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八点最热报 | 美伊战争打到第33天，不仅烧红了中东的天空，更打爆全球油价，让油价引发的通膨直接回击美国平民百姓的钱袋子，而这场仗的真正战场，已经从中东转移到全球经济，转移到美国国内......（主播：梁宝仪）
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00:00Seize the opportunity
00:01Unify Business (Enterprise and Internet)
00:02Helping enterprises take off in all aspects
00:05The war between the United States and Italy lasted for a month.
00:06To defeat Trump, he must be humiliated.
00:08Eager to find a way out
00:10This is the most embarrassing war in contemporary American history.
00:12After that battle
00:14It not only burned the skies of the Middle East red.
00:15It also caused global oil prices to plummet.
00:17Inflation caused by oil prices
00:20This directly impacts the wallets of ordinary American people.
00:23Iran has angered ordinary American citizens.
00:26Defeat Trump
00:28What if war breaks out?
00:29When oil prices started to soar
00:31Trump's die-hard supporters cheered loudly.
00:33As the world's largest oil producer...
00:35The US really profited this time.
00:37As a major oil importer, China
00:40This time it was the worst.
00:41They also praised Trump's brilliant strategy.
00:44However, the facts are undeniable.
00:46Once oil prices get out of control
00:47The US, the instigator, will suffer an even worse fate.
00:50Therefore, seeing the fire getting out of control
00:52Trump is more anxious than anyone else
00:54We need to be quick and decisive.
00:55But it was blown up and almost nothing was left.
00:58Iran, left with nothing but a worthless life
01:00I just want to drag it out and follow your number.
01:02As military operations enter their attrition phase
01:05That was the real battlefield of this war.
01:08It has shifted from the Middle East to the global economy.
01:10It was then transferred to the United States.
01:13The question now is no longer who wins.
01:16But who can't hold on first?
01:18Slight obstruction to passage through the Strait of Hormuz
01:2120% of global energy flow is blocked
01:23The surge in oil prices is only a low-level shock.
01:27At a deeper level, it involves the comprehensive spillover and outward diffusion of costs.
01:32Transportation, manufacturing, food, and finance were all dragged into an upward spiral.
01:37This isn't just a matter of being a little more expensive.
01:39Instead, the economy was forced to slow down.
01:41Even stop
01:43And once this economic blackout occurs...
01:46It's no longer a problem that missiles can destroy.
01:49European industry begins to contract.
01:51The proportion of energy coke imported by Asian countries is rising.
01:54Emerging market currencies under pressure
01:55However, the real destructive power is not global.
01:58Rather, it is the United States itself.
02:00This is precisely what Iran has been calculating.
02:03Iran is not in a hurry to block the Strait of Hormuz.
02:05Instead, they chose to delay.
02:06Delaying
02:07dragging down oil prices
02:08dragging down inflation
02:09Iran is very clear
02:10Trump, yes.
02:11He can fight.
02:12However, they may not be able to withstand inflation.
02:14As the world's largest consumer country
02:16What consumer product doesn't the American people buy?
02:19That is America's biggest political weakness
02:22Never on the battlefield
02:23Instead, at the gas station
02:25Oil prices rise
02:27Rising transportation costs
02:28Food prices rose accordingly.
02:29Inflation Rebounds
02:30Voter dissatisfaction
02:32It will not be directed at Tehran.
02:34Instead, it will point to the White House.
02:36Trump just boasted about
02:38They have won the last seven wars.
02:39That's right
02:40They did indeed win on the battlefield.
02:43But in the end, both the ruling party and the president lost to their own voters.
02:47This was also the beginning of the Iran war.
02:50The key points we have repeatedly mentioned
02:52Trump will ultimately lose to the voters.
02:57US strike on Iran nears one month
02:59This war is making wallets bleed all over the world.
03:03US President Trump originally thought
03:05I am a madman who can finish battles quickly.
03:07But I never expected this time
03:09The cat he touched was not docile.
03:11Rather, it's the tiger's backside in Iran.
03:14This time, the target of Vichy in the Middle East is...
03:17It is Iran
03:18For many years, many US presidents have dared not provoke Iran.
03:23share
03:23Only someone like Trump would dare to touch it.
03:27So his biggest difference is Iran.
03:29His location is very, very different from other past indoor gaming crises.
03:34That country involved
03:36He has seized control of the world's throat.
03:39That hard thing from the indoor game has already grown there.
03:43So you have to touch the tiger's butt.
03:46If you touch it and can't escape, you've given yourself to the tiger.
03:49Therefore, the United States cannot escape.
03:51If that's what the US imagines...
03:53It will be over in a week or two.
03:55Then the opposition rose up.
03:57That solved the problem.
03:58It's been a month now, and things aren't going as well as he imagined.
04:01You can run away after touching it.
04:03He's already touched her, but he can't escape now.
04:06Therefore, he had a very large influence.
04:08Trump touched his butt and tried to run away.
04:10A blitzkrieg to a swift victory
04:13But he clearly underestimated Iran, the country that controls the global energy valve.
04:19Lang
04:19The tiger's butt was touched.
04:21It opened its blood-red maw in a frenzy.
04:23It directly strangled the world's energy lifeline
04:25The Strait of Hormuz carries 20% of the world's crude oil and electricity daily.
04:30The lifeline of natural gas
04:32It has now become a gas cutoff line.
04:35The main issue is the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
04:38Because if you had mentioned the Iraq War before...
04:42The war in Afghanistan or
04:43He does not have the Red Strait.
04:44This is the first point.
04:45The second point is...
04:46Even if we look at last year's Red Sea crisis...
04:49Houthi armed forces also interfered with this flight path.
04:54However, we must understand that the Houthi organization is a militia group.
04:59Its combat power is also good
05:01Its capabilities are also limited.
05:02But we're talking about Iraq, a large country.
05:05The real impact of blocking this strait
05:08This will be more serious than the previous Middle East war.
05:12Cross-Strait game supply cut off
05:14This has plunged global manufacturing into an unprecedented crisis of scheming.
05:18spit
05:19Oil prices breaking through $100 is just the tip of the iceberg.
05:22The real fear lies in
05:23This fire has spread along the oil pipeline to production in various industries around the world.
05:29on-line
05:29But worse is yet to come.
05:31But what would the worst-case scenario be?
05:34No one can say for sure.
05:36Oil is a very important production element.
05:39It cannot be replaced.
05:40The worst thing right now isn't the high price.
05:42Sometimes you can't even buy it.
05:43No
05:44That's the most tragic.
05:45The high price is another issue.
05:47Expensive means that even if you have money, you can still buy it.
05:49The worst thing is waiting in line until you get nothing.
05:51This shock was extremely significant.
05:53Moreover, its impact is not one aspect.
05:55When it starts here
05:57If the problem is not resolved in the short term
05:59Its influence will then amplify in other areas.
06:02Therefore, its so-called spiral effect
06:06It will amplify the entire impact.
06:09Then the overall economy will be affected.
06:12Then after that, if you can see
06:14The overall impact is that
06:16The overall economic growth was suppressed.
06:18And then there's something even more important...
06:20If everyone thinks this Middle East crisis is...
06:24It cannot be resolved within a few weeks.
06:26People's confidence will also be affected.
06:29Then the consumer's consumption
06:31Consumer confidence was affected.
06:33It will reduce consumption
06:34It does not consume
06:35Investor confidence was affected
06:38It does not invest
06:38Although Trump has repeatedly signaled that talks with Iran are going well
06:42Creating smokescreens that could lead to a ceasefire time and time again.
06:45However, the two economists interviewed believe
06:47This is more like a psychological battle before a duel between masters.
06:50Iran, however, has the confidence to firmly state its refusal to negotiate.
06:54Holding oil prices and inflation in hand
06:57Two trump cards as chips
06:59Forcing the US to make concessions
07:00But what the other innocent people are most worried about is that the black swan has not yet appeared.
07:05What if Iran is really driven mad?
07:07Will they randomly bomb in a desperate situation?
07:10To drag the entire region down with them
07:13I think the black swan event is whether Iran will...
07:17I just don't care about so much anymore.
07:19To completely attack the surrounding Gulf countries
07:24The e-liquid industry or civilian measures need to
07:26Because it has nothing to lose now.
07:28Its goal is to force the United States to negotiate with it.
07:32Who initiated the negotiations?
07:35Who is in charge of this matter?
07:36And how do we force the United States to negotiate?
07:39It is through global inflationary pressures
07:42Because the United States is a democratic country
07:43Trump's midterm elections are coming again.
07:45Therefore, Trump takes this inflationary pressure very seriously.
07:48Therefore, only through this method can the United States be made to submit.
07:51Therefore, I don't rule out the possibility that it will reach a dead end.
07:55It will indiscriminately bomb these high-oil measures in neighboring countries.
07:58Now we can see it has started to explode.
08:01However, its scale may not be as large as expected.
08:03If the lye refineries in Saudi Arabia and the UAE also turn into infernos...
08:07Then it will no longer be a question of whether or not the strait is closed.
08:10Instead, the world's ability to remove oil will completely collapse.
08:14When the night reached its darkest moment
08:16Will the sun really rise?
08:19After nearly a month of fighting
08:21The global economy is undergoing an unprecedented, suffocating test.
08:26No one knows when this high-stakes gamble will end.
08:29But what is certain is...
08:30Before the tiger loosened its grip
08:33Hard times have begun for people all over the world.
08:38From the distant Middle Eastern battlefields to the corner gas station right outside your door.
08:41Every battle has burned into the wallets of American voters.
08:44While the Pentagon was still calculating whether the war was worthwhile...
08:48The White House's approval ratings have plummeted along with soaring oil prices.
08:53Who could have imagined Trump's most lethal frigate?
08:57Gas pumps from all over the United States
09:00Iran's current behavior is extremely strange.
09:02They were prepared to lose the war.
09:05But their real goal is to bring down Trump.
09:08Then the Strait of Hormuz will be closed for another day.
09:11Global inflation will rage for one more second.
09:13Iran is gambling with this suffocating economic pressure.
09:18He personally sent Trump to his political grave.
09:21Iran is cleverly trying to turn this war into an economic and nuclear war.
09:26This is a weapon that Trump cannot destroy with missiles.
09:30The nature of this war is already very clear.
09:32The US wants to cut the Gordian knot.
09:34Use speed to end the battle.
09:36Iran, on the other hand, wants to slowly boil the frog.
09:39Use time to wear down Trump
09:41One is blocking the blitzkrieg
09:43One is fighting an endurance war
09:45The final question is no longer complicated.
09:47If the Iranian Revolutionary Guard cannot be eliminated quickly...
09:50How long can Trump hold out?
09:53How much longer can American voters tolerate this?
09:55How long can the global economy sustain this?
09:58This is not about victory or defeat on the battlefield.
10:00This is time's judgment on power.
10:02This is neither supporting nor opposing Trump.
10:04Or rather, you argue whether you support it.
10:06Or the issue of opposition to Iranian theocracy
10:08This is the current reality.
10:13As ordinary people outside of those two countries
10:15We are like Trump
10:17I hope the war can end as soon as possible.
10:19Everything returned to normal
10:21Thank you for watching
10:24Thank you for watching
10:25Subtitle volunteer Yang Qianqian
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