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Europe Today: Trump ameaça com tarifas, conversações com o Irão e onda de calor na Europa

EUA e Irão retomam conversações no Qatar após fim de semana tenso, enquanto a Europa enfrenta vaga de calor mortal ligada a mais de 1300 mortes e discute tensões comerciais UE-EUA e como se adaptar a temperaturas extremas.

LEIA MAIS : http://pt.euronews.com/2026/06/29/europe-today-trump-ameaca-com-tarifas-conversacoes-com-o-irao-e-onda-de-calor-na-europa

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00:14Bom dia, é dia 29 de junho, eu sou Mave MacMahon e esse é Europe Today,
00:21sua boa noite de EU news e análise.
00:24Obrigado por nos.
00:25Coming up, tensions temporarily on hold after the US and Iran agreed to halt strikes and
00:32hold talks in Qatar.
00:33This after Tehran said the Strait of Hormuz was under Iranian control and that further
00:38US tax would only escalate the crisis.
00:41Over the weekend, it looked like the two countries could be back on the path to war despite signing
00:46a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the conflict.
00:50Plus, Europe's early summer heatwave is turning deadly.
00:54According to the head of the World Health Organization, more than 1,300 deaths have been linked to extreme
01:01temperatures as record-breaking heat continues to sweep across the continent.
01:05It comes as politicians debate over air conditioning versus climate action.
01:10Meanwhile, trade tensions between the EU and China are back in focus as the Chinese Commerce
01:17Minister, Wang Wentao, meets the EU Trade Commissioner, Mara Sefcovic, today in Brussels.
01:24EU officials are describing the talks as a, quote, make-or-break moment for the future of trade relations.
01:30And Serbian President Aleksandar Wucic said on Saturday he would be stepping down in the very
01:37near future, paving the way for early presidential and parliamentary elections.
01:41This announcement comes after 18 months of anti-government protests.
01:47But first, the US and Iran have said they will continue their talks in Qatar tomorrow, aimed
01:52at ending the Middle East war.
01:54This comes after a weekend of strikes that looked to undermine the interim peace agreement and
01:58prompted President Donald Trump to threaten violence.
02:01Taking to truth social, the US President said this weekend, quote,
02:05it's very possible that Iran will never learn.
02:08There may be a point when we are no longer able to be reasonable.
02:13If that happens, the Islamic Republic of Iran will no longer exist.
02:17Meanwhile, Lebanon rejected the latest US-Israel-Lebanon framework deal, calling it an agreement of
02:22dictates that fails to protect the rights of Lebanese people.
02:25For more, we can bring in Osama Rizvi, founder of Rizvi Insights.
02:30Good morning, Osama.
02:30Thank you so much for joining us.
02:32So it was a tense weekend, but now there does seem to be an agreement on the table to talk.
02:37Should we treat this announcement, though, with a degree of scepticism?
02:41Well, thank you so much for having me.
02:43I think, as we've discussed before, we will see this back and forth.
02:47And the MOU will continue to be very fragile in its nature.
02:51It has to be like that.
02:52But when I look at it from a fundamental or practical point of view, even for the US side,
02:58the cost of inaction clearly outweighs that of the action.
03:02So if they go down further the path of escalation or a war, we will see a host of problems
03:08propping
03:09up from US Treasury yields rising to 5%, which has never happened before.
03:14And every time they neared 5%, we saw some sort of good news being released into the market.
03:19We will see oil prices once again rising up, election a year and so on and so forth.
03:23Whereas the cost of inaction would only be a loss of political capital.
03:27And if you look at the figures recently, it has already been depleting.
03:30So I think a practical and more sane way would be to go down the inaction pathway.
03:34And I think that is more probable, hopefully.
03:36And of course, we've seen the last couple of days tits for tat exchanges with Iran making
03:41it very clear, Osama, that they would be controlling the Strait of Hormuz.
03:44What's the biggest risk, do you think, in the next few days?
03:47I think, to borrow Bradford DeLong's word, this whole situation regarding Hormuz is a densely
03:53rated Gordian knot.
03:55So this ought to have such repercussions that nobody can understand.
04:00It will remain, unfortunately, as far as I see from a geopolitical point of view, it will
04:04remain under the control of Iran.
04:06Nobody will be able to open it from maybe other than diplomacy.
04:12But at the same moment, at the same time, I think shipments and tankers will continue to
04:17flow because it serves both the sides.
04:19Well, you mentioned that word diplomacy.
04:22Is there any realistic chance now for diplomacy?
04:25I think it is the longer we go on without any serious escalation, the better the chances
04:31become of this conflict being resolved through diplomacy.
04:35However, we have to look at the past.
04:37We have to look at Israel.
04:38We have to look at Lebanon.
04:39There are so many actors involved.
04:40So I think it will remain precarious.
04:43It is tenuous.
04:44And the situation will keep everyone and all the markets on the edge of their seats.
04:49Very much on their toes.
04:50And just regarding the markets, we saw oil prices spiking since the attacks actually
04:54resumed.
04:55What are you looking out for this week?
04:57Oil prices are actually an oddity at the moment.
05:00If you look at the fundamentals, US stocks are at 20 years lowest point.
05:04There is no reality in which WTI can be where it is right now.
05:07So either oil prices will reassess the risks and rise or maybe remain rage bound.
05:12I don't see them following to levels like 40 or 50 anytime soon.
05:16OK, Osama Rizvi there with his eye on the ball.
05:19Thank you so much for your insights, as always.
05:22Now, the tension in the Middle East comes as the US celebrates 250 years of independence.
05:28Last night here in Brussels, more than 7,000 people were wined and dined in true American
05:33style.
05:34From hot dogs to mac and cheese against a backdrop of rodeo games and cheerleaders, the US Embassy
05:39pulled out all the stops to dazzle the Belgian capital.
05:42The festival that finished with a fireworks display came as President Trump threatened
05:46to impose a 100% tariff on imports from any European country that levies a digital services
05:52tax on US companies.
05:54For more, we're joined by our very own Stefan Krobey.
05:56Stefan, never a dull moment really in the EU-US transatlantic tie.
06:02What's behind this latest attack?
06:03Yeah, that's right, Maeve.
06:05Good morning.
06:06Well, Maeve, just when many in Brussels thought that the transatlantic trade dispute had calmed
06:11down, Donald Trump has reignited it with one of his toughest threats yet.
06:18So the US president says any country imposing a digital services tax on American technology
06:23companies could face a 100% tariff on all exports to the United States.
06:28And he insists those tariffs would supersede any existing trade agreements.
06:34Now, the immediate targets here are European countries.
06:38For years, several EU member states, including France, Spain, Italy, have argued that US tax
06:45giants such as Google, such as Amazon, Apple or Meta generate billions, billions of euros
06:52in revenue in Europe while paying very little tax.
06:56And digital service taxes are designed to make those companies contribute more where they
07:03do business, which is actually here.
07:05Washington, however, sees these taxes as discriminatory because they disproportionately affect American
07:12tech companies.
07:13The European Commission has responded defiantly, saying the EU has every right to regulate and
07:19tax economic activity within its own market.
07:24And Brussels insists its rules are not discriminatory and has warned that it is prepared to respond
07:30if Washington follows through on its threat.
07:33The timing here is significant, Maeve, because only weeks after the US and the EU reached a
07:40broader trade understanding that capped most tariffs at 15%, digital taxation remains one of
07:47the most important unresolved issues.
07:50And Trump, latest warning now, risks opening an entirely new front in the transatlantic trade
07:56relationship.
07:57And Stefan, meanwhile, of course, that party that took place last night to celebrate 250 years
08:02of independence.
08:03Security, of course, was very tight.
08:05But there were protesters gathering nearby.
08:07Some NGOs like Greenpeace rolling out banners saying war, greed, energy crisis, what is there
08:14to celebrate?
08:15Now, of course, the motto of the gathering last night was 250 years of independence, building
08:20our future together.
08:22Stefan, that sounds almost ironic, given President Trump's real feelings for Europe.
08:26You were at the party last night.
08:28Did you see bad feelings?
08:30Well, Maeve, you're right.
08:32Trump doesn't like Europe, he hates the European Union, and he usually criticizes the EU in much
08:39harsher terms than, for example, Russia, China and North Korea, all countries without a liberal
08:44democracy.
08:46And on that motto, building a future together, look, it was a garden party to which US embassies
08:55and foreign capitals typically invite host country officials and diplomats around the
09:01American Independence Day.
09:04Only this time, it was much, much bigger.
09:07And you mentioned it, there were several thousands of what I call Friends of America who were invited,
09:15people who in their day jobs deal with the United States one way or the other.
09:21And no, I did not register any bad feelings, au contraire, mainly because the organizers kept
09:27it apolitical.
09:28It was a rather timeless celebration of Americana that people, especially in Europe, love about
09:35the country, like line dancing, like mechanical bull rides, like baseball and American football.
09:41And because it was so apolitical, people had a good time.
09:46America is about more than Donald Trump.
09:50And Donald Trump as president, he is what he is.
09:53But throughout American history, there have been presidents who were considered unfit for
09:58the job.
09:59You know, the James Buchanan's, the Andrew Johnson's, the Herbert Hoover's, they come
10:05and they go.
10:06The same with Trump.
10:08So political differences should not stop us from celebrating American values and a friendship
10:14that many people on both sides of the Atlantic still cherish and hold dear.
10:19OK, Stefan Cobain, as you said, people had a very good time leaving with bags, of course,
10:24of American candy.
10:25Thank you so much for your analysis there.
10:28Now, moving on, the World Health Organization has said almost 1,300 deaths have been recorded
10:34since the deadly heat wave in Europe that began on the 21st of June.
10:38This weekend saw record temperatures hit Germany, Czechia, Poland and Hungary, with police in
10:43Berlin using water cannons to cool people down and German rail urging people to cancel
10:48their travel bans.
10:49For more, we can bring in Carla Buntempo, director of the Cobra Dignanist Climate Change
10:53Service.
10:54Thank you so much for coming on Europe today.
10:57Just tell us, how unusual is this heat wave for late June?
11:00And can we expect this heat to continue into July?
11:03Well, I mean, what you were describing is the answer to your question, in a sense, because
11:08the conditions are extremely unusual.
11:10We see temperature 12, 10, 12 degrees above the normal averages for France, for part of
11:18the UK.
11:18We've seen recent days.
11:20And as you said, now that the peak of the heat wave is moving east, we are seeing record
11:25breaking temperature affecting eastern Germany, affecting Czechia and Poland.
11:28So this is very unusual.
11:30And at the moment, it doesn't necessarily look as the end is near.
11:36The peak maybe in Western Europe has been reached.
11:38But looking at the forecast and for the forecast, the national net services are the best place
11:43to look at.
11:44There is not a clear sign for rain coming in or a reduction, a massive reduction in temperature.
11:52And based on your expertise, is it climate change making these extreme heat events more
11:56frequent and more intense?
11:58Well, you know, as always, it's a combination.
12:00These events, high pressure regions extending over Europe, have existed throughout history.
12:05We have seen many heat waves before this one, starting from the famous or infamous 2003 heat
12:10wave.
12:11But this same weather pattern are now operating in a world that is much, much warmer.
12:16And Europe is warming faster than the global average.
12:19And we see this heat wave becoming more frequent, more intense, lasting longer and starting earlier
12:24in the season.
12:25And what are the biggest health risks, especially for vulnerable people?
12:28We've already seen the deaths that have been announced from this.
12:31Yeah.
12:31And there is actually a paper that came out last week from a colleague of ours at the ECNWF,
12:38Rebecca Emerton, that was published in Nature.
12:40And she looked at the heat stress.
12:43And heat stress has gone up all over the globe, not just in Europe.
12:46And heat stress is a cause of death for many humans.
12:50And actually, the heat-related mortality in Europe, as the Lancet countdown pointed out a
12:55couple of years ago, has gone up 30% in the last 20 years.
12:59So having more heat waves means that actually our own risk of facing the consequences of
13:05heat stress has gone up very significantly and will continue to go up, unfortunately, as
13:10the temperature rises, not just in Europe, but across the world.
13:13Okay, Carlo, buen tiempo.
13:15Thank you so much for your analysis, as always, and for joining us here on the programme.
13:20Now, this latest heat wave that is, as we heard set to last, has triggered a fiery debate
13:25across Europe about the lack of infrastructure when it comes to air conditioning in homes,
13:29schools, public transport and workplaces.
13:32Europe's air conditioning issues is quite low compared to other continents, particularly
13:36North America and Asia, with only around 19% of households having air conditioning here.
13:40And in France, we've seen politicians laying the groundwork for their campaigns ahead of
13:45the elections next year, seizing upon the air conditioning debate.
13:48For more, we can bring in Diana Urgevors, that's the Vice Chair of the Intergovernmental
13:52Panel on Climate Change.
13:54Good morning.
13:55Just tell us, what's your view here on this political debate over air con for all versus
13:59long-term climate policies?
14:01Is this just addressing the symptoms and not really the root causes?
14:05Thank you very much.
14:06It's a very important question.
14:07Not only is not only addressing the symptoms, but in fact, really aggravating climate change
14:13and aggravating even local warming in the cities because air conditioning, what it does
14:18is actually puts the local indoor heat out on the streets.
14:22Actually, it makes the urban heat even worse.
14:24And also global warming because cooling is expected to add 25% more electricity demand until
14:332030 than even data centers, which means that if we only compare to artificial intelligence,
14:40this is about five times as much.
14:42We talk a lot about the energy from artificial intelligence, but not so much from cooling.
14:47At the same time, of course, it is very important that we are providing thermal safety to our residents
14:54because heat is killing in Europe.
14:56It can kill as much as 40,000 to 60,000 excess deaths, so people in a hot summer all
15:05over Europe.
15:05So it is crucial.
15:06But I would consider more taking the Swiss approach, which means that we provide access,
15:13allow access to the elderly or the vulnerable groups.
15:16And otherwise, we try to implement measures that in the few really extreme days, such as what
15:22we are experiencing now in some countries and some countries are already over, we'd rather
15:26take temporary measures to provide safety, for example, in cooling centers during those
15:31days, which happen just a few days about every year.
15:35So far, it will, for a while, it will really only hurt us a few days every couple of years.
15:41But then we have to take these measures, for example, cooling centers, or also have to accept
15:46that perhaps there will be temporary reductions in productivity and perhaps home officeing and
15:53other measures can help in these difficult situations.
15:57And I'm not sure if you've seen, but the European Commission is under criticism for turning off
16:00the AC for some of its staff and leaving it on for others higher up in buildings.
16:05I guess this shows really the wider problem we have across Europe, as you're describing,
16:09regarding access.
16:11Exactly.
16:12So access to air conditioning is a crucial issue.
16:15At the same time, it is also, again, important to understand that the solution is not universal
16:21access to everywhere, everything, because right now, exactly the very reasons why it had to
16:27be turned off is because of capacity shortages.
16:29And if we suddenly try to provide access to everyone, that means that our capacities won't
16:35be able to survive, because we are now already jeopardizing the success of the green energy
16:42transition, because what we see is that we are now adding more energy demand that we are
16:48able to provide with new sources of renewable power, despite our unexpected success with the
16:56deployment of renewable energy sources.
16:58But certainly, of course, it doesn't mean that the elites of the elites will have to have access and the
17:04others don't.
17:05So we do have to look at everyone's needs.
17:09But again, I do believe that perhaps temporary measures where everyone has a temporary arrangement
17:15for these few days to get by and still be able to work, but even more to be able to
17:20stay healthy is more
17:22important than the solution to have full access immediately to everyone to air conditioning.
17:27Because the problem is, once you have access to air conditioning, the culture also changes.
17:33We have a lot of cultural adaptations to hot days and how we get by in heat, and we would
17:41lose all of this
17:42if we suddenly have all air conditioners.
17:45OK, Diana Urgevorsas, thank you so much for your insights there and for joining us.
17:49And now it's time for an update on the FIFA World Cup results.
17:58Well, it was a busy weekend with matches, with Austria qualifying in dramatic fashion
18:03after a 3-3 draw with Algeria on Sunday morning, becoming the last European team to book a place
18:09in the knockout stage.
18:10Three of the 16 teams heading home after the group stage are European, Czechia, Scotland and
18:16Turkey, with Turkey's exit probably the biggest surprise.
18:20That means 13 European teams are still fighting for glory.
18:24From now on, there are no more excuses.
18:26Meanwhile, after Host Nation Canada secured their place in the round of 16 last night, Germany
18:31and the Netherlands are both in action tonight.
18:34The Mannschaft takes on Paraguay, while another blockbuster will of course be Netherlands versus
18:39Morocco at 3am.
18:41With a large Moroccan community in the Netherlands, the stakes are high.
18:45Firebrand politician Geert Wilders added to the tension by posting a photo of himself
18:50dressed as a referee, showing Morocco a red card.
18:53Also on the menu, Brazil versus Japan at 7.
18:57May the best teams win.
18:59But that brings this edition of Europe Today to an end.
19:02Thank you so much for your company.
19:04As always, of course, you can go to yournews.com for more news and analysis, or you can drop
19:09us a line at yournews.com with your feedback.
19:12Take care, see you soon, and stay with us on Europe News.
19:26We'll see you soon.
19:58Transcrição e Legendas Pedro Negri
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