- 7 hours ago
八点最热报 | 森美兰州选最受关注的，不只是国盟与国阵，以11+25席分工竞逐36州席，全面围剿希盟，还有双方那场“说不清”的合作暧昧。昨天，伊党老二端伊布拉欣，还在高喊 PN、BN，国盟国阵将在森州联手击败希盟。然而，国阵主席阿末扎希今天却强调，国阵与国盟在森州选的合作，既不是协议，也不是共识，只是一种“默契”。（主播: 蔡心慧）
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00:04Sun Mei Lan's election campaign has garnered the most attention not only from Barisan Nasional and Perikatan Nasional.
00:08With 25 seats plus 11 additional seats, they will compete for 36 seats to completely encircle and suppress the Western Alliance.
00:13And then there's the ambiguous and unclear collaboration between the two sides.
00:17Yesterday, the second-in-command of the party was still shouting, "I'll pull the star!"
00:20PNPN and Barisan Nasional will join forces in Shenzhou to defeat Western Alliance.
00:25Party leader Hadi Awang described it today as follows:
00:28Our cooperation with Barisan Nasional in the Sham State election goes beyond a marital relationship.
00:32The two sides said they would campaign for each other's candidates.
00:35However, Barisan Nasional chairman Amzah emphasized today...
00:39The cooperation between the two parties in Shenzhou is neither an agreement nor a consensus.
00:43It's just a tacit understanding
00:45Wee Ka Siong, president of the Malaysian Chinese Association, was also eager to distance himself from the situation.
00:47They also said that cooperation is not the same as merger.
00:50But people still can't help but ask...
00:52If this relationship was truly just a fleeting affair and a short-lived collaboration...
00:56So why is the Barisan Nasional (BN) so eager to prove its innocence?
01:00This is a political pawn that resembles cohabitation without marriage.
01:04Is it just an election strategy?
01:07Or is it the beginning of the reintegration of Malay politics?
01:10For supporters of Western Union
01:12When Malay votes are no longer split
01:14Could this slash be aimed at the very lifeline upon which the Western Alliance once depended for survival?
01:19Door
01:19Can Ximeng still breathe?
01:22Luo Fu's maneuvering has proven
01:24As long as Malaysian votes are concentrated
01:26The pressure on Western Alliance will increase significantly.
01:28The reason why the Western Alliance was able to break through in the past was largely due to
01:31It is because the opponent is divided that the third party benefits.
01:33But if the Malay votes are no longer split
01:36What else can the Western Alliance rely on?
01:38Relying on urban voters
01:39Non-Malay votes or swing voters
01:42When the battlefield returned to the heart of Malaya
01:44Western Alliance must face a reality
01:46The opponent doesn't necessarily need to increase support.
01:49They can change the entire electoral ecosystem simply by reducing internal attrition.
01:54However, the existence of Bersatu also suggests that the so-called Malay unity is not as great as it seems.
01:59Simple
02:00UMNO and one party are trying to reduce the split in the Malay vote.
02:03But Bersatu chose to fight alone.
02:05This also means that competition still exists within the Malay camp.
02:10This Negeri Sembilan election appears to be a contest for 36 seats.
02:13In reality, it was testing the future direction of national politics.
02:17Can testing the witch doctor partnership change the game?
02:20This also tests the Western Alliance's ability to reap the benefits of losing its rivals' division.
02:25Can they still hold onto their political space?
02:30If Florida election results
02:31The cooperation model between UMNO and PAS has now officially arrived in Negeri Sembilan.
02:35orchid
02:35Barisan Nasional will contest 25 seats, plus Perikatan Nasional's 11 seats in the initial contest.
02:39The two sides joined forces to form a single seat in all 36 states of the three states.
02:42The real impact of this cooperation was not just on the three state governments.
02:46Instead, he directly stubbed out Ximeng's cigarette.
02:48Political scientist Pan Yongqiang believes
02:50Compared to Johor, the grassroots strength of the one-party system in Negeri Sembilan is stronger.
02:53If we replicate the Johor model...
02:55The impact may be more pronounced.
02:58If this is proven to be valid in Johor
03:01It should also be possible to do so in Negeri Sembilan.
03:04Although the Islamic Party is not that strong in Johor
03:07However, under the call, many votes from the Perikatan Nasional coalition were also diverted to the use of force to unify the country.
03:13So go to Negeri Sembilan
03:14The Islamic Party in Negeri Sembilan is slightly better than that in Johor.
03:20Its foundation and its grassroots level are slightly stronger than those of Johor.
03:24If the Islamic Party replicates the Johor model...
03:28It will definitely start a trend
03:31This should put a lot of pressure on the Western Alliance as well.
03:34The biggest variable in Malay politics over the past few years
03:37It is the competition between UMNO PAS and Bersatu.
03:40Allowing Malay votes to be fragmented in the long term
03:42This also gave the Western Alliance room for breakthrough.
03:43However, if different factions begin to coordinate...
03:46The rules of the game may change.
03:48The experience of the Johor state election shows
03:49When Malay votes are concentrated from multiple camps
03:52When the triangular battle turned into a one-on-one competition
03:54That significantly increases the pressure on the Western Alliance.
03:57This means Malay politics
03:59The future will be divided between the Islamic Party and the military unification.
04:04Moreover, they used an alliance to divide the world into two.
04:10In northern Malaysia, the Islamic Party (PAS) holds an advantage.
04:13In southern Malaysia, the military unification holds the advantage.
04:16However, the two were coordinated.
04:18There is a certain degree of tacit understanding.
04:20Not a competitive model
04:21Instead, it is a model of alliance and cooperation.
04:24The Western Alliance will be a shadow over every state in the future.
04:28He only has a seat in districts where Chinese voters make up more than 60% of the electorate.
04:32He is more secure.
04:34He was a stigma in most of his constituencies.
04:37In fact, after this Johor state election
04:41Malaysia's political logic becomes even clearer.
04:45Only when the Malay vote is split
04:49Only then will the Western Alliance have a chance to rise.
04:52No cooperation has occurred.
04:54But the real battle has only just begun.
04:56Shaza, Associate Professor of the Department of Political Science at the International Islamic University, believes
04:59As an election strategy
05:01That lack of cooperation does indeed have advantages.
05:03Because both sides can avoid the splitting of Malay votes.
05:05However, another problem also arose.
05:07Can we continue to cooperate after winning?
05:10Shaza pointed out
05:11If the two parties move further towards a coalition government
05:13The power distribution between the two sides
05:15This will become the biggest challenge
05:17I believe that from the perspective of this nuclear-armed state...
05:20It has many meanings for them
05:22The act of working together
05:23Not enough to split out
05:25Therefore, I believe they can be combined into
05:28So from the perspective of that nuclear country
05:48Election cooperation is easy
05:53However, governing cooperation is difficult.
05:55Especially in the face of the upcoming national election
05:57What UMNO really needs to consider
05:58Not just how to defeat the opponent
06:00This also includes how to avoid being involved in collaborations.
06:03Gradually losing its dominant position
06:05Huang Jingfa, a political scientist at Shuangwei University, pointed out
06:07PAS currently has a larger seat base in Parliament.
06:10For UMNO
06:12If cooperation requires ensuring that one can still maintain an advantage...
06:15Otherwise, cooperation might become
06:17Help PAS to grow stronger
06:19From UMNO's perspective
06:21What he needs to assess is
06:23Is he suitable to share power with PAS?
06:27Because the Islamic Party itself has 44 seats.
06:30UMNO and Barisan Nasional only have 23 seats
06:33If Barisan Nasional wants to be the leader, it means...
06:35Barisan Nasional needs to win far more seats than PAS.
06:38The Islamic Party might say
06:40My bottom line is 44.
06:41I also need to protect and preserve the people of the Haya Zha faction.
06:45I need 60 seats.
06:46Peninsula 165 seats
06:48Then you, Barisan Nasional, should fight for 105 seats.
06:51If Simon's bottom line is 35 seats
06:53Barisan Nasional still has 70 seats.
06:55He can still be the boss.
06:56But if Simon can hold on...
06:59Even if he drops from 70 seats to 60 seats
07:02A military unification would be disadvantageous.
07:03Because you went to claim 105 seats
07:05If Simon retains 60 seats
07:07Then you'll have 45 seats left.
07:09You'll become the third child.
07:11Become the third child
07:11Of course you can continue to work with PAS.
07:13That is, the Islamic Party becomes the leader.
07:15You are the second son
07:16There is no chance for UMNO to turn things around.
07:19Gold Index
07:20Future political competition
07:21The key issue may not just be whether UMNO or PAS is stronger.
07:24The real question is whether Simon can hold onto his core players.
07:26The stronger Simon
07:27The more uncooperative the witch doctor became...
07:29They can only continue to compete and fight.
07:31But on the contrary
07:32If Simon is weaker
07:33Then UMNO would swallow up Simon's territory.
07:36Use this as leverage to stand on equal footing with PAS.
07:38And this makes it easier for both parties to cross the river.
07:41So where does the importance of Simon's voters lie?
07:46Importance is not something you decide.
07:50Who will win between UMNO and PAS?
07:51Rather, it's you who decides whether Simon will collapse.
07:54Simon doesn't collapse
07:55UMNO should not be generous to PAS.
07:59That's the situation of being ungenerous.
08:01They want to fight
08:03Fighting
08:04Even if Simon doesn't become the government next term...
08:06At least on both sides, no one can dominate.
08:11But if Simon collapses
08:14From UMNO's perspective
08:16He will take over Simon's territory.
08:20Received
08:21Let him use this power to suppress the Islamic Party
08:25The Semmelian state election is ostensibly a state election for 36 seats.
08:29But what's being observed behind the scenes is Malay politics.
08:31Is the industry moving from a phase of multi-party competition to a new phase of coordination?
08:36part
08:36Johor is the first test.
08:38Negeri Sembilan will be the second test.
08:41If the cooperation between Wu Yi and others proves effective again
08:44The impact may extend beyond just one state government.
08:46Instead, it's the next national election.
08:47Even the rules of the game in future Malaysian politics
08:52When UMNO and PAS went from being rivals
08:54Gradually moving towards election coordination
08:56This is not just a simple seating arrangement.
08:59Rather, it is an attempt to rearrange political forces.
09:03But the real challenge lies in whether the two parties can fight together.
09:07But they may not be able to share the world together.
09:10UMNO wants to maintain its former leading position.
09:13PAS, on the other hand, relies on its ever-expanding grassroots strength.
09:16Continue to expand political influence
09:18As the two forces become more and more tightly bound
09:21Will the Shenzhou state election become a key turning point in reshaping the Malay political landscape?
09:26The fundamental issue this fusion of witchcraft and medicine must ultimately address
09:29Who is the homemaker and who is in charge?
09:32Cooperation or annexation?
09:35The aligning oneself with witch doctors seems like a shortcut to victory.
09:39It could also become a trap in future power struggles.
09:42After all, electoral cooperation is one thing.
09:44Governing cooperation is another matter entirely.
09:47In the short term, they can sit at the same table for votes.
09:50But in the long run
09:52When faced with the allocation of government-led resources for the first candidate
09:56Whether this cooperation can continue is the real test.
10:01Especially now that PAS has surpassed UMNO in parliamentary seats.
10:05The balance of power between the two sides has already been reshuffled.
10:07Today's state election allows both sides to fight side-by-side for votes.
10:11But when facing the central government tomorrow...
10:14They can also face off head-on.
10:23Please feel free to like, subscribe, share, and tip to support Mingjing and DianDian Column.
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