00:00What chance do you give Real Madrid of overturning their first leg defeat against Bayern Munich in
00:05the Champions League to make it through to the semi-finals? Well, history suggests it's really
00:10not very likely to happen, no matter which side we look at it from. Let's start with Real Madrid.
00:16Only once in their entire history have they been able to turn around a European tie after losing
00:22the first leg at home. That came in October 1970 when they lost 1-0 at the Bernabeu to Austrian
00:30team
00:30Wacker Innsbruck in the second round of the European Cup Winners' Cup. They then went on to win the second
00:38leg, 2-0 in Austria, to make it through to the quarter-finals. Now, neither Wacker Innsbruck nor
00:43the Cup Winners' Cup even exist anymore, which tells you exactly just how long ago that was.
00:48And if you're a Real Madrid fan looking at Bayern for inspiration, then I'm sorry, I've got more
00:52bad news for you. Since Bayern made their debut in Europe in 1962, they've only once been knocked
00:59out after winning the first leg away from home. You might actually remember this one though,
01:03as it came in the 2010-11 season. In the round of 16, Inter Milan lost 1-0 to the
01:10Germans at San Siro,
01:12but then went on to win 3-2 in Munich to go through to the quarter-finals on away goals.
01:18Now, of course, the away goals rule doesn't even exist anymore, so unless they're going
01:22to try their luck in a penalty shootout, Real Madrid are going to have to win by two clear
01:27goals on Wednesday, something which no team has ever done in a second leg in Munich. Good luck.
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