- 1 day ago
八点最热报 | 柔佛州选还没正式开打，马华已经率先敲响战鼓，昨天马华总会长魏家祥更大声急呼，这次柔佛州选是马华的一场生死战，并且很有信心的喊话，马华必定赢回东甲这个选区，马华在上届州选以371票饮恨东甲州议席。其实，在州议会一解散时，马华就给自己定下一个kpi......（主播: 蔡心慧）
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00:00Before watching the video, please remember that trending websites offer more content.
00:04The Johor weekly election has not officially started yet.
00:06MCA has already sounded the battle cry.
00:09Yesterday, MCA President Wei Jiaxiang made an even louder appeal.
00:12This Johor election is a do-or-die battle for the MCA.
00:16And he shouted with great confidence.
00:18MCA will definitely win back the Tangkak constituency.
00:21In the last election, MCA received 371 votes.
00:24Hidden resentment over Zhou Yi's seat in Dongjia
00:26Actually, when the weekly council is dismissed...
00:29Ma Hua set himself a KPI.
00:31At the very least, we need to achieve the goal of securing a top-four finish and striving for a top-four position.
00:35Where does the MCA want to win a seat?
00:37The answer is straightforward.
00:39Basically, these are the constituencies where the DAP won.
00:41Objectively speaking
00:43This Johor election week is important for the MCA.
00:45It is a political revival race that will determine the party's future over the next decade.
00:50The past 20 years
00:51He was gradually squeezed out of the main stage of Chinese politics.
00:54It's rare to see any signs of the DAP's strongholds loosening these days.
00:59This is a long-awaited opportunity for the MCA.
01:02An opportunity to make Chinese voters look at him again.
01:07The wind really does seem to be blowing in gusts.
01:10It seems like the spring for the MCA is really not far away.
01:13From the perspective of online and coffee shop formats
01:15MCA seems to have indeed been dealt a hand that is rarely seen in recent years.
01:20But can this card be played?
01:24The most basic KPIs of the MCA
01:26Maintaining a top-four finish and striving for a top-four finish
01:27It was never just about winning more state seats.
01:30For the MCA
01:31This seems more like a preparation for a future return to the cabinet.
01:34Paving the way for a return to the core of power
01:37Johor Weekly Election on the surface
01:39They are vying for state assembly seats.
01:40In reality, for UMNO and Barisan Nasional
01:43However, this is a political bargaining chip for the Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition in the lead-up to the 16th General Election.
01:48This is a preliminary battle to reclaim the prime minister's seat.
01:51However, can the MCA turn this opportunity into votes?
01:55Can we turn the disappointment of the Chinese people into our support?
01:59Or will we ultimately have no choice but to watch helplessly?
02:02Watching Liu Shi's votes flow towards the anger
02:05Flowing to the third force?
02:07Today's Johor election week is a good opportunity for the DAP.
02:10Perhaps it was just a siege.
02:12But for the MCA
02:14But it was the last chance to reach out and grab the rock face at the edge of the cliff.
02:19However, political scientist Pan Yongqiang and the CEO of the Modica Polling Center
02:23Sufian believes
02:24The PAP's support may cool down.
02:26But this does not mean a collapse.
02:28More importantly, these lost votes
02:31A very large majority will likely choose not to vote.
02:34What MCA (Malaysian Chinese Association) most desires is not necessarily the votes of the Chinese community.
02:38Chinese voters fall in love with themselves again
02:40As long as the DAP's supporters no longer love the DAP as much as before
02:44The Barisan Nasional's core support remains unchanged.
02:46Malaysian tickets return to circulation
02:48The situation is still more optimistic than the last election.
02:51But...
02:52Neither of the respondents ruled out
02:53MCA may perform better than in the last election.
02:59Johor election nominations not yet announced
03:00But the MCA has already launched its battle.
03:03Shout out the goal of competing for the Baosi Temple
03:05MCA
03:06This was hit rock bottom in the last national election.
03:08For a political party that has been detached from the core of power for three years
03:11This is no longer a battle for the first territory.
03:13It was a political revival that had been waiting for years.
03:16The past 20 years
03:17The biggest challenge for the MCA is not the lack of organization.
03:19It's not that there's no grassroots
03:20Instead, an increasing number of Chinese American voters
03:22It is no longer considered an option.
03:24But now, with signs of a loosening in the Chinese voter base...
03:28Many supporters believe
03:29The opportunity for MCA has finally arrived.
03:31What bail matters are circulating online?
03:34Actually, for the MCA
03:35It is also a big challenge
03:37What about MCA?
03:38When it is certain that it will not only be engaged in
03:40That's also possible.
03:41Hope?
03:42All the income-generating dramas can pass the test.
03:44Each seat
03:45The MCA will send its candidates to fight this battle well.
03:48Hope?
03:49Can win more seats
03:50We, the members of the MCA, are all confident.
03:52Because many people say
03:55MCA is doing very well now.
03:57The common people are very good
03:57We can't be sure as long as we do it.
03:59Because there's a reason he's more supportive of the MCA (Malaysian Chinese Association).
04:01real
04:01Do you think the Chinese student vote has been pushed towards the MCA (Malaysian Chinese Association)?
04:05Are we no longer sure?
04:06meeting
04:06Because the Chinese community has also had a very difficult time this time.
04:09Of course, we'd like to go back to that era.
04:12Because of some issues that seem to involve raising livestock farms.
04:15Education is a subject of study.
04:16They have been gradually stripping away the rights of us Chinese.
04:20The people themselves must make the decision.
04:21Is it necessary to make this thorough decision?
04:24To change this positive
04:27Of course, many Chinese voters now
04:29Did their opponents support them before?
04:32Then there's 100,000 for them.
04:34In addition, our MCA
04:36Actually, we have never stopped.
04:39It's about service and work.
04:40Then, in addition, we understand the principle of "pain subsiding and fading away."
04:44Our redoubled efforts
04:45It's about trying our best to get it back.
04:47Every member of the MCA grassroots is full of confidence.
04:49Will the votes really come back?
04:51Political scientist Pan Yongqiang and Sophie, CEO of the Modica Research Center
04:55install
04:55In the interview, he pointed out
04:56MCA's biggest opportunity comes from a possible loosening of DAP's support.
05:00But the biggest misjudgment might be thinking that...
05:03The votes lost by the DAP will surely flow back to themselves.
05:06Pan Yongqiang pointed out
05:07The PAP's support may indeed cool down.
05:09But a drop in temperature does not mean a collapse.
05:11And not all the lost votes will necessarily return to the MCA.
05:15Even if the money does flow to MCA, it might not be enough to secure seats.
05:18Support for the PAP among Chinese voters may cool down.
05:22But it's not to the point of a complete collapse.
05:24Where did his tickets go after the temperature dropped?
05:27Some may not come back to vote.
05:29Because this is a state election.
05:31It did not involve national power.
05:33So, adding the support for the PAP
05:36Enthusiasm for the West has diminished.
05:38So some people don't come back to vote.
05:40Not returning from Singapore to vote
05:41But you don't vote for these tickets
05:43You will also benefit your opponent.
05:45If the opponent has a high number of Malay votes
05:48Or the opponent has a strong mobilization capacity.
05:51You will still allow the MCA to gain benefits.
05:53So I think those tickets
05:54Among those tickets
05:55This could potentially get 30% of the Malay votes.
05:57Or what kind of
05:58They have a chance to appear
06:00Because many people voted
06:02Vote for BN wald
06:04Whether it's the GN or other ethnic groups
06:07So the Malay voter
06:08It's possible that untuk is there.
06:09Go to DAT competition cells
06:10But in terms of meaning
06:11I think becoming an ordinary citizen
06:22Lonely misfortune
06:23In an atmosphere with Chinese sentiment
06:25Dissatisfied with the description of the party's Chinese voters
06:27Even if absent from voting
06:28Not directly turning to MCA
06:29But the MCA may still benefit from this.
06:32However, the University of Tasmania, Australia
06:33Zhan Yunhao, director of the Institute of Asian Studies, reminded...
06:36This Johor election
06:37There is another force
06:38That is the Unity Party led by Rafizi.
07:04I believe it might be around 10%.
07:07He would do this to teach Simon a lesson
07:10Lessons for the DAP
07:11Will support other factions
07:12Including the MCA union
07:13The MCA union is in
07:14My Buddhist week itself also has a certain foundation.
07:16Moreover, it was in the past as
07:18Known for its service reputation
07:20Therefore, the MCA union is in the DAP
07:22In a relatively weak situation
07:24It will recover some of it.
07:26Returning Chinese votes
07:27However, even so
07:29MCA still sees an opportunity
07:30Because from the data...
07:32In the last election week, several party seats were described as...
07:34The winning vote count was actually less than 5%.
07:37These slightly different selection areas
07:38This is precisely the breakthrough point in the eyes of the MCA.
07:40This is the problem.
07:41The voter turnout in the last election was only 54%.
07:44Are these calculations valid?
07:45Ultimately, it depends on the voter turnout.
07:47Will it increase?
07:48It may increase
07:50Three or four state legislature seats
07:51There is a certain foundation
07:52However, its foundation is based on the previous session.
07:55voter turnout in the weekly constituency
07:57At that time, the voter turnout was only 54%.
07:59So if these voter turnouts
08:00Return to normal
08:01It may increase from 70% to 75%.
08:03So it has some basis for evaluation.
08:05Adjustments may be necessary.
08:07Of course now because
08:08The DAP will lose a little bit of votes.
08:10For example, some constituencies
08:12The DAP in the previous week constituencies
08:14That majority of votes wasn't much.
08:16The majority of votes is within 5%.
08:18Several constituencies include Loubei.
08:21This also includes Lou Nan.
08:22Liao Caihong's
08:24Johor Jaiye
08:25In fact
08:26This battle for the MCA
08:27The welcoming of Xi Jinping is just the first step.
08:28The real strategic goal
08:30It is thanks to the overall performance of the Barisan Nasional
08:31Knocking on the door to the federal cabinet
08:33Because if Barisan Nasional performs better than expected
08:35Along with the 16th General Election
08:37If taking over fails
08:38MCA may also use this opportunity to regain its core power.
09:07The past twenty years
09:08The MCA lost more than just one seat.
09:10Rather, it is the expectations that the Chinese community has for him.
09:12The DAP's aura is now fading.
09:15Cracks are beginning to appear in the Chinese voter base.
09:17Brasama is still assembling machines.
09:19The entire Chinese political market
09:21The first possibility of a reshuffling.
09:24For MCA
09:26This is more like a high-stakes gamble that has been wagered for twenty years.
09:29Twenty years of achievements
09:30Waiting for twenty years
09:31Now we've finally waited for our opponent to show signs of weakness.
09:34Cracks appeared in the ticket pool
09:35A window of opportunity for a reshuffling of the political market
09:39But can the MCA handle it?
09:41More importantly
09:42The real battlefield may not be in Johor at all.
09:45The Johor draw was just the beginning.
09:48Just a test
09:49It's just a stepping stone to power in the next general election.
09:52The MCA has never been fighting for just a few state seats.
09:55Instead, they returned to the negotiating table.
09:58Return to the Cabinet
09:59Qualification to return to the core of power
10:01If we can take advantage of this battle
10:03Prove yourself again
10:05He will return to the game.
10:07Even regaining access to Putrajaya
10:11However, this is a stepping stone to Putrajaya.
10:14It is also a precipice that stops falling into the abyss.
10:17Nobody really knows the answer.
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