforward.
01:22The core support base of Barisan Nasional and the national goalkeeper overlaps significantly.
01:26If the two sides were to confront each other head-on, it would be tantamount to killing each other.
01:29Ultimately, only those in charge of non-Malay votes and some moderates could be allowed to participate.
01:34Simon, who won the Malay vote, reaped the benefits of others' efforts.
01:37Therefore, from Johor to Negeri Sembilan and then to the potential Malacca
01:42Not providing a bail bond became a tactic for preserving the survival of Malay-based political parties.
01:48defense line
01:49However, tactical shrewdness could not mask the strategic embarrassment.
01:53Hidden dangers
01:54The most glaring part of this pattern
01:56Its significance lies in its satire and impact on the existing federal governance structure.
02:01UMNO is currently working on forming a federal government.
02:03On one hand, they teamed up with their opponents to fight Simon in the weekly draft.
02:06This directly brought the crisis of trust within the unity government into the spotlight.
02:11If they are in the same central government
02:13However, on the battlefield of the weekly selection, they openly plotted against outsiders while secretly carrying out a counter-offensive.
02:18This is definitely not a simple weekly selection strategy.
02:21Rather, it is the legitimacy of a crack in the foundation of trust within the cabinet.
02:24Armed Police Regiment Commander Kerrigan pointed out
02:26Negeri Sembilan is no longer just a local election
02:29It became a political alarm bell.
02:31Sending a chilling signal to federal leadership
02:35That is, UMNO's concessions to the unity government are not a given.
02:40Once local interests or the core base are threatened
02:43That means unification by force could at any time involve a rightward shift and collusion with PAS (Pan-Malaysian Islamic Party).
02:47machine
02:48However, the model of Rongfo or Negeri Sembilan
02:51Can this really be seamlessly replicated in the 16th General Election?
02:54The answer is probably far less optimistic than one might imagine.
02:58Azmi Hassan, a senior researcher at the Nusandara Institute for Strategic Studies, pointed out
03:02out
03:02PAS was willing to make concessions in Negeri Sembilan.
03:05With only 11 seats contested, the Barisan Nasional coalition secured a total of 25 seats.
03:09This is because PAS has a shallow base of influence in the area.
03:12Taking a step back to advance is a wise move.
03:14But on the chessboard of the national elections
03:17PAS, which has a relative advantage in strength
03:19And why should they continue to willingly accept being chosen as co-defendants?
03:22PAS is unwilling to participate in the voting.
03:24Does UMNO want to be second?
03:29A new political offensive following the Johor state election
03:32It began to surface
03:33But sitting in the shadows
03:35UMNO will not touch PAS
03:36PAS will not touch UMNO
03:37No formal alliance required
03:39There is no need to hang the same piece on the same side.
03:40As long as triangular battles are avoided
03:42First, collect the Malay votes.
03:44This model will continue to be replicated in Negeri Sembilan.
03:46Moreover, both parties made an official announcement openly and legitimately.
03:49Former military commander Carey warned last night
03:51If the Malay vote continues to be divided
03:53Both Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional may eventually...
03:55They lost in this Negeri Sembilan state election
03:57He also admitted
03:58Some UMNO division leaders in Negeri Sembilan
04:00Regarding the allocation of seats to PAS and Gerakan
04:02Feeling dissatisfied
04:03But in Carey's view
04:04Our biggest enemy right now is not each other.
04:06Instead, the votes were split.
04:07Only if Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional stop their clashes
04:09Only then can we have a chance to consolidate Malay votes and increase our chances of winning.
04:12Let's try this sentence first, Kerry.
04:23This has actually revealed the true role of the three-state election.
04:26Johari, the deputy chairman of the United Front for Martial Rights, also emphasized
04:28The tri-state elections not only verified
04:29The degree of unity and integration of Malay votes
04:31It could also become the ruling coalition of Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional.
04:33Before the 16th General Election
04:35Key indicators of whether to continue the cooperative relationship
04:38Carey further pointed out
04:39If a political party is in a unity government
04:41However, they chose to cooperate with other political parties in the state election.
04:43This indicates that internal relations have already encountered problems.
04:49Khairy believes that as long as UMNO and PAS
05:06Continue to divide Malay votes
05:07Ultimately, it was Pakatan Harapan (PH) that reaped the benefits of Yu Weng's efforts.
05:10Because of the witch doctor's struggle
05:11They were originally the same group of Malay Muslim voters
05:14Get one more vote on each side
05:15The other side is one vote short.
05:17Once the two sides face off head-on
05:18Malaysian tickets will be cut into pieces.
05:20Senior Research Fellow, Nusandara Institute for Strategic Studies
05:22Azmihassan believes
05:23If Raffamore works again in the three states
05:26The next stop is likely Malacca.
05:28As long as this offensive continues to benefit UMNO and Barisan Nasional
05:31Bring benefits
05:32It is possible to copy all the way.
05:51If Raffamore works again in the three states
06:08But he also reminded
06:10In order to avoid splitting the vote in the state election
06:12UMNO and one party can cooperate
06:13Because the party was not particularly strong in the three states to begin with.
06:16Therefore, they are willing to make concessions.
06:17But when the national elections came...
06:19Whether it can continue is still unknown.
06:22Next, we will look at
06:23In Chrismont
06:25There are many investments
06:27I'm just thinking
06:29Chris Monland
06:30If Rovermore's price is in the three states
06:34Compared to Brazil, he was injured in 45 separate incidents.
07:00Unification by force is an ally of the unity government at the federal level.
07:04But in the battleground of the weekly election
07:06But he turned around and stood shoulder to shoulder with one party.
07:07Pointing guns at the same ruling ally
07:10One side cannot sit still and seize power
07:13On the one hand, borrowing Malay votes from one party
07:14The weekly elections will gradually weaken Simon's political base.
07:17If Simon continues to take a unity government for granted...
07:21They thought that reunification by force would always be on their side.
07:24He may have underestimated one of the cruelest rules of politics.
07:27The person you ate with today
07:28I might sit at the same table as my opponent tomorrow.
07:30Johor is the first to strike.
07:32Mori Shu was the second to be cut.
07:35Malacca, Selangor
07:37Even the 16th General Election will be the real showdown.
07:40As UMNO completes its strategic plan step by step
07:43Then what he's fighting for is probably not just the Zhou regime.
07:47Instead, he regained the position of Prime Minister.
07:50It even severed Simon's political lifeline, the lifeline upon which he relied to govern.
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