Skip to playerSkip to main content
The structural framework on the AUDUSD hourly timeframe reveals a clear narrative dominated by institutional sellers. Following a strong downside displacement from the premium supply regions, the overall market structure remains heavily bearish. Multiple bearish Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm that supply continues to overwhelm demand, maintaining an intact sequence of lower highs and lower lows.

Presently, price action is testing a major institutional Demand Zone. While we are seeing an initial reaction from this liquidity pool, a valid lower-timeframe bullish confirmation has yet to form. Until a structural shift occurs, any corrective rally into premium areas is highly likely to attract further distribution.
πŸ—ΊοΈ Institutional Zones & Key Levels

Premium Supply (Sell Areas): 0.7045–0.7070 | 0.7140–0.7155 | 0.7190–0.7205

Discount Demand (Buy Areas): 0.7000–0.7015 (Current Pool) | 0.6900–0.6920

The Institutional Pivot: 0.7000. A clean H1 close below this level will invalidate the minor corrective structure and likely trigger a rapid bearish expansion toward the lower discount targets.

πŸ”„ Tactical Trade Scenarios
πŸ“‰ Bearish Continuity Plan (Higher Probability)

Our primary focus rests on the premium supply region. We are Waiting for Mitigation here. Once institutional price action confirms a structural rejection, we can expect the downward expansion to resume.

Entry Zone: 0.7045 – 0.7070

Invalidation Level: Strictly set at 0.7090 (If price breaks this, our immediate bearish bias changes).

Objectives: T1 | T2 | T3 (Targeting downside liquidity pools)

πŸ“ˆ Bullish Alternative Plan (Counter-Trend)

If the current demand successfully defends the psychological level, a minor corrective structure emerges. We are Waiting for Mitigation inside this demand pool to safely capture a short-term corrective bounce.

Entry Zone: 0.7000 – 0.7015

Invalidation Level: Strictly set at 0.6985 (A breach below this level fully invalidates the correction).

Objectives: T1 | T2 | T3 (Targeting premium upside liquidity)

Protecting trading capital by observing internal order flow shifts inside these specific zones before executing ensures proper alignment with institutional intent. Stay disciplined and let the setups develop.

This is an educational video, not investment advice.

#AUDUSD #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FXTrading #OrderFlow
Transcript
00:00Navigating the AUDUSDH1 market structure reveals a dominant bearish narrative driven by strong
00:06institutional displacement from the premium supply regions. Please watch the full video.
00:11Following a series of bearish breaks of structure or BOS, sellers remain firmly in control,
00:17forcing price action down into a critical demand zone between 0.70000 and 0.7015.
00:24While we observe an initial reaction from this liquidity pool, a structural shift has yet to
00:29materialize. For the primary bearish continuity plan, our focus shifts to the premium supply region
00:35between 0.7045 and 0.7070. We are waiting for mitigation here. Once institutional price action
00:43confirms a rejection, we can expect the downward expansion to resume. For this bearish trajectory,
00:49our invalidation level is strictly set at 0.7090. If price breaks this, our bias changes.
00:56The primary downside objectives to clear liquidity are structured as scenario 1 at T1 of 0.7010,
01:03scenario 2 at T2 of 0.6980, and scenario 3 at T3 of 0.6920. Alternatively, should the current
01:12institutional demand hold, an aggressive counter-trend setup emerges directly from the
01:160.70000 to 0.7015 zone. We are waiting for mitigation here to capture a corrective bounce.
01:23For this bullish alternative, our invalidation level is strictly set at 0.6985. A breach below
01:30this level invalidates the minor corrective structure. The upside liquidity targets are
01:35mapped out with scenario 1 at T1 of 0.7045, scenario 2 at T2 of 0.7070, and scenario 3
01:43at T3 of 0.7140.
01:46The 0.70000 level remains the decisive institutional pivot. A clean hourly close below it accelerates
01:52expansion towards 0.6920. Protecting capital by observing order flow shifts inside these specific
01:58zones before executing trades, ensures proper alignment with institutional order flow development.
02:04This is an educational video not investment advice. Follow for more, the next analysis is coming very soon.
Comments
Must Profit
Creator
What is your main bias for AUDUSD this week? Do you expect the 0.7000 demand level to hold, or will the bears push it lower? Let's discuss in the comments below!

Recommended