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Panayam kay Fellow, OCTA research Dr. Guido David ukol sa pagbaba ng self-rated poverty nung huling quarter ng taong 2025
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2 days ago
Panayam kay Fellow, OCTA research Dr. Guido David ukol sa pagbaba ng self-rated poverty nung huling quarter ng taong 2025
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00:00
Pag-ubahan ng self-rated poverty noong huling quarter ng taong 2025,
00:05
ating tatalakayan kasama naman si Dr. Guido David, fellow ng Okta Research.
00:13
Dr. Guido?
00:17
Hi, yes, good afternoon, Joshua and Yusek Marge, and good afternoon to our viewers and listeners.
00:23
Dr. David, ayon po sa Okta Research, bumaba sa 37% ang self-rated poverty noong fourth quarter ng 2025 mula 54% noong third quarter.
00:35
Ano po yung mga nakikita natin yung factors sa pagbaba nito?
00:40
Yeah, this is actually surprising kasi this is a significant decrease in self-rated poverty among the Filipinos.
00:50
So, regularly, we conduct this survey every quarter, actually, to assess, engage the situation in the country.
01:01
Although, different yung survey namin from, let's say, data from the Philippine Statistics Authority,
01:07
wherein they actually estimate yung poverty samin, it's self-rated.
01:13
So, we ask the respondents if they consider themselves poor.
01:17
And, like I mentioned, we do this every quarter.
01:20
So, last time we did this was back in September.
01:23
So, the most recent was between December 3 to 11, 2025, with 1,200 respondents.
01:30
Usually, pag-December, I guess, maraming pere yung mga tao, may mga bones, I think that's a factor.
01:43
But, last year, we did see this kind of drop in self-rated poverty, self-rated hunger.
01:50
So, I think one factor, siguro yung continued efforts ng administration to distribute ayuda, that's one factor,
02:04
or assistance ating mga kababayan.
02:09
The other factor, I believe, is that the inflation rate has stabilized less than 2%.
02:17
I think it's at 1.8% as of last checking ng Philippines, as of last data, latest data ng Philippine Statistics Authority.
02:28
So, yung buhay, it's not as hard as it was before because nag-stabilize na yung mga ating economic indicators.
02:42
Tumatas pa rin naman yung GDP natin, although we didn't reach the target, but we still have a more than 4% increase in GDP.
02:50
So, I think these factors, to summarize, yung assistance binibigyan ng government, prices stabilizing,
03:01
kasama dito yung presyo ng bigas that has been controlled, we're not seeing much inflation,
03:09
and unemployment is just at around 4%.
03:12
Sir, sa inyo pong pag-aaral, ilang milyong pamilya po ba ang katumbas niya ito na hindi na itinuturing ang kanilang sarili na mahirap?
03:32
Paano po ba ito nararamdaman o nakikita sa mga actual na kondisyon ng mga pamilyang sumasagot ng survey?
03:38
Yes, this decrease in number would correspond to about, I think it's around 4 or 5 million families.
03:55
So, I'm checking the, yes, actually, sorry, that's about 14 million families that were, that was in the previous quarter,
04:11
and then bumabad to 9.8.
04:14
So, tama, yes, it's about almost 5 million, 4.5 million families.
04:19
So, na nag-change yung lifestyle nila from feeling impoverished to not feeling impoverished.
04:29
Or at least, hindi na sila, they no longer consider themselves poor.
04:35
So, ito yung mga families, I mean, this 4.5 million families, marami yan,
04:42
and it's all over the country, Luzon besides Mindanao,
04:45
who are no longer feeling yung economic pressure as much as before.
04:51
So, I think malaking tool lang yan sa ating bansa, sa ating mga kababayan.
04:55
This is always good news.
04:56
Regardless of your political affiliation,
04:59
we should always consider a win for the Filipinos as a win.
05:03
Okay. Dr. David, ano naman po yung mga indikasyon ng pagbaba ng self-rated food poverty
05:09
mula 49% tungo sa 30% pagdating sa access ng mga pamilya sa pagkain noong huling quarter ng taon 2025?
05:20
Yeah, actually, that's a good question, Joshua.
05:22
So, hindi lang yung self-rated poverty bumaba,
05:26
but rin yung self-rated food poverty, which means they have access to food.
05:33
So, they consider themselves food poor if they don't have access to good food.
05:40
I mean, hindi kabilang dito yung kumakailan ng mga junk food or scraps.
05:46
So, kailangan quality food yung kinakain nila.
05:48
And I think the access to food,
05:50
malaking natulong ng mga government programs in this regard
05:55
for having these, yung mga centers for, yung mga food centers
06:03
na napupuntahan ng mga kababayan natin.
06:07
And again, yung inflation na nag-stabilize na,
06:13
I think it has made food, you know, more affordable compared to the previous months.
06:19
Sir, nakakatawa po yung data na 4.5 million families po,
06:24
yung nakakaramdam na na wala na sila sa impoverished po na status.
06:31
Pero kung titignan po natin yung regional breakdown, sir,
06:34
nananatiling mataas ang self-rated poverty sa Mindanao
06:37
compared sa NCR and the rest of Luzon.
06:41
Ano po ba yung mga possible reasons why there's a regional disparity?
06:49
And that's a good point, Isaac, Marge.
06:52
Nasa some areas, nananatiling mataas yung poverty, yung food poverty.
07:01
And yung access should be equal to all.
07:06
So, I don't know what's going on in some parts of the country,
07:12
but there should be better coordination with the national government
07:17
and some of the local government.
07:20
I think that should be key so that we can bring access to food,
07:26
kunyari, to these places and help our kababayans.
07:31
I mean, we've seen this pattern actually used at Marge over the past year
07:35
na mas matas yung self-rated poverty, especially in Mindanao.
07:40
So, again, we call for the national government to sana provide
07:47
or improve our assistance to these places na hindi nakakarating yung mga
07:53
maybe the food is not available there
07:58
or the affordable food is not available there
08:02
or other reasons.
08:05
But again, this is an important detail na we hope
08:08
will help guide policy for the administration.
08:14
Sa NCR naman, Dr. David, puntahan natin
08:16
kasi dito marami nagsasabi na hindi masabi kung mahirap o hindi.
08:22
Ano po yung interpretation ng OCTA dito sa ganitong classification ng respondent?
08:25
Yeah, actually, medyo, ano naman,
08:31
consistently medyo mataas yung, kumbaga, undecided sila.
08:36
If, ano, but that's fair naman.
08:40
As long as hindi sila sure na they're poor,
08:45
ang masakit is if they're sure na they're poor
08:48
because they see their situation as, you know, as dire.
08:55
Pag undecided sila, maybe ayaw lang nila isipin na they're, you know, not poor
09:01
because may mga gas losing sila.
09:03
I mean, iba-iba naman yung situation ng mga kababayan natin.
09:07
Some of our kababayans, I mean, even sa ABC, 40% can't say if they're poor or not.
09:15
So, iba-iba naman yung situation ng mga families, you know,
09:19
they have a lot of expenses, may mga binambayaran na rent or property,
09:25
may binambayaran na sasakyan,
09:26
and that means sometimes they feel the pinch
09:30
because marami silang binambayaran,
09:34
not because they're actually, let's say, poor,
09:37
but at least their perception is,
09:39
okay, I'm okay, pero marami akong binambayaran,
09:42
so I'm not that okay.
09:45
Parang ganda.
09:46
So, we can interpret it as positive din, Dr. David,
09:50
na sabi mo nga kanina,
09:51
mas hindi maganda kung sasabihin nila na sigurado sila mahirap sila.
09:55
So, somehow, we can interpret it as a positive thing
09:58
na hindi nila masabi kung mahirap sila huwag.
10:03
Yes, it's always positive.
10:05
Ang negative naman diting nagsasabi na poor sila.
10:10
That's our interpretation.
10:11
So, if they say they're poor,
10:13
then kung tumatas yung nagsasabing poor sila,
10:16
that's always not a good sign.
10:19
Pero kung undecided sila,
10:21
that's more acceptable because
10:23
hindi lang sila sure.
10:25
siguro kung where they stand,
10:26
pero economically,
10:28
or at least as far as food poverty,
10:31
they're sure na,
10:32
or they're saying,
10:33
they're not saying they're poor,
10:35
so they're undecided,
10:37
or they're saying na poor sila.
10:38
So,
10:39
that's...
10:41
Sir,
10:47
Sir,
10:48
since self-rated ang poverty survey,
10:51
how do we ensure
10:52
that the data given
10:54
is consistent and reliable,
10:57
and yung mga respondent mismo,
10:59
consistent and reliable
11:00
yung pananaw nila
11:01
sa pag-rate sa kanilang mga kalagayan?
11:07
Well, we have some checks din naman,
11:09
YSEC March,
11:10
for assessing kung
11:12
honest na yung answer.
11:14
I mean,
11:15
we also check their,
11:16
you know,
11:17
economic stats,
11:18
because usually yung mga,
11:19
yung survey na ito,
11:21
it's conducted
11:22
in the residence
11:24
of the respondents.
11:27
So,
11:28
may feedback din naman.
11:29
So,
11:30
in a way,
11:31
it's difficult for them
11:32
to,
11:32
to sort of lie
11:35
about,
11:36
their situation,
11:38
and they can explain naman,
11:40
they can express
11:40
if they're feeling the pinch
11:43
or they're not.
11:44
And,
11:44
generally,
11:45
we think it's,
11:46
it's,
11:47
this data is reliable.
11:49
We have been,
11:50
like I mentioned,
11:51
we have been tracking
11:52
created poverty for,
11:54
I think,
11:55
more than two years now.
11:57
And,
11:57
the trends,
11:58
yung sinusundan namin,
11:59
usually,
12:01
they're also consistent
12:02
with what,
12:03
we see sa PSA.
12:06
So,
12:07
for example,
12:08
sa Philippine Statistics Authority,
12:09
we're seeing,
12:10
yung nga,
12:11
the unemployment rate
12:12
is,
12:12
at around 4%,
12:15
the inflation rate
12:16
is,
12:16
steady right now.
12:19
So,
12:19
these other factors,
12:21
support,
12:22
our findings,
12:24
of,
12:24
a decreasing,
12:26
self-rated poverty,
12:28
and food poverty.
12:29
Okay,
12:29
so,
12:29
Dr. David,
12:30
from your perspective po,
12:32
with all these numbers and data,
12:34
masasabi po bang,
12:35
pang matagalan,
12:36
ang pagbaba ng self-rated poverty,
12:38
o meron pa rin possibility
12:39
na tumaas ito ulit,
12:41
depende sa presyo
12:42
ng mga bilihin,
12:43
at iba pang economic factors?
12:44
Yes,
12:47
we would hope sana Joshua
12:49
na long-term na ito,
12:51
but,
12:51
the reality is,
12:53
this is a short-term,
12:54
effect,
12:57
and,
12:57
poverty,
12:58
and food poverty
12:59
is very elastic,
13:00
and that's,
13:01
ako personally,
13:03
my advocacy,
13:04
and,
13:04
I would want
13:06
the government
13:07
to focus on,
13:09
to help
13:13
alleviate
13:15
the economic situation
13:16
for many of our
13:17
government buyers,
13:18
and in my long-term
13:18
solutions,
13:20
of course,
13:21
you know,
13:22
we bring in investors,
13:23
we bring in,
13:25
we encourage
13:27
MSMEs
13:33
to promote,
13:36
or to strengthen
13:37
the economy,
13:37
because that brings jobs,
13:39
the dami mga jobs,
13:40
and the dami
13:41
opportunities
13:43
for our kababayans,
13:45
and that will help
13:48
the economy,
13:49
that will help
13:49
people
13:50
support themselves.
13:54
Okay.
13:55
Sir,
13:55
ano po ba yung mga
13:56
paalala ng OCTA
13:57
research sa pamahalan,
13:59
lalot na may malaking
14:00
pagbaba sa self-rated
14:02
poverty?
14:06
Yes,
14:06
thank you,
14:08
Yusak Marge,
14:09
for that question.
14:11
So,
14:11
of course,
14:12
this is good news
14:13
for the
14:14
administration,
14:16
and good news
14:17
for the Filipinos
14:17
in general,
14:19
not
14:19
for the
14:21
field
14:21
showing
14:22
na,
14:23
you know,
14:23
our lives
14:24
are improving,
14:26
bumubuting
14:26
kabuhayan natin.
14:28
For the
14:28
national government,
14:29
it means that,
14:31
you know,
14:31
we're moving
14:32
in the right direction.
14:34
Kung changes
14:34
naman sa country
14:36
natin,
14:36
it will not
14:37
happen
14:37
overnight.
14:38
We will not
14:39
move from
14:40
a middle-income
14:41
country to,
14:42
you know,
14:43
a first-world
14:44
country
14:45
in just a few
14:48
months.
14:48
This takes
14:50
time,
14:50
and we need
14:51
long-term
14:52
solutions
14:52
to help
14:54
us move
14:54
in that
14:56
direction.
14:57
So,
14:57
yung,
14:58
as a government,
14:59
you know,
14:59
take this
15:00
as a positive,
15:02
and we're
15:02
doing the
15:03
right things
15:03
right now,
15:04
and continue
15:06
to do the
15:06
good things
15:07
that we are
15:08
doing,
15:09
focus natin
15:09
dita,
15:10
sa positives,
15:11
and also
15:12
keep our
15:13
eye on the
15:13
ball.
15:14
So,
15:14
keep our
15:15
eye on
15:15
long-term
15:15
solutions
15:16
for the
15:17
country
15:17
to help
15:18
our
15:19
cababayas.
15:19
Yun,
15:20
mahalaga
15:20
progressing,
15:21
hindi naman
15:22
overnight talaga
15:22
yung
15:23
pag-unlad.
15:23
Correct.
15:24
Okay.
15:25
Maraming-maraming
15:25
salamat po
15:26
sa inyong oras,
15:26
Dr. Guido David,
15:28
fellow ng
15:28
Okta Research.
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