- 6 hours ago
八点最热报 | 前公正党老二拉菲兹过去的周末，一口气完成退党、腾空议席、接管小党BERSAMA同心党，强势宣称“改革重启”。拉菲兹的这一局，到底是一场“鼠鹿冲林”的突围，还是让外部敌人坐享“饿狼围猎”的局中局？（主播：萧慧敏）
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00:00Before watching the video, please remember that trending websites offer more content.
00:04Former PKR runner-up Rafael's weekend
00:07He completed his withdrawal from the Party in one go, thus freeing up a seat.
00:10Bersama Unity Party Takeover
00:13A strong declaration to restart reforms
00:15But our commentary a few days ago also raised an even more pointed question.
00:18Rafael himself likened this political clash to a kamikaze attack.
00:23So who exactly did it hit?
00:25Is it conservative old politics or a direct clash with Simon and the Fiery Mote system?
00:30Blood vessel
00:31Let the enlightened forces, mainly supported by non-Malays, destroy themselves.
00:35When this reform force, originally intended for external expansion, is redirected inward...
00:39Then the political rift would no longer be an external confrontation.
00:42Instead, it was an internal explosion.
00:44Rafael's round was ultimately a breakout attempt by Lu Chonglin, a player known as "Rat Lu Chonglin".
00:49Or should we let external enemies reap the benefits of a predatory hunt?
00:53Will the Tongxin Party ultimately become a spoiler?
00:56And reenacting the script of Muna 2.0
00:59That means having high ideals and a bright start.
01:01It's not called being praised.
01:03Ultimately, it rapidly fragments in the face of structural reality.
01:07What remains is the popularity, not the territory.
01:11On the gray of the Tongxin Party
01:13A blue little deer
01:15It is on a yellow background
01:17Rafael said the mouse deer symbolizes the political character Malaysia needs.
01:21Agile, intelligent, courageous, and adventurous
01:25Like the deer in Malay folklore that defeated a ferocious beast with its wisdom.
01:30The Story of the Mouse Deer and the Mulberry Deer
01:32Anyone who has attended primary school knows
01:34But similar prophecies by Sanglusang
01:37It can only be told to children as an inspirational story.
01:41You can't win votes politically.
01:44The two political scientists interviewed, Azmi Hassan and Pan Yongqiang, believe that
01:48It is difficult for the Tongxin Party to grow into a true third force.
01:52In politics, the third force is not something that can be shouted out.
01:55Instead, it was played out.
01:57In the current political reality of Malaysia
02:00The so-called third force must at least possess the following:
02:03A structural size comparable to Simon's National Alliance and Barisan Nasional
02:07But the reality is...
02:08The Tongxin Party hasn't even gotten a firm footing at the starting line yet.
02:12But the crueler part is that
02:14It may not be a replacement.
02:16It's more like a ticket-splitting machine.
02:18Specifically targeting urban reformist votes from the same cohort as Simon.
02:23Because of Rafizi's political influence
02:25The reform stratosphere, which was originally concentrated in the Xuelong area,
02:28That means they won't get the mainstream Malay vote.
02:31It also cannot shake the core support of the Perikatan Nasional or Barisan Nasional coalition.
02:34It means
02:35It cannot expand and can only fight internally with Simon, splitting the vote.
02:40Give the constituencies that Simon flew low over to Perikatan Nasional or Barisan Nasional.
02:47Rafizi resigns from party and takes over smaller parties
02:48Barney Bussam Unity Party
02:51Some say Rafizi's turn was a high-stakes gamble.
02:54Some have suggested this might be a political miscalculation.
02:58Regardless of opinion
02:59Rafizi made this decision
03:01For the entire political landscape and the 16th National Election
03:04What kind of effect will it have?
03:06Political scientist Azmihassan believes
03:08In Malaysia, personal charisma alone cannot support a political party.
03:11Because voters trust the party's name more than the individual.
03:15Pan Yongqiang, however, spoke more directly.
03:18Don't overestimate Rafizi's personal charisma.
03:21After all, Rafizi's aura was attached to the reform wave of the fiery Mexico.
03:26Above the Tide
03:26Once you leave this system
03:28The halo will be re-examined
03:30The controversy will be brought up and recalculated.
03:33If Bersama is going alone
03:36Extremely difficult
03:37Let them have an impact
03:39In participating in the policies of political parties
03:41Although paired with Rafezi
03:44Nit Nazmi or Wong Cheng
03:45It is very difficult
03:47There will be several people in PKR
03:49Or subscribe to the party and join Bersama
03:52But I think Rafezi and Nit Nazmi
03:55It also has its own quality
03:58Yes, they are professionals.
04:06We shouldn't overestimate Rafezi's individual abilities.
04:08Because of Rafezi's rise
04:10He occupied Riformacy
04:13There's also the halo of the Communist Party.
04:15Everything he currently possesses
04:18Including his reputation, image, and support.
04:22Not entirely from personal
04:24Of course, he has excellent personal qualities.
04:27personal efforts
04:28But he is often
04:30He has excellent personal qualities.
04:30Clothing throughout the Pakatan Harapan
04:33Or Riformacy movement
04:35Thus rose
04:36If he were to leave the Communist Party now...
04:39They left Pakatan Harapan
04:41How much would he have left?
04:43We'll have to see how he performs from here on out.
04:46Many people will re-examine
04:48His past performance in politics
04:51For example, his staff
04:53Was his attitude arrogant?
04:55Does he have any political achievements?
04:56Is he very domineering within the party?
04:58Politics is not a personal stage play
05:01Rather, it's a structural game.
05:02According to the two political scientists
05:04Rafael's game
05:05If they really go on stage
05:06It's not a story about the rise of a third force.
05:09It's more like a structural internal conflict.
05:12The reason is very practical.
05:14The core supporters of the Unity Party
05:15Locked in the city reformists
05:17Especially in the Xuelong area
05:19In other words
05:20He lacks the ability to expand.
05:22He can't beat Perikatan Nasional or shake up Barisan Nasional.
05:24They can only fight against PKR and SWAT themselves.
05:28He cannot develop into a powerful third force.
05:31Because his innate structure was originally...
05:33Reformist voters limited to urban areas
05:38He borrowed this ASAMER's main attack
05:41It's clearly an attack on the Justice Party.
05:44Because he lacks the ability to expand.
05:46He did not steal.
05:48Conditions for votes for unification by force or the National Alliance
05:52He can only engage in internal strife with the People's Justice Party.
06:10Asmihassan believes
06:12In the three major blocs of Barisan Nasional, Perikatan Nasional, and Westminster...
06:15Given the political reality that the base of support has already solidified
06:17To become the so-called third force
06:20It must be a confrontation of equal level.
06:22But Rafael's Concord Party
06:24They haven't even left the political starting line yet.
06:27Could he become another Muda?
06:30Rafael's political party
06:31He already has several members of Congress.
06:35Some of them have already withdrawn from the Party.
06:38Some are still observing.
06:40He himself has considerable political experience.
06:43Or explosive power
06:44He has some kind of team.
06:47Moreover, these teams have some political experience.
06:50election experience
06:51He even started out in the government.
06:55The conditions will be better than Muda's.
06:56Choice in Malaysia
06:58Select Select
07:00In this situation
07:01A very well-established party
07:02Choose to select, select, select, select.
07:06If they were independent
07:07They will be independent
07:09They will be like Muda
07:11In the total selection, choose the selection.
07:14They will become a small part
07:20This time in Malaysian politics
07:22Not vibration
07:23Instead, it was an implosion.
07:24Simon's so-called city walls
07:26Before it was breached
07:27It has already started to crack from the inside.
07:29The sharpest blade now
07:31From former key figures
07:33Rafizi
07:33This is no longer just a withdrawal from the Party.
07:35Or political reorganization
07:36And was seen as the trigger for Simon
07:38One of the biggest variables in the voter base
07:41It might even be rewritten
07:42The fundamental logic of the 16th General Election
07:44This cut could potentially pierce straight through.
07:46Anwar's power struggle
07:48Rafizi said
07:49He and Nenazmi were not perfect.
07:51It has many shortcomings and deficiencies.
07:53But they claimed they were entrusted with something.
07:55A torch of reformism
07:57We must insist on passing it on to the next generation.
07:59That's a beautifully said, righteous and awe-inspiring statement.
08:02It even moved the listeners.
08:04But the political arena is not a motivational speech stage.
08:06It is a power arena where swords and spears clash.
08:09The legend of the familiar route tells us
08:11Small animals can use their intelligence to defeat wild beasts.
08:13But what the legend doesn't say is...
08:15Even a mouse can trip up its own trap.
08:18If the Tongheung Party fails to win before the 16th General Assembly
08:21Quickly build ground machines
08:22Attracting more incumbent lawmakers to follow suit
08:25This kamikaze attack may ultimately be just a...
08:27The roof of the West Gate was set on fire.
08:29But the National Alliance found the Key to the Holy Chosen in the ruins.
08:33Political arson
08:34Anwar lost the person who knew his cards best.
08:37The National Alliance gained a breach that pierced the heart of the enemy camp.
08:41Voters are seeing yet another internal rift under the banner of reform.
08:45Who's winning
08:47It's too early to make any judgments.
08:48But one thing is certain: one side lost.
08:52And they lost completely.
08:53That side was called the Fiery Mexican Reform Movement.
08:56The generation that emerged from Hai Zhilie's fiery Mexico back then
08:59Today I'm going to cut it in half myself.
09:01Then, after it's cut, who will piece it back together?
09:04After Iran seized the opportunity to come to power...
09:06Will the country end up like Iran?
09:09They've been unable to escape the control of theocracy for nearly 50 years.
09:13If you were part of the previous reforms
09:15Will you hold Rafizi's mouse deer?
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09:27Please feel free to like, subscribe, share, and tip to support the Mingjing & DianDian column.
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