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00:04Tomorrow is the Johor state election polling day.
00:06From the very beginning of the election campaign
00:08Simon's alarm had already been raised.
00:10After two weeks of campaigning and canvassing
00:12The situation doesn't seem to have changed much.
00:16In specific mixed selection areas
00:18The only way to turn the situation around is to offer higher fares for those returning home.
00:22If I had to describe it in one sentence
00:23That is the bottom of the Malay vote.
00:25Chinese votes for opposite sexes
00:27The number of printed votes is also decreasing.
00:30Simon previously abused his cross-ethnic advantage in governing.
00:33In this test known as the next national election
00:37Facing pressure from three fronts
00:40The three major ethnic groups and three fronts showed signs of weakening at the same time.
00:44This is the first time since Simon took office.
00:47In the past, Simon relied on the brand of the multi-player alliance.
00:50It was the Chinese and Indian voters who stabilized the base of support.
00:53Seeking a breakthrough through marginal growth in the use of Malay currency.
00:57But a breakthrough has not yet occurred.
00:59The defenses, however, were the first to falter.
01:02This is not an ordinary election fluctuation.
01:04Rather, it is a structural blood loss.
01:07Danger signals are flashing across the Anwar government.
01:11Chinese voters have also reached a critical juncture.
01:15That is to negate the motivations that supported reform in the past.
01:19It would be better to let the next government take a path of racial extremism and religious radicalism.
01:23Simon also needed to vent his emotions and had to be punished.
01:28Chinese voters in Johor will be the first to vote in less than 24 hours.
01:32reaction
01:33And our commentary and reports have mentioned this many times.
01:36Johor has never been an ordinary central hub.
01:38He was like a mirror, reflecting the true structure of national politics clearly.
01:44Chu
01:44The urban and rural areas have a well-developed ethnic structure.
01:48It is the laboratory that most closely resembles a microcosm of urban and semi-rural electoral districts across the country.
01:53However, the data provided by this laboratory is not stable.
01:56Instead, blood loss occurs simultaneously.
01:59First look at the Malaysian ballot
02:01It seems to have stabilized.
02:02In fact, it has fallen as low as it can go.
02:05On the eve of this election day
02:06Sofian, director of the Modica Polling Center, pointed out to 8pm the hottest news
02:10Simon's support among Malay voters had already hit rock bottom.
02:14in other words
02:15This isn't holding the line; it's retreating to a corner.
02:19More importantly, the real danger doesn't lie in the Malaysian ballot.
02:22In non-Malay votes
02:25The sentiment among Chinese-American voters is now shifting from expectation to disillusionment.
02:29And what about Indian voters?
02:31Professor James Chan, Director of the Asian Institute at the University of Tasmania, Australia
02:34out
02:34The discontent among Indians is actually very similar to that among Chinese.
02:39Economic performance was worse than expected.
02:40Prime Minister Anwar is also considered
02:42Focusing too much energy on Malay issues
02:45So behind that statement lies an even more poignant question.
02:50When you want to stabilize the Malaysian base
02:52But you can't win over the non-Malay voters who truly support you.
02:56Have we become the victims instead?
03:01Johor has long been regarded as a microcosm of the country's constituencies.
03:04This includes cities and rural areas, Malay tickets and Chinese tickets.
03:08There were also Indian voters
03:09Therefore, this draw will not only determine Johor's future for the next five years.
03:13Furthermore, this was after nearly four years of testing Simon's rule.
03:16Can cross-ethnic support remain stable?
03:19Let's start with the Malay vote.
03:20On the surface, Simon's support among Malays has not collapsed significantly.
03:24But this is not due to political achievements.
03:26Rather, it's because there wasn't much room for further decline to begin with.
03:29Pakatan Harapan support among Malay
03:31Actually, it's already at the very, very, very, very...
03:33This means we believe it cannot be increased.
03:36It's already there.
03:37The support was almost entirely unanimous.
03:39From 2022
03:41They could actually win back more votes.
03:43According to the team, I mentioned earlier
03:46People want to increase their activity.
03:49People are not right about the nature of the idea.
03:51People are not right
04:04Although Simon was generally in
04:05Support from Malay votes
04:07There has been no significant improvement.
04:09But it might be in
04:11There has been an increase in votes from young people.
04:14Because in the past, the Justice Party or Simon
04:18It has youth management work in some constituencies.
04:22Through some activities and organizations
04:24Connecting with young voters
04:27But overall
04:28Although the Malay vote was important to Simon
04:31Support for the People's Justice Party
04:32There has not been much improvement.
04:34in other words
04:35The Malaysian vote did not continue to deteriorate.
04:37Because it was at its lowest point from the beginning.
04:39This has created a political dilemma.
04:41The new market that was originally hoped to break into
04:43No significant gains
04:45The most stable source of non-Malay votes in the past
04:47But it started to loosen.
05:03If collecting Malaysian votes is a matter of course
05:04The insurmountable wall
05:06So what really made Simon start to feel the pressure?
05:09It is Chinese and Hindi support
05:11Cracks appeared simultaneously
05:13Chinese Americans' dissatisfaction
05:14From the gap between expectations and reality of reform
05:16The gap is getting bigger and bigger
05:18Discontent with the Hindi language
05:19This stems from long-accumulated socio-economic demands.
05:22And the feeling of being ignored
05:24Different ethnic groups
05:25Different reasons
05:26But they all point to the same result.
05:28That is, support is starting to loosen.
05:53I believe the discontent of ethnic groups
06:23Insufficient efforts to appease Malay voters
06:26He wanted to retain Chinese and Indian voters but failed to deliver on his promises.
06:30Three battlefronts, three emotions, and three paths of loss.
06:34But they all point in the same direction
06:36This isn't the Green Dynasty, it's bloodshed.
06:40Simon's three major voter bases are simultaneously developing their first cracks.
06:43Malaysian tickets have not been truly opened up.
06:46Chinese voters' votes cooled down, while Indian voters remained dissatisfied.
06:50Rove's election was therefore no longer just a local election.
06:53Rather, it tests Simon's cross-ethnic base.
06:56How many years are left?
06:59So the biggest problem now is
07:01How much time does Simon have left to save himself?
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