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Europe Today: UE pondera apaziguar ou retaliar face a nova ameaça de tarifas de Trump
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LEIA MAIS : http://pt.euronews.com/2026/05/06/europe-today-ue-avalia-resposta-a-novas-tarifas-de-trump
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Sintonize o Europe Today, o principal programa matinal da Euronews, às 8h, hora de Bruxelas, 7h em Lisboa. Em apenas 20 minutos, fica a par das principais notícias do dia.
LEIA MAIS : http://pt.euronews.com/2026/05/06/europe-today-ue-avalia-resposta-a-novas-tarifas-de-trump
Subscreva, euronews está disponível em 12 línguas.
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04:31to harden its economy to a more adverse global environment.
04:36In a report released yesterday, the institution also warned
04:40that the war in Iran poses a serious headwind to economic growth.
04:45It said that in the most severe downside scenario,
04:49the Eurozone could edge closer to a recession.
04:53Now, joining me in the studio this morning to discuss more
04:56is the author of that report, Helga Berger,
04:59who is the Deputy Director of IMF Europe.
05:02Good morning, sir. Really good to have you.
05:03Good morning, Mandy.
05:05We know that there's still major uncertainty over the situation
05:08in the Middle East and in Iran.
05:10But as you see things this morning,
05:13what is the economic outlook now for Europe?
05:16Well, when we started thinking about the outlook first,
05:19early in the year, we thought we would be upgrading growth in Europe,
05:23especially for the Eurozone.
05:24That's not what happened.
05:25With the outbreak of the war and the higher energy prices,
05:27things have taken a turn to the worse.
05:30So currently, we think that growth will be around 1.1% this year
05:34and 1.2% next year, significantly lower than what we initially expected.
05:39This is because consumers feeling the pinch in their budgets,
05:43they're spending less.
05:44Investors have a higher cost of doing business,
05:46so they're more careful.
05:47And in the worst case scenario,
05:50because you talk about the most severe downside scenario in your report,
05:53you said that the Eurozone could also edge closer to a recession.
05:58Is that an increasing possibility now?
06:01We're certainly accumulating downside risk,
06:03but how far this will go depends on the war,
06:05and that's anybody's guess.
06:07The upside for Europe is that it has become much more resilient
06:10in terms of renewable production
06:12and the part of renewables in the energy mix.
06:16So any increase in energy prices,
06:18while it's still bad for the economy,
06:20isn't as bad as it used to be.
06:21I'll come to that point of resilience in just a bit,
06:23but I want to ask you about the response of European governments
06:26and the policies they've introduced.
06:28Have they properly weighed the costs of these interventions?
06:32It's difficult, right?
06:33So on the one hand, you want to help households.
06:35On the other hand, if you do it the wrong way,
06:36you dampen the price signal that comes from higher oil prices
06:40and energy prices, and people will stop saving energy.
06:43So you want to target the support.
06:45You want to go to the vulnerable households
06:47and help them directly where it hurts,
06:49but you don't want to sort of do more damage than good
06:52with these kinds of measures.
06:53And have those measures been targeted enough,
06:55would you say, in general?
06:57Well, governments are trying.
06:59It's usually a mix of good and bad policies,
07:02but most governments have in some way or the other
07:05tempered with the energy prices,
07:07which is not the way it should be going.
07:09So as time passes, if the situation continues,
07:12we need to be more targeted.
07:13Okay.
07:14And you also mentioned in that report that Europe needs to harden its economy
07:18in a world of a series of shocks, in a more volatile world.
07:22How feasible is that, do you feel,
07:25when so many governments are seeing a big fiscal squeeze?
07:29Well, you know, the countries in Europe will need to reform under pressure.
07:32That's just how it works, and Europe is usually quite good at this.
07:36So we need to make progress.
07:38We need to deal with a single market,
07:40which is still much more fragmented than we would like it to be.
07:42Lots of trade, lots of activity stops at the national border.
07:46That's not what we want.
07:47Think about electricity.
07:48A unified electricity market would do wonders for the European economy.
07:52Prices would be lower.
07:54They would be less volatile.
07:55That is the way to go.
07:56It makes the European economy more resilient
07:58and growing faster in an adverse world.
08:01And very briefly, to close,
08:03we know there's also a big issue of Europe's competitiveness
08:06in the world right now.
08:07You did flag in that report yesterday
08:09some small concerns over some measures,
08:11including the Industrial Accelerator Act,
08:13this new measure to shield homegrown industries.
08:16Industrial policy has a role to play,
08:18but it's very limited, where markets fail
08:20and governments need to step in.
08:22But it's not a cure-all.
08:23If you want to lift productivity,
08:25if you want higher growth, more resiliency,
08:27you have to go and do the hard reforms
08:29that help the labour market, help the product markets,
08:32and, as I said, the single market,
08:33especially for electricity, energy,
08:35would do wonders for the European economy.
08:37Okay. Helga Berges, thank you so much
08:40for joining us in the studio this morning
08:42and for all your insights.
08:44My pleasure.
08:45Now, we're moving on now,
08:47because Romania's pro-European coalition government
08:50has been toppled
08:51after Prime Minister Ilija Bolozhan
08:54lost a no-confidence vote yesterday,
08:57plunging the country into renewed uncertainty
09:00and raising fears of a fiscal crisis.
09:03For more, we can cross over now
09:05to Bucharest and to Euronews' Andra Diakonescu,
09:08who's standing by for us this morning.
09:10Andra, good to see you.
09:12So, the government has been toppled.
09:13What's next now for Romania?
09:17Good morning from Bucharest.
09:19Now, the president, Niko Shordan,
09:21has the floor
09:21because he needs to host
09:24all the talks with the political parties.
09:26He has urged all the political parties
09:29to do a coalition, pro-European one.
09:32And this is now the impossible situation.
09:35because Ilija Bolozhan's party
09:37has just decided yesterday evening
09:40that they will go to opposition.
09:42So, now,
09:44four of the pro-European parties in Romania
09:48need to do this coalition,
09:50as the president has urged.
09:52But two of them,
09:54one, Ilija Bolozhan's party,
09:56are deciding that they are not going to do that.
10:00So, it's a long period of instability
10:02here in Romania.
10:04Of course, with a society facing economic crisis,
10:08a very, very low low,
10:10besides Euro,
10:12and, of course, political instability.
10:15And, Andra, very briefly,
10:16the AUR party,
10:18the far-right party,
10:19also filed this motion of censorship
10:21in collaboration with the left-wing socialists.
10:24What are their next moves from the far-right?
10:29Well, they had a lot of gaining
10:31before doing this motion
10:35against the government.
10:38and, of course,
10:39they gained a lot of likes,
10:42as they were saying on Facebook yesterday.
10:44So, now,
10:45they are playing everyone.
10:46We are really looking into
10:48how they are going to do their cards
10:51in the next days,
10:53because they are saying
10:55that they can go with the prime minister
10:58and they can propose, of course,
11:01to do the government
11:02at the Kotrochen Palace.
11:03But, again,
11:05Nikos Ordan has said
11:06that he doesn't want
11:08a government against EU.
11:10He wants a pro-European one.
11:13Okay, Andra,
11:13in Bucharest for us this morning,
11:16thank you so much.
11:17Now, another EU country
11:19fighting a political deadlock
11:21is Slovenia.
11:22A knife-edge election in March
11:24delivered an inconclusive result,
11:26despite the ruling liberals
11:28initially claiming victory.
11:30Now, former Prime Minister
11:31Janis Jansa
11:32is hinting that
11:33he could form
11:34a coalition government.
11:36For more,
11:37we're joined by
11:37Alija Pengov-Bitenk,
11:39a Slovenian political analyst
11:41and journalist.
11:42Really good to have you
11:42with us this morning.
11:44Tell us first,
11:45how likely is it in your view
11:46that Janis Jansa
11:48could return to power?
11:50Good morning,
11:51and thank you for having me.
11:52To answer a question,
11:54it is highly likely.
11:55He seems to be
11:56the only one
11:57able to command
11:59something akin
12:00to a majority
12:01in the parliament,
12:01as shaky
12:03as that majority
12:04will probably
12:05turn out to be.
12:06And so,
12:07what would that mean
12:08then for Slovenia,
12:10as you mentioned,
12:10a shaky majority,
12:11and for the European Union
12:12as well?
12:14Well, in terms of
12:15European Union,
12:16I suspect
12:17not much.
12:18Janis Jansa was
12:19something of a player
12:21in his last stint
12:22as Prime Minister,
12:23not in the least
12:25on account of
12:25Viktor Orban
12:26being in power
12:27in Hungary,
12:28and now that
12:28that has changed
12:29recently,
12:30he has lost
12:31one big potential ally.
12:33As far as Slovenia
12:35is concerned,
12:36there are,
12:36of course,
12:37challenges.
12:37The draft
12:39coalition agreement
12:40that was sort of
12:41endorsed yesterday
12:42points those out.
12:44However,
12:44the narrative
12:45that is spreading
12:47within the Janis,
12:49or rather,
12:49right-wing circles
12:50in Slovenia
12:52is something
12:53quite different
12:53and it seems
12:54to be a rather
12:55suspect return
12:57to bashing NGOs
12:58and public media,
13:00probably even academia
13:01this time around,
13:01so we might get
13:03a little bit of
13:04reform-oriented
13:05official policies
13:06and a lot of
13:07right-wing populism
13:09unofficially
13:10and narrative-wise.
13:11And very briefly
13:12to close,
13:13it was a very tight
13:14knife-edge election.
13:16What has Slovenia,
13:17do you think,
13:18learned from that
13:18experience?
13:20Well,
13:21first of all,
13:22the fact that
13:23active citizenship
13:24can go both ways,
13:25the turnout was,
13:27this was the second
13:27election in the row
13:29with a huge turnout,
13:30so that is encouraging,
13:31but also that,
13:33you know,
13:33choices need to be
13:35made responsibly
13:36whichever way
13:37the government
13:38goes in the end.
13:39Okay,
13:39Alia Pengov-Bitenk
13:41there for us.
13:41Thank you so much
13:42for that analysis.
13:44Thank you.
13:44Now we're moving on
13:46because Marco Rubio,
13:47the US Secretary of State,
13:48is heading to Rome
13:49and the Vatican
13:50to mend strained ties,
13:53as Jacobianus explains.
13:57US Secretary of State
13:58Marco Rubio
13:59has a new mission.
14:00He visits the Holy See
14:01in Rome tomorrow.
14:03And as a Catholic,
14:04Rubio is the mediator
14:05after the fallout
14:06between Donald Trump
14:07and the first American-born
14:08pontiff,
14:09Pope Leo XIV.
14:10but what does it mean
14:12for Europe?
14:14Relations are strained
14:16after Trump publicly
14:17labeled the Pope
14:18as weak
14:18due to the Holy See's
14:20vocal opposition
14:20to the US-Israeli war
14:22on Iran.
14:23In a bid to calm tensions,
14:25Rubio is meeting
14:26Cardinal Pietro Parolin,
14:28the Vatican's top diplomat.
14:30And Parolin
14:30has been a key figure
14:31in the Vatican's
14:32calls for peace
14:33in the Iran war.
14:35And as he visits Rome,
14:37US Secretary of State
14:38will also meet
14:39with Italian
14:39Foreign Minister
14:40Antonio Tajani
14:41and Defense Minister
14:42Guido Crosetto
14:43to discuss security topics.
14:45But there is also
14:46a bigger picture.
14:48After Italian Prime Minister
14:49Giorgia Meloni
14:50defended the Pope,
14:51Trump questioned
14:52her courage
14:53and threatened
14:53to withdraw US troops
14:54from Italy.
14:55And it is no small footprint
14:57as there are currently
14:58around 13,000
14:59US military personnel
15:01based across
15:02seven naval bases
15:03in Italy.
15:04And with US midterm
15:05elections approaching,
15:07the administration
15:07is wary of alienating
15:09Catholic voters,
15:10especially as the Pope
15:11continues to say
15:12that God doesn't listen
15:13to the prayers
15:14of those who wage war.
15:16And looking back
15:17at the rich
15:18and complicated history
15:19of European Catholicism,
15:21one could even say
15:22that coming back
15:22to the Vatican
15:23after a spot
15:24is the most European thing
15:26the Trump administration
15:27has done so far.
15:33Jakob Yanis there.
15:35Now, Baroness Catherine Ashton
15:37was the EU's
15:38foreign policy chief
15:39between 2009
15:40and 2014.
15:42Just before that,
15:43she briefly served
15:44as the EU's
15:45trade commissioner
15:46and brokered a deal
15:47with the US
15:48following a long-standing
15:50dispute
15:50over beef exports.
15:52Our correspondent,
15:53Angela Skugins,
15:54caught up with
15:55Baroness Ashton
15:56yesterday
15:57and started by asking
15:58her what advice
15:59she'd have
16:00for the current
16:01EU trade chief
16:02Maroshevkovic
16:03as he seeks
16:04to salvage
16:05the EU's
16:06fraught trade deal
16:07with the US.
16:09What I would say
16:10is that it's really
16:12in the interests
16:12of business
16:13right across Europe,
16:15especially,
16:15to have some
16:16consistency
16:17and certainty
16:18about the markets
16:19they're dealing with.
16:20And we do have
16:21a president
16:21that sees
16:22the willingness
16:24of others
16:26to kind of
16:26talk to him
16:27about trade
16:28as both
16:29an important
16:30part of the
16:31conversation,
16:31but in a sense
16:32almost to
16:33weaponise it,
16:34to make clear
16:35that if we
16:36don't do things
16:37that he thinks
16:38are really important,
16:39then we can't
16:40expect the benefits.
16:41And it's very
16:42transactional,
16:43and he's always
16:43been very clear
16:44as a president
16:44that he takes
16:46that view
16:47that being a
16:48transactional president
16:49is the way
16:50that he wants
16:50to go forward.
16:51And I think
16:52that's really
16:53how Europe
16:54has to respond,
16:54or any country
16:55has to respond,
16:56is to try
16:57and work
16:58through that.
16:58It is very
17:00difficult because
17:01of the changing
17:02landscape.
17:03But in the end,
17:04this all comes
17:05down to the fact
17:06that with all
17:07that's happening,
17:08especially in the
17:09Middle East right now,
17:10we are moving
17:11to a time when
17:12there are additional
17:13issues globally
17:15that we're all
17:16going to have
17:16to grapple with.
17:17And so the more
17:18that we can work
17:19together on trade,
17:20the better.
17:20During your post
17:22as the EU's
17:22top diplomat,
17:23you negotiated
17:24with Iran
17:24to temporarily
17:25curb some of
17:26that country's
17:27nuclear activities
17:29for sanction relief.
17:30You clearly know
17:31how to speak
17:32to the Middle
17:32Eastern country
17:33diplomatically.
17:35How would you
17:36currently assess
17:36the way that
17:37Trump is speaking
17:39with Tehran
17:40and the tenor
17:41from the EU
17:41as well in particular?
17:43I think there's
17:43a different approach
17:44that's being taken.
17:45It's much more
17:46to raise the
17:48temperature
17:48rather than
17:49to lower it.
17:50and it's a bit
17:51of ensuring
17:53that there's
17:53a complete clarity
17:55about what could
17:56happen.
17:56So the critical
17:57thing seems to be
17:58to address the
17:58Straits of Hormuz
17:59and to find ways
18:01that you can get
18:02these open
18:02because of the
18:03impact that it's
18:05all having globally
18:06and actually then
18:07start to build up
18:08a negotiation
18:09that can resolve
18:11the conflict
18:11altogether.
18:12The UK could pay
18:13£1 billion
18:14to have greater
18:15access to the
18:16single market.
18:17We know that the
18:17British Prime Minister
18:18Keir Starmer
18:19wants to reset
18:20relations between
18:21the EU and the
18:23UK but some
18:24critics have
18:26criticised this
18:27news stating that
18:28it's merely
18:28pay to play.
18:29What do you make
18:30of this?
18:32There's no question
18:33that Keir Starmer
18:34the Prime Minister
18:35and many of his
18:36colleagues have
18:37absolutely recognised
18:38that there is a need
18:40to get closer to
18:41the European Union
18:42and to Europe
18:42generally.
18:43That's partly
18:44because of the
18:45security and defence
18:47issues that we're
18:48confronted with
18:48not least the war
18:50in Ukraine
18:50but also the
18:52economic realities
18:53of the world
18:54in which we live.
18:55And I think
18:56all of this talk
18:57now about
18:58what money is
18:59what should be done
19:00how it would work
19:01is really all about
19:02laying the groundwork
19:03for the summit
19:04which is coming
19:04I hope in the next
19:06few months
19:07where they can
19:08actually start to
19:09bed this down
19:09and make sense of it.
19:13Our correspondent
19:15Angela Scudgen
19:16speaking to
19:16Baroness Catherine Ashton
19:17there.
19:18But that's it
19:18from us today.
19:19Thank you for choosing
19:20to start your day
19:21with Europe today
19:22this morning.
19:23Remember we want
19:24to hear from you
19:25send us your feedback
19:26by emailing us
19:27at europetoday
19:27at euronews.com
19:29and we'll see you
19:29again tomorrow.
19:57We'll see you next time.
19:59We'll see you next time.
20:01We'll see you next time.
20:02We'll see you next time.
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