00:00They've already developed missiles that can threaten Europe and our bases overseas,
00:05and they're working to build missiles, their weapons program in particular, nuclear weapons,
00:11yet they continue starting it all over.
00:21During his State of the Union address, President Donald Trump addressed rising tensions with Iran,
00:28particularly its missile program.
00:32They've already developed missiles that can threaten Europe and our bases overseas,
00:38and they're working to build missiles that will soon reach the United States of America, Trump said.
00:44They've already developed missiles that can threaten Europe and our bases overseas,
00:49and they're working to build missiles that will soon reach the United States of America.
00:54His remarks came as part of a broader discussion on foreign policy.
00:59He highlighted strikes his administration carried out on Iran's nuclear facilities in 2025,
01:06reiterated a preference for diplomacy,
01:09but issued a stark warning against Iran pursuing nuclear weapons or further aggression.
01:16Trump described Iran as the world's number one sponsor of terror
01:21and pointed to ongoing military buildups in the region,
01:25including U.S. forces positioned near Iran amid stalled diplomatic talks.
01:32They were warned to make no future attempts to rebuild their weapons program,
01:37and in particular nuclear weapons.
01:40Yet they continue starting it all over.
01:43We wiped it out and they want to start all over again
01:46and are at this moment again pursuing their sinister ambitions.
01:51We are in negotiations with them.
01:53They want to make a deal, but we haven't heard those secret words.
01:57We will never have a nuclear weapon.
02:01This latest statement follows a history of escalating tensions,
02:05beginning with the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018,
02:10the 2020 killing of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani,
02:15Iran's missile attacks on U.S. bases in Iraq,
02:19and strikes on Israel in 2024.
02:23Iran currently possesses the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East,
02:29including short- and medium-range missiles
02:31capable of striking targets across the region and U.S. bases overseas,
02:37advanced models like the Fatah-1 hypersonic missile and Hebar-Shikhan
02:43have been deployed against Israel with improved precision.
02:48However, these missiles cannot reach the continental United States.
02:53The distance from Iran to the east coast is roughly 9,500 kilometers,
02:59which would require intercontinental ballistic missiles,
03:03technology Iran does not currently deploy.
03:06U.S. intelligence reports indicate Iran has the potential
03:10to develop ICBMs in the long term.
03:14The 2025 Defense Intelligence Agency report estimates
03:18Iran could field a militarily viable ICBM by around 2035,
03:25potentially with up to 60 missiles.
03:28But there is no public evidence that Iran has begun such a program.
03:34Recent focus appears more on regional threats and anti-ship cruise missiles,
03:39including possible deals with China for supersonic CM-302 variants.
03:53Trump's timeline of soon for U.S. reaching missiles is not supported by current intelligence,
04:00which suggests a development horizon of at least nine years if Iran were to pursue it.
04:06Analysts say his statement is partially true.
04:09Iran poses a regional threat and future long-range missile development is possible.
04:14But the immediate threat to the U.S. remains overstated.
04:20Trump's statement fits a pattern of emphasizing potential threats
04:24to justify military readiness and influence diplomatic negotiations,
04:29a strategy that has shaped U.S.-Iran relations for years.
04:34For now, Iran's missiles remain a regional concern,
04:39but a direct U.S. threat is not imminent.
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