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euronews (in Italiano)
  • 16 ore fa
Un’azione militare USA potrebbe avere un “effetto decisivo” sull’Iran, afferma Bolton

John Bolton, ex consigliere per la Sicurezza nazionale del presidente Trump, ritiene che gli Stati Uniti opteranno per “attacchi mirati” contro l’Iran, mentre la regione si prepara a un intervento militare. Trump ha lasciato intendere che l’aiuto americano è “in arrivo”.

ALTRE INFORMAZIONI : http://it.euronews.com/2026/01/16/unazione-militare-usa-potrebbe-avere-un-effetto-decisivo-sulliran-afferma-bolton

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03:33an issue about the dress code, that the regime's basis of legitimacy is that it speaks the will
03:39of God. And when people say, well, we don't think wearing the hijab comes from God, it comes from
03:45the Ayatollahs, you're just not attacking that issue. You're attacking the very legitimacy of
03:50the Ayatollahs themselves. And that influence is still there. Plus, this time, the economic
03:56circumstances in Iran are really bad, worse than ever. And that's why the protests are so
04:02widespread, countrywide at this point. We hear Trump talking about coming to the aid of the
04:08Iranian people. We heard similar language when it came to Venezuela. Yet, Mr. Trump seems to be
04:14completely comfortable at the moment with having Nicolás Maduro sit in a New York prison while
04:20his vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, is at the helm in Caracas. She is a key figurehead of the
04:28Maduro regime. So when you look at Venezuela, do you think Trump is really interested in changing
04:34autocracies into democracies? Or is it really, at the end, all about oil and the strength of the
04:41dollar and so on? Well, it's not really clear what Trump is interested in. I think we're on the verge of
04:46squandering an opportunity in Venezuela. I'm glad Maduro has been captured. But the regime in power
04:52in Caracas is the Maduro regime without Maduro. And if we're not careful, that regime will entrench
04:59itself. And the people will still not be able to take control of the government. And it will also
05:04mean that there's not going to be any substantial external investment in Venezuela in the oil industry.
05:10So the poverty there will continue. Trump himself tweeted to the Iranian opposition,
05:14take control of your institutions. Well, that's what he should be saying in Venezuela as well. That
05:20is how you help overthrow the repressive regime. He is due to meet the opposition leader Maria
05:27Corina Machado very soon. Do you think that could change anything? Or is Trump really not interested
05:33in a proper democratic transition in Venezuela? Well, I think this is a good opportunity for Machado to
05:39say, look, if you don't have representative government in Venezuela, you're never going to
05:44have a rule of law society. You're going to be subject to the arbitrary will of the Maduro regime.
05:50And those circumstances mean foreign investors are not going to come in. They're not going to risk,
05:55especially in the oil sector, billions of dollars of investment that some dictator can just grab away
06:01from them. So for Trump's own purposes, putting the opposition in Venezuela in power is important.
06:07And perhaps she can persuade or explain to him why that's important.
06:12If he fails to do that, is that a strategic failure for the U.S., do you feel?
06:16I think it could well be. I think what the regime in Caracas is doing now is shoring up its support
06:21from the military, the police, the colectivos, the motorcycle gangs that they use to intimidate the
06:28of the population and strengthening their position, talking to China about China exploiting Venezuela
06:34as oil. So the moment's not lost yet, but it's just a clear mistake to stop with Maduro.
06:40And on Greenland, Trump has recently said that anything less than U.S. control of that territory,
06:48which belongs to the Kingdom of Denmark, is unacceptable to him. Do you think he's willing
06:54to use force, military force, to seize that territory?
06:59Ultimately, I don't think he will. I think just the talk, though, of using military force
07:04is costing the U.S. in terms you can't even calculate, in terms of trust and good faith
07:10and our reputation. And if we can say there, there's a new poll out today that shows exactly
07:168 percent of the American people favor the use of force to take Greenland.
07:20I'd like to ask that 8 percent if they even know where Greenland is.
07:24Yet he seems to be doubling down, Mr. Bolton. He seems to be turning his back on diplomacy.
07:28His language is very clear. What could this mean for the U.S. reputation if he does move
07:33ahead with a seizure? And what could it mean for the NATO alliance?
07:38Well, I think it's a disaster for the United States. As I say, they were even talking about
07:41this, and it would be infinitely worse if he did try and use military force. I think there'd
07:47be a political earthquake in this country. There is essentially zero support. And certainly
07:54in Congress, it would be a matter of grave concern. And I think many people believe that
07:59if it happened, it would be the end of the NATO alliance and doing grave damage to U.S.
08:05national security, not to mention the other NATO allies.
08:08In the end, will we just see something more transactional? Do you think he'll opt for a deal,
08:13for example, by paying a lump sum to Greenlanders or striking some kind of agreement with the Danish
08:19government? Is he pushing here for a sale?
08:21Well, he will want to be able to declare victory on something, because after all, the world is
08:26divided into winners and losers, and he always wins. But it doesn't make it any easier to get to
08:34an agreement, which legitimately does concern U.S. national security, Canadian security,
08:40Danish security, the security of the entire NATO alliance against the growing Russian and Chinese
08:45threats in the Arctic Ocean. So a quiet approach to this, I think, could really move fairly rapidly
08:52based on the 1951 Danish-U.S. defensive Greenland treaty.
08:57I'd like to ask you about Ukraine. Trump has been pushing for a very rapid deal to end Russia's war.
09:05It doesn't seem to be coming. Europeans have pledged to very specific security guarantees by now.
09:12Do you think Trump is willing to do the same?
09:15Well, Trump may be willing to give security guarantees, but since it's still not clear he
09:20would even uphold Article 5 of the NATO treaty, words on a piece of paper are not the real answer here.
09:26The only way you can have a guarantee of Ukrainian security is if Russian troops are moving backward
09:33rather than moving forward. So I'm worried about the whole ceasefire approach. I'm afraid it may
09:39give Russia an advantage. And that in Europe, people think if we can get a ceasefire, that's a real
09:46answer. It's not. It just gives Russia a pause to regroup, rebuild its army, refurbish its economy.
09:52Putin wants a Russian empire. He's told us this for 20 years. And in that kind of nationalist thinking,
09:59there's no Russian empire without the whole of Ukraine. That's what Putin wants.
10:03Do you think there's a risk here that Trump is losing patience and will sell out the Ukrainians?
10:07Well, I think he's losing patience because it's not getting him the Nobel Peace Prize that's really
10:11the end objective for him on almost everything we've been talking about. I don't know that it would
10:17necessarily mean he would sell out Ukraine. He might just withdraw from the issue because it's not
10:22making him a winner. And if the U.S. continued to supply intelligence to Ukraine, if we continued
10:30to sell weapons and ammunition to our European NATO allies who could pass it on to Ukraine,
10:36that I think might be sufficient to keep Ukraine going. That's not an ideal outcome from my point of
10:43view. But I think if we could get that minimum, then let Trump walk away.
10:47Final question, Mr. Bolton. You know, Trump promised to pursue an America first policy,
10:54a less interventionist approach. Some would say he's doing the complete opposite. How would you
11:00rate his foreign policy so far in his second term? From one to 10, how would you grade it?
11:09Well, around a two or three, I think. A lot's incomplete. One thing we haven't talked about is
11:14tariff policy, trade issues, which I do think are important for national security. They've been a
11:20complete disaster and harmed the United States in many ways, not just economic, but in reputational
11:27and political terms as well. So I don't think Trump really understands what he's doing. He doesn't have
11:33a national security grand strategy. Everything is transactional, episodic, ad hoc. And that's why he can
11:41completely reverse what he said during the campaign and not even see that he's contradicting himself.
11:46I think he's causing himself political difficulties with his own base for what he's doing. But that's
11:52his problem. Mr. Bolton, thank you so much for your time. Well, thanks for having me.
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