- 19 hours ago
The Sports Junkies break down Washington’s big advantage this season.
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00Can you give us the rundown, the bottom to the top of our bet?
00:06The loser of this bet will apply Sunstein and or Sunstein Lotion to ROM.
00:11I got it right now.
00:12Marr is in last.
00:14Right.
00:14He is minus 400.
00:16Right.
00:17I'm second to last, so I just got to outrun Marr at minus 216.
00:22Right.
00:23Cakes, third to last, minus 6642.
00:26DB, minus 2971.
00:30Okay, thank you.
00:30I'm good.
00:31Drab, plus 52.
00:33JP, plus 183.50.
00:36And Jason, plus 519.
00:39I'm good.
00:39I'm off game.
00:40Tim, I wish I was betting with Jason Bishop.
00:42I know, right?
00:42Hey, why wouldn't I just take the same bet Bickle does?
00:45That's exactly right.
00:48That's exactly what I'm going to do.
00:50I'm taking whatever I have gotten.
00:52Because Valdez asked for the text for the picks, and you wouldn't necessarily know what it was.
00:57No, you have to do a secret ballot now.
00:59You can't do that.
00:59Yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:00I strike that from the record.
01:02No, no.
01:02Because I noticed what everyone was doing yesterday.
01:06Oh, they're playing defense?
01:08Yeah, they're playing defense.
01:09They're trying to play offense.
01:10I've noticed this yesterday.
01:12You have to submit your picks to Valdez.
01:13You have to submit it, yes.
01:15Not in a group setting.
01:16Because all I have to do is just do the same thing Cakes does, and I'm golden.
01:20I can't lose.
01:21He's already behind me.
01:23He's already behind me.
01:24From here on out, nobody knows each other's picks.
01:27Because you have to give them the Valdez.
01:29Well, JP already gave his.
01:30Okay, JP gave his.
01:31That's the last public acknowledgement of our picks.
01:34Where's JP in his standings?
01:35He's ahead of me, though.
01:36He's in second.
01:37He's in second or third?
01:38I think he's in second.
01:40That doesn't help me.
01:41So why do you think they were playing defense?
01:43Because they took the same game?
01:45If I take the same thing Cakes does, and he's already behind me.
01:48How did you know what he took?
01:50Because it was in the group text.
01:52Which we're not going to do anymore.
01:54When I saw Eric's text about, he goes,
01:57I'm just going to take the same thing as Cakes.
01:59LOL.
02:00I might lose.
02:01And I go, what an a-hole.
02:03He's just trying to outrun Cakes.
02:06Yeah, we see what you're doing.
02:07What an a-hole.
02:08I'm just trying to.
02:10Strategy.
02:11Yeah, strategy.
02:12He just doesn't want to rub Rob.
02:14I don't want to rub that dirty guy's belly.
02:16I think the back is worse than the belly.
02:19The back is way worse.
02:19For some reason, his belly doesn't have much hair.
02:23It's our choice.
02:24His back is all hair.
02:26We didn't say hair.
02:27I'm sure his belly's hairy.
02:28It's not that hairy.
02:29He posted some pictures.
02:32Hold on.
02:32Do you have to rub his belly and his back, or just one side?
02:35No, no, no.
02:36The bet stipulation.
02:37You guys change stipulations all the time.
02:38I didn't hear anything about that.
02:39The stipulation is you could put lotion on his body wherever you want.
02:43Wherever you want.
02:43Okay.
02:44That was what was originally the same.
02:46I want to put it on his ear, and that's it.
02:48That's the hose again.
02:49That's not as fun.
02:50I'll go back to the original audio.
02:52I think it was just you have to put lotion on Rob.
02:54Yeah.
02:55And Mike Maher's the leader in the club, which I would assume he'd be all over his body.
02:59Mike Maher at minus 400 has to hit a plus money bet tonight.
03:02Well, Mike Maher's not going to care, because he's going to be drinking a bunch of Surf Sides,
03:06and he's going to be doing smelling salts.
03:08He's got a brand new batch of smelling salts to bring down to the beach with him.
03:12I don't think Jason has seen these photos that Ron posted, and I can retweet it.
03:16But just look at his back.
03:19When did he post these?
03:20Recently?
03:21Anyone who's listened to the show in the last five years doesn't know who he is.
03:25I remember that.
03:26Was that in AC?
03:28I'm not sure.
03:29Let me see.
03:31His recent Ron Tireman has not been good for his brand.
03:35And Cake sleeps with him all the time.
03:37That was a posed thing.
03:38That was a staged thing.
03:40And his back hair.
03:41You're putting Copper Tone on an overweight man.
03:44Yeah.
03:46He's like, he's almost like a...
03:49He's an obese man.
03:50You can say it.
03:51He's like, he's the kind of guy you would find in the UFOs.
03:56And you'd go, what is this?
03:57Is this a half man, half...
03:59What is this species?
04:00What is this species?
04:01Sasquatch.
04:02Yeah.
04:02This was found in a UAP.
04:04Here's the difference.
04:05Sasquatch has big feet.
04:06Right.
04:06He has tiny little hooves.
04:08This just tells you women are superior people.
04:11And again, I've...
04:12If you've ever had a doubt...
04:14I've said this a hundred times.
04:15Thank God his daughter looks like the mom.
04:19Yeah.
04:19And not like Rom.
04:20Right, right.
04:21She took all the good genetics from the mother and thankfully none from Rom that we know of.
04:27He's got all that and a thimble.
04:31Again.
04:32Anywhere size eight and a half feet.
04:34My guy Andrew, who I played golf with yesterday, has listened for years.
04:37Just so happened to be a patent attorney.
04:39So I was like, I mentioned Rom.
04:41And he goes, because I've never seen the guy, but I always imagined a 300-pound Ron Jeremy's height.
04:47I said, you're not far off.
04:49I wouldn't put him at quite 300 pounds because he's not tall enough.
04:52If he had a little bit more hair, he'd look almost identical to him.
04:56He had a little bit more hair.
04:57Well, he'd need a prosthetic.
04:58It wasn't a compliment.
04:58He would need a prosthetic on a certain part of his body to kind of replicate Ron Jeremy.
05:03Anyway, let's pivot to the Commanders.
05:06I was telling you before the break that there's kind of a silver lining to the Commanders schedule that EB
05:12you might not know about because you're panicking about the first eight or nine games of the schedule.
05:18According to Warren Sharpe's annual rest disparity analysis, Washington enters 2026 with more than nine days of net rest over
05:28its opponents.
05:29Meaning, across 17 games, the Commanders will enjoy substantially more rest than their opponents on a cumulative basis.
05:37The figure ranks fourth in the entire league alongside Dallas, Buffalo, and Chicago.
05:45In four of the last five seasons prior to this year, they have had negative net rest handed to them
05:50by the NFL.
05:51This is according to Warren Sharpe.
05:53So, to not just get positive net rest, but plus nine days of net rest should stand out for the
05:59Washington Commanders.
06:00So, they've got nine more days combined of rest than the total amount of their opponents.
06:06Yes.
06:07Correct?
06:07Right.
06:07Okay.
06:08Also, the Commanders will face no opponents coming off a bye week in 2026.
06:14They have only one short week road game.
06:17And they've got a week seven bye place near the midpoint of the schedule.
06:21Okay.
06:22So, for all those panicky Pete's about the schedule.
06:25I wonder why Mike North didn't talk about that when we had him on.
06:28I guess he doesn't go into the rest disparity analysis like our guy Warren Sharpe does.
06:34Sharpe also says, he says, quote, they only have one game where they play at a rest disadvantage all year.
06:41And it's only a one day rest disadvantage that happens to come week 12 against the Cardinals, the worst team
06:47in the NFL this year.
06:48He said, so if there's ever a period where you want to be playing with a rest disadvantage, it's against
06:53the worst team in the NFL.
06:56I think that that's helpful.
06:58That can help.
06:58It's helpful to have rest.
07:00Obviously, I would never argue counter to it.
07:02But my counter to the overall premise is when you're playing difficult opponents, that trumps rest.
07:12And so, I think it's a factor.
07:14That's good.
07:15I'll take it.
07:16I still think the schedule is extremely difficult.
07:18It is.
07:19The opponent.
07:19First half.
07:20The opponent.
07:20Yeah.
07:21And then the second half is, relatively speaking, on paper, kind of a joke.
07:25Am I like, that's a dream?
07:26I like that, relatively speaking.
07:29There's no such thing as easy opponents.
07:31I get it.
07:31But relatively speaking.
07:32Compared to the first eight.
07:33Compared to the first eight or nine, even.
07:36Yep.
07:37I think the first eight or nine are, you almost couldn't have come up with a harder schedule.
07:41But here's more potential good news for the Commanders.
07:46So, Washington and Dallas each have just one game with a rest disadvantage.
07:51The Eagles are going to have five such games.
07:56And he says, since 2015, when playing with three or more days of rest disadvantage, the
08:01Eagles are seven wins, 14 losses, and a tie.
08:06So, the Eagles got handed a rest disadvantage schedule.
08:10Well, I'd like to see the teams that had good records last year, what their rest advantage
08:17slash disadvantage was.
08:18Sure.
08:18I'd like to see that.
08:19Do you think, ultimately, because the league...
08:21Because some teams, if they're just better than everybody else, it doesn't matter what the
08:24rest are.
08:24The league loves parity.
08:26They've made that known.
08:27I mean, it's just...
08:28It is what it is.
08:29They like every team every year to feel like they have a shot.
08:33And it's a successful formula.
08:35Do you think they did this on purpose?
08:37Let's bring the Eagles back down to earth a little bit.
08:40Let's give...
08:40Okay, in one sense.
08:42Right?
08:42Okay.
08:43They all have the equal opponents.
08:45But let's...
08:46Because we're into parity.
08:47Let's make it tougher.
08:48Let's make it a little bit tougher for the Eagles.
08:50Eagles, because we want to bring them back to earth a little bit.
08:52And let's boost the skins in a way that we can, surreptitiously.
08:57People aren't really paying attention.
08:59We will give them more rest.
09:02Give them a little bonus.
09:04Because they need a bounce back.
09:06And we like parity.
09:07We don't care about the skins.
09:08But we want to bounce back for them.
09:10I don't know how the schedule makers work that out.
09:12I don't know.
09:12It's a good question.
09:13It's a theory.
09:14It's a good question.
09:15Now, Sharp goes on to say that the league has gone on record as trying to say that,
09:19quote, we don't believe rest matters.
09:21Who said that?
09:23Warren Sharp.
09:24Then he continues, I think that if you have any level of common sense,
09:28you realize that having a slight rest advantage is a benefit.
09:32All right, hold on.
09:32When Warren Sharp said, we believe rest doesn't matter, who's saying that?
09:36He's saying that the league is going, the NFL is going on record as trying to say,
09:40quote, we don't believe rest matters.
09:43Okay.
09:43Well, okay.
09:44That's why I would like to see what the records were last year with the teams that had bad
09:48rest and good rest.
09:51I'd love to see the total record.
09:52I have a conspiracy on it.
09:55My belief is that they do know, because they know everything, they know all the details.
10:00They do know that rest is an advantage or disadvantage, but that they're quietly trying to give everybody
10:06a shot.
10:06It's their way of tipping the scales a bit.
10:09So Sharp expands by saying the most underappreciated reason why rest matters isn't about fatigue.
10:15It's about who can suit up for games.
10:17He says, if you're playing on short rest, a guy gets a concussion.
10:20He definitely can't come back because we've got a game on Thursday.
10:23Whereas if you play on Sunday, maybe there's a chance I can get this guy back.
10:27Same thing with ankle sprains.
10:28A guy might be able to return.
10:30So I just think that it's silly and the data backs it up that rest does matter.
10:34Yes.
10:35So I would actually agree with him.
10:37So that's a good thing.
10:38But I don't think it's a massive factor, but I do think it's better to have rest than not
10:44have rest.
10:44I'll tell you what.
10:45The players would love...
10:46The more rest you get, the better.
10:47They would disagree with the NFL.
10:48Yeah.
10:49The more rest, the better.
10:50Wholeheartedly.
10:50They want the rest.
10:51They want as much rest as possible.
10:53Especially...
10:54These games are brutal.
10:54The longer you've been in the league, it's harder to get out of bed.
10:57I don't care if these guys are elite athletes.
10:59You know, on Tuesdays and Wednesdays, it's harder to get out of bed after they take that
11:03pounding.
11:04Man, what is Deebo going to sign with a team?
11:08I mean, we're almost to June.
11:09I know.
11:11It's getting late in the game.
11:12I'll say this, Cakes.
11:14Just to summarize kind of what you're saying.
11:16I agree with Warren Sharp.
11:18Rest is helpful.
11:19Totally agree.
11:20But it's not making me change my record.
11:22Like, I still think we're going to beat certain teams and lose to certain teams.
11:26Generally.
11:26I'm stuck on 11 wins.
11:29I'm eternally optimistic when it comes to the commander's schedule.
11:32I think...
11:33For some weird reason.
11:34I think...
11:35Did I get to 10 somehow?
11:36I don't know how I did.
11:37I got 9.
11:37I hope you wrote it down somewhere.
11:39I think...
11:39No, you got...
11:40You got 9.
11:41I had a 9.
11:41I think I did a 2-game dip.
11:42You two had 9.
11:43I had 10, 11.
11:44Yeah, I had a 2-game dip off my...
11:45Did anybody last night at the Q&A have him better than 11?
11:49I think B. Mitch might have said maybe 11 or 12 wins.
11:52I don't think he gave a win total.
11:54Oh, really?
11:55I don't think Ken...
11:56No?
11:57I think he basically said...
11:58He actually kind of straddled the fence.
12:00He's like, I think they could be good enough to make the playoffs.
12:02Right.
12:03But didn't get an actual number?
12:05Yeah.
12:06He also takes a large...
12:07He's pretty good at taking a larger view.
12:10He's in no rush to judgment.
12:12And Brian's pretty good about...
12:14Which is true.
12:14You never know who's going to be good and who's going to be bad.
12:16You know?
12:17We all understand that.
12:18Mm-hmm.
12:20So...
12:21You never know.
12:21We'll see if the rest helps.
12:23It may end up playing out.
12:24Okay.
12:24I can say, personally, today, I'm going to be at a rest disadvantage.
12:29Because I didn't...
12:31Somebody call Guinness.
12:32I'm going to go two days without a nap.
12:35Really?
12:35Look at that.
12:36Yesterday, no nap.
12:36Well, yesterday, no nap, of course.
12:38You were...
12:38Played pickleball.
12:39And then today...
12:39The Crohn's and Colitis Golf for Ducks tournament.
12:42Today, no nap, because...
12:43Going to my son's graduation.
12:44Oh, that's right.
12:45Graduation.
12:45And we're going out for dinner in Bethesda.
12:46And then before I know it's me...
12:47That graduation might put me to sleep.
12:48It's going to be 9 o'clock.
12:50Tuesday's kind of an odd day for graduation, isn't it?
12:52That's a good point.
12:52Maybe I'll sleep...
12:53Who's the speaker?
12:54Yeah.
12:55I don't know.
12:55Georgetown just had Tom Brady.
12:56He's going to his business school graduation.
12:58He's not doing the big...
12:59The big enchilada.
13:00Is it indoors or outdoors?
13:01The state representative or something like that?
13:03Thank God it's indoors.
13:04Xfinity.
13:09And it started raining.
13:11So that was an excuse if you weren't undercover to leave.
13:13And we went inside.
13:14I drank coffee.
13:15Watched the whole thing on TV.
13:16Love it.
13:17It was the best thing ever.
13:18Best graduation ever.
13:19Drinking coffee nonstop during a graduation sounds like an amazing deal.
13:23Yeah.
13:23Might need to do that to stay awake throughout the entire thing.
13:27I don't know how many kids are in the business school, but it's a lot.
13:30They're going to be walking across the stage.
13:31I think we're all obviously proud of our children, whatever they accomplish.
13:35But graduation ceremonies are the worst.
13:38They are eternal.
13:40The speakers just put you to sleep.
13:42You know.
13:43They really do.
13:44They did it technically.
13:45Although the viral Eric Church speech, did you guys watch that one?
13:50No.
13:50I just saw it.
13:50My wife forced me to watch it.
13:52I played guitar.
13:52I didn't want to watch it because it's like...
13:54Yeah.
13:54And it actually...
13:56It'll move you to tears.
13:58Oh, did you almost have a creeper?
13:59They were welling up in my eyes.
14:01What school was it?
14:02Fought them all.
14:02North Carolina.
14:03He did it at Chapel Hill.
14:03He's a Chapel Hill grad.
14:05Oh, he's a Chapel Hill grad.
14:05And he did it in about 10 minutes.
14:07And he did it with his guitar.
14:09And it literally...
14:11It's touching.
14:13So highly recommend it to everybody here.
14:16Did you sing Talladega?
14:16That would have been touching.
14:17I did not want to listen to it.
14:18I said...
14:18I resisted.
14:19I resisted.
14:20She forced me to watch it.
14:22And I got tears well in my eyes.
14:24Look at you.
14:25I highly recommend it.
14:27Google it.
14:28All right.
14:29When we come back, we're going to get into a restaurant that's trying to do a throwback
14:33to the good old days.
14:34We'll give you details on that.
14:35And would you go to said restaurant?
14:38We'll do that next here on The Fan.
Comments