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Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026 paint a dramatic and divided picture. While several surveys project a strong comeback for the DMK, others predict a hung Assembly with Vijay’s TVK emerging as a major spoiler.

From landslide projections to shocking three-way contests and even an AIADMK comeback prediction — the numbers tell a gripping story.

Who is really winning Tamil Nadu? Watch the full breakdown of all major exit poll predictions.

0:00 – Introduction & Overview
0:16 – Exit Poll Predictions & Analysis
0:57 – Leaders’ Reactions & Political Implications

#ExitPolls #TamilNadu #DMK #AIADMK #TVK #Vijay #Politics #India

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Transcript
00:00Tamil Nadu exit polls are split from a clear DMK win to a hung assembly and even an AIA-DMK
00:07comeback.
00:08With 234 seats in play and the majority mark at 118, the battle is wide open.
00:16Some polls predict a hung assembly with Vijay's TVK emerging as a major spoiler.
00:21But several pollsters still back a strong return for the MK-Stalin-led DMK alliance.
00:28Multiple surveys show the DMK comfortably crossing the majority mark.
00:34Some projections even suggest a landslide for the DMK.
00:38But one poll flips the narrative entirely.
00:42From DMK dominance to a three-way fight to an AIA-DMK surge, Tamil Nadu's verdict remains unpredictable.
00:52Here's how leaders and pollsters reacted to the exit poll predictions.
00:58Exit polls are not the exact polls.
01:00When exact polls are come, we can comment.
01:03Exit polls are when it's not exact polls.
01:05When no definite modalities are followed, how can I comment on it?
01:11So I don't want to comment on it.
01:12What about five states' polls?
01:14You haven't heard about everything.
01:16No, all the exit polls I'm telling you, I cannot comment when it is for or against.
01:23So let us wait for the exact polls.
01:26That is my opinion.
01:27You see, this is all a humbug.
01:30Most of the medias, they are pro-DMK.
01:32They have bought most of the medias for the past two years actually.
01:37You see, JVC poll, they have taken a sizable amount of sample.
01:42More than 2.75 lakh people they have interviewed.
01:45So that we can accept.
01:47What they have given, 128 to 147 for ADMK, Times Now and JVC.
01:54That is applicable.
01:56You can accept that.
01:57Other media, they have taken only a few thousands of people and they are giving this report.
02:02It is not fair actually.
02:04For myself, I am a candidate of North Constituency, Madri North.
02:09From early morning till afternoon, the people, they came in very huge numbers.
02:13This huge turnout, this interest what people showed, usually we see in case of anti-incumbency against the ruling party.
02:23That is the thing.
02:24And even there also, people, they approach the ADMK booth agents to get details regarding their booths like that.
02:32DMK booth was totally empty.
02:34So these two things clearly point out that people, they are against the DMK and definitely this people turning out
02:41in large numbers.
02:42Though you attribute this high polling rate to SIR, beyond that, what the people showed interest and how they approach
02:50the ADMK booth agents.
02:52It is very clear, it is very clear that ADMK is going to come to power and our general secretary
02:57had a part of the LASWIM office after May 4th.
02:59Sir, I am Ragan Pandit Vetrivel, spokesperson of TVK.
03:05Actually, brother, this existing poll, we are just ignoring it.
03:09I am sure we are going to sweep this election by above 170 or above 140.
03:14This is not fair actually.
03:16We studied very well.
03:18We had our personal survey.
03:20We are sure about a minimum 45% vote banking.
03:24It is not between 20 to 25.
03:26So I don't interested to listen this all.
03:29We simply switched off.
03:30It is demeriting our life.
03:32108 hours to go for the election counting.
03:35From this moment, five nights are there.
03:38Four day time is there.
03:39Total together, it can be 108 hours.
03:42109th hour, we are in the meeting race.
03:45We are going to take the vote.
03:46Our sir, our talaival, will become chief minister extraordinarily.
03:50It can be 50 times I am asuri.
03:53See, beyond all exit polls, what is very important is the people's mandate.
03:57This election is very different from all the previous elections which Tamil Nadu has seen.
04:01If you notice the trend, in Tamil Nadu usually, polling is very high in the last one hour between 5pm
04:07and 6pm.
04:08But this election, the polling was maximum between 7am and 9am.
04:11Even during the extremely hot hours of say between 11am to 3pm, voting was, the turnout was very, very high
04:19in number.
04:19And by 3pm, the polling had already crossed about 82%, which goes to say a lot about the mood of
04:25the people.
04:26The people are coming out in large numbers.
04:28Usually if the people are voting back the ruling party to power, the interest to vote is not that much.
04:34But you know, when they want to vote them out of power, when they want change, and when the people
04:38realize that the only alternate which can replace the DMK in Tamil Nadu and give them a stable government,
04:43is the government which is being backed by the central government, which has the blessings, which has the support of
04:48the central government, is the NDA in Tamil Nadu.
04:50And that is what has happened in 2026 on the 23rd of April.
04:54It is also which will be reflected very clearly on the 4th of May.
04:58And Yadapadi K. Pallini Swami will again be seated as the Chief Minister.
05:03And Tamil Nadu will again be back to its glorious ways of gaining and winning, rather than losing out on
05:08industries, on businesses, and on various verticals to neighbouring.
05:12We are still confident, and our confidence is with the people, not with any numbers.
05:19We don't believe in the exit poll numbers and all.
05:23We have full faith in the people, and we have full confidence in the people of Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry.
05:30No, we have performed well.
05:33See, the performance for the past five years has helped DMK to come back to power.
05:38Even yesterday, the report says that the economic indicators show that we have doubled our economic, economy in Tamil Nadu.
05:52That shows how our Chief Minister is running the state.
05:56So people have faith in him, and they want him to become the Chief Minister for the second term, so
06:03that that will flourish.
06:05See, right from the day of election, we have been maintaining that we will win this election with a massive
06:13margin.
06:13And the exit polls, though they are conservative, in my estimate, the numbers given by these pollsters are conservative.
06:20I am very, very confident that we will cross the 180 mark, and the percentage of vote difference between the
06:29DMK combined and the next alliance will be huge.
06:33It will be certainly more than five percentage.
06:36That is what we feel, that is the sense we get from the ground.
06:40We were there on the ground, and people have overwhelmingly supported the DMK party, only because of the welfare measures,
06:49and the aura of our Chief Minister, the rock star Chief Minister of the state of Tamil Nadu.
06:54He has single-handedly carried the entire elections.
06:58And now, on 4th, he will carry the DMK alliance, and he is going to be the next Chief Minister
07:04of the state.
07:05Yesterday, we had an exit poll, but there is a mix and a lot of reviews that came, but we
07:10are not bothered about anything.
07:12Definitely, May 4th, the result will come in favour of TVK only.
07:16Talabadi will win in a majority, single majority.
07:20We are expecting above 150-plus seats.
07:24So, Talabadi will definitely win on May 4th.
07:28So, we are not bothered about anything.
07:30Polls and exit polls are not bothering.
07:32We are having only face Talabadi.
07:34So, definitely, he will win.
07:37Definitely, we will make a change on May 4th.
07:40You can see on May 4th.
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