- 3 months ago
八点最热报 | 4月27号,德国总理默茨批评美国在没有制定任何战略的情况下,攻打伊朗,导致骑虎难下,进退两难,宣称美国正遭受伊朗德羞辱。而美国总统特朗普那可能接受这样的羞辱,迅速把这番言论转化为现实动作,马上宣布将会大幅削减美军在德国的驻军人数,削减数目甚至将超过美国国防部早前公布的5000人。表面是军事部署变化,实质却让美德关系从分歧走向正面摊牌。(主播:梁宝仪)
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00:00Seize the opportunity
00:01Unify Business: Entrepreneurship and Internet Empowering Businesses to Take Off
00:05The Middle East conflict lasted for a full 60 days.
00:07The United States not only lacks the pre-set strategy to quickly end the war, but it also cannot achieve its intended objectives.
00:11Target
00:11And it triggered a chain reaction of collapses in the global energy supply chain.
00:15However, what everyone may have overlooked is the deepest origin of this war.
00:19That is, it is tearing apart a 70-year-long transatlantic relationship inch by inch.
00:25Atlantic Alliance
00:27On April 27, German Chancellor Mozart criticized the United States.
00:29Attacking Iran without any strategy in place
00:33This led to a dilemma: riding a tiger southward, one had to either advance or retreat.
00:36Claiming that the United States is being humiliated by Iran.
00:40How could Trump possibly accept such humiliation?
00:43He quickly turned these words into real actions.
00:46They will soon announce a significant reduction in the number of US troops stationed in Germany.
00:51number
00:51The cuts could even exceed those previously announced by the U.S. Department of Defense.
00:555,000 people
00:56On the surface, it's a change in military deployment.
01:00But in reality, it led the US-Germany relationship from disagreement to a positive confrontation.
01:05Card
01:06Motz's bold statement
01:08The 70-year alliance between the United States and Germany suddenly cracked.
01:12It has impacted the transatlantic security structure.
01:16If we were to make an analogy...
01:17What happened after the Cold War ended?
01:18NATO is like a building
01:21The United States is a load-bearing wall.
01:23In contrast, Europeans are home to well-furnished guests.
01:26The accommodation was quite comfortable.
01:27However, they never truly understood the structure of the house.
01:30When the war in the Middle East was at a stalemate
01:32Trump has publicly stated...
01:34This indicates that NATO is not on the side of the United States.
01:37They expressed strong dissatisfaction with the position of their allies.
01:40The implication is
01:41You either fight me or
01:43Either you step aside
01:44However, the collective answer from Europeans
01:46This greatly displeased Washington.
01:49France from the perspective of strategic autonomy
01:52Iran is seen as a key pivot in maintaining the balance of power in the Middle East.
01:56Spain explicitly bans US troops.
01:59Use their airspace and bases to strike Iran.
02:02Italy even temporarily froze operations at its Sicilian base.
02:06license
02:07What about other countries' attitudes towards Trump?
02:09They simply didn't take it seriously.
02:11In fact, Trump, who came from a real estate development background, was involved in land speculation.
02:14In his worldview...
02:15U.S. overseas troops
02:17It has never been a safe public good.
02:20Instead, they were bills.
02:23Europe has been in debt for over 70 years.
02:25It's time to pay off the debt.
02:27And this Middle East war
02:29This is a good opportunity for him to pressure Trump to pay back the debt.
02:32In fact
02:33The United States is paying a high price for the wars in the Middle East.
02:36Two carrier strike groups
02:38Multiple expeditionary forces
02:39However, there was no way to force Tehran to comply.
02:41Make any substantial compromise
02:43Faced with a dilemma where they cannot be defeated, cannot be subdued, and cannot retreat...
02:47The Trump administration had no choice but to turn its attention inward.
02:51Instead of examining the flaws in the strategy itself.
02:54Instead, they look for who is holding them back.
02:57And NATO is the most convenient way to deliver the goods.
03:06The United States will significantly reduce its troop presence in Germany.
03:10Moreover, the reduction is far more than 5,000 people.
03:13US President Trump's original words
03:14Short and direct
03:16That is, the United States will significantly reduce spending.
03:18This is not a routine military deployment adjustment.
03:22Rather, it was a political bill that Trump issued to Germany.
03:25Responding to Berlin's criticism by withdrawing troops
03:28The incident was sparked last week.
03:31At the time, US-Iran negotiations were deadlocked in Islamabad, Pakistan.
03:35Iranian representatives refused direct contact.
03:38The American team returned empty-handed.
03:40German Chancellor Mozart immediately launched a public attack.
03:43Criticism of the United States in the Iran conflict
03:45Lack of overall strategy and exit path
03:48It directly points to the fact that the entire United States is being humiliated by the Iranian leadership.
03:51The weight of the wording
03:53This has drawn international attention.
04:22Moz rushed to sell
04:24Trump's counterattack came swiftly.
04:26He posted a scathing attack on Motz
04:28I have no idea what I'm saying.
04:30He also sent a message to the German Chancellor from afar.
04:33Clean up the mess of Germany's domestic affairs
04:35Mind your own business in the Middle East
04:36Seeing the two leaders publicly hurling insults at each other
04:39German Foreign Minister Wald Faure immediately stepped in.
04:41Attempt to soften the blow of Motz's earlier remarks
04:45He emphasized
04:46Motz was not criticizing Trump himself.
04:49Instead, it was criticizing Iran's poor negotiating practices.
05:05The person involved, Motz, then chose to step on the brakes.
05:08During the speech by the market team
05:10The tone was noticeably more restrained.
05:12It also deliberately highlighted transatlantic unity.
05:15Iranians are safe
05:16The agreement is a declaration of respect.
05:18Mental arithmetic is all of it.
05:20The World and the World
05:24This is the cultivation of followers.
05:26Guang Guan Dui Hong coup
05:27and the Iranians
05:28About Kissing Friendship
05:33And anything about books
05:54But ironically
05:55This statement comes after his attack
05:57The United States was humiliated by Iran.
05:59Only three days have passed
06:00Such a huge difference between the front and back
06:02This highlights Berlin's current dilemma.
06:05That is, even though they want to criticize
06:07Washington's strategy
06:09But the reality is that Germany can hardly afford it.
06:11The cost of losing the US protection umbrella
06:16In response to the US plan to cut
06:17The decision to station US troops
06:19NATO spokesman Hart
06:20They also responded by posting on the X platform.
06:22He did not oppose the withdrawal of troops.
06:24Instead, they turned their attention to Europe.
06:26Demands European allies continue to increase defense spending
06:30Take on more shared security responsibilities
06:32The wording is quite intriguing.
06:35on the contrary
06:35However, distinctly different voices have emerged within the United States.
06:38Senator Wick, Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee
06:41and Representative Rogers
06:43A joint warning was issued.
06:45Only withdrawing troops from Germany
06:46This could very likely weaken the US military's deterrent capabilities.
06:49Then to Russian President Putin
06:51Sending incorrect signals
06:53Western media, on the other hand, have been reporting on this US troop withdrawal.
06:56Interpreted as Trump's criticism of Berlin
06:59direct political punishment
07:00It is also a rebuke of Europe.
07:03In Trump's worldview
07:05Troops stationed in the military are never a public good.
07:07Instead, it's a bill.
07:09The Iran war is just the latest pretext for pressing for payment.
07:12However, this logic itself contains a fatal internal contradiction.
07:16That is, the United States wants to punish Germany.
07:19This means the loss of Ramstein Air Base.
07:23This US military air hub in Europe
07:26The core springboard for striking targets in the Middle East
07:28This is the price America pays for threatening its allies.
07:31Making their own war more difficult to fight.
07:33As for Germany
07:35German Defense Minister Pistorius's response
07:37Only four words
07:39As expected
07:40These four words express both helplessness and clarity.
07:43Motz spoke his true feelings.
07:45They also paid a price.
07:47Trump's order to withdraw troops also provides the answer.
07:49But the real problem has never changed.
07:52That is when an ally stations troops
07:55Become a political bargaining chip
07:56How many options does the other ally have left?
08:01When the US-EU alliance fractured amid the flames of the Iran war
08:04The true geopolitical landscape is being reshaped.
08:08In fact, from the Cold War to today...
08:09The United States has provided Europe with a security umbrella for more than 70 years.
08:13But the protective umbrella is not a gift, but a tool.
08:16When the owner of the tool begins to use it to threaten the one being protected.
08:19The protected person then must learn to get wet in the rain.
08:23Or rather, they went to build their own umbrellas.
08:25Some analysts point out the shift in German Chancellor Mozart's stance.
08:28This marks a crucial leap forward in Europe's strategic autonomy.
08:33The institutional reflection and policy restructuring triggered by this crisis
08:37This will profoundly influence the global power redistribution over the next decade.
08:43Mirror trajectory
08:44In the end, let's return to that core issue.
08:46Will Europe ultimately compromise again?
08:49Will they still achieve strategic autonomy this time?
08:52The answer is probably that neither will be fully realized.
08:55Because Europe is not capable of completely breaking free from American military control in the short term.
08:59System of Events
09:00But clearly they no longer believe in Washington's promises.
09:05Amidst the unresolved conflict in Iran and the continued multi-faceted pressure from competition with China...
09:09Trump also lacks the resources to truly punish this European ally.
09:13This split left behind a fundamental structural problem.
09:17That is when the United States turns its allies into tools.
09:20Allies will respond with the same logic sooner or later.
09:23That means I can also choose my own tools.
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