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Can Mars Be Terraformed In Decades Rather Than Centuries?
Space.com
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6 minutes ago
Dr. Erika Alden DeBenedictis joins the hosts Rod Pyle and Dr. Rick Jenet to talk terraforming Mars.
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Tech
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00:00
Hey space fans, this is Rod Plough from This Week in Space.
00:03
How can microbes on Mars make it as nice a place to live as the Hamptons?
00:08
Well, we wanted to know, so we asked Dr. Erica DeBenedictus, a pioneer in quick terraforming,
00:15
to tell us about how this might take place.
00:17
Stick around and find out.
00:19
So, Erica, I was looking at your LinkedIn, as you probably guessed in our earlier conversations,
00:25
and you kind of touched on this.
00:27
You said you're a computational physicist.
00:30
So, does that mean that somewhere you have a huge computational model for Mars involving
00:37
like lots of cloud resources and all of that kind of stuff, or what's the plan there?
00:43
Yeah, so one of actually the cool things about being part of the Astera Institute and the part
00:50
of the incubator there is that we actually have physics collaborators who literally study
00:55
Mars climate.
00:56
So, Astera is funded, it's a philanthropic science org funded by Jed McCaleb, who's also
01:02
the founder of Vast, which is one of the private space station companies.
01:06
So, Jed is like one of these people who like lives in the future, right?
01:11
Like for him, space travel really is happening, and it's like urgent to like figure this stuff
01:16
out.
01:16
And so, I'm not the only person at Astera that is thinking about Mars.
01:21
So, I have a collaborator, Edwin Kite, who is more on the modeling side.
01:28
So, he's been working on climate models for Mars, especially to simulate what would happen
01:36
if you heat a particular area of Mars, you know, where would the water vapor go?
01:42
Stuff like that.
01:44
So, there is some of that, and it's an interesting challenge because we have, it's a little bit
01:50
beyond our current modeling capabilities because, you know, current climate models for Mars make
01:58
assumptions based on facts about how it is today.
02:02
And so, you can't, it's not always a simple matter of just adjusting temperature and seeing
02:07
what happens.
02:08
You have to simulate new effects.
02:10
So, yeah, some of that is happening, which is very cool.
02:14
Very neat.
02:15
So, we would be remiss if we didn't actually get into the core of your paper, which was
02:21
fascinating, by the way.
02:23
And I don't read that many papers.
02:25
So, when I do, I like to have one that's sort of engaging, and that definitely was.
02:29
So, you talk in there about not just terraforming Mars, which has been written about plenty, but
02:34
usually on the scale of centuries to millennia, you talk about ways of going after this in
02:41
decades, which is, I think, the revolutionary part of this.
02:44
So, could you kind of walk us through how you would do it?
02:48
Yeah.
02:49
Maybe, maybe let me do it sort of back to front.
02:52
So, the potential target end state for a terraformed Mars that, again, this is all very early, but
03:02
I can't find a physics reason why this isn't possible, let's say.
03:06
The desired target end state is a Mars that's green.
03:10
So, it has a planetary-wide biosphere that's active, metabolically active.
03:16
It has a, a thin but breathable atmosphere that is almost entirely just oxygen.
03:23
So, it has to be thick enough that if you're a human and you go outside, you can breathe
03:29
it and you won't die.
03:31
It won't be super comfortable, but it'll be like a hundred millibar.
03:35
So, about what, like fighter pilots breathe.
03:37
Um, and that amount of atmosphere would protect the surface from, like, most radiation.
03:44
So, it wouldn't be a problem that there's no magnetic field.
03:48
Uh, backing up to how, how do you get there?
03:50
Um, I think one of the main sort of insights is that, again, it used to be thought, and
03:57
we've now debunked this idea, it used to be thought that you could just melt the ice cap
04:02
and it's just not big enough.
04:03
So, where do you get the atmosphere from?
04:05
That's like the fundamental question.
04:07
And I, I think the thing that changed when sort of, you know, I and a bunch of other
04:14
people gathered last year at a workshop, kind of to figure this out, I think the, the new
04:19
idea is to do it the way we did it on earth.
04:22
So, taking you back some billions of years, um, earth didn't used to be habitable either.
04:28
Um, we didn't used to have very much oxygen in the atmosphere.
04:32
And what changed was photosynthesis evolved.
04:35
And photosynthesis, what it does is it takes water and it splits it into oxygen, which it
04:41
throws away.
04:42
And then it takes the hydrogens and stores them as sugars, right?
04:45
And so the arrival of photosynthetic microbes on earth is what literally split water and
04:53
released the oxygen into the atmosphere.
04:55
And so that's the idea is to basically take the actually quite plentiful water on Mars and
05:01
use it to generate an atmosphere with photosynthesis.
05:04
And again, walking one step back from that to get enough photosynthesis going, you have
05:09
to grow stuff to grow stuff.
05:11
You have to warm it up.
05:12
And so you need, you need ways to create either structures, um, that will be warm enough to,
05:19
to allow for, for plant growth, um, or other, other ways of warming things.
05:24
Uh, again, Edwin, my collaborator, he works on basically like a type of glitter that reflects
05:31
heat, like IR radiation specifically.
05:34
So you could release it in an area and it would sort of make a little blanket to keep that
05:38
area warm.
05:39
Oh, and, and on this, this timeline thing, um, yeah, there's, there's, uh, I think it's
05:48
again, very early to estimate, but, um, in principle, especially with some of these new warming techniques
05:56
like the glitter, um, combined with the fact that we are, we have like quite heavy launch
06:03
vehicles for getting to Mars.
06:04
If you do the math, um, you could warm Mars quite a lot to the, to the, to the state where
06:10
it can grow stuff outside in a couple of decades.
06:13
So you could get to green Mars very fast.
06:17
Um, it would then take longer to, to give the lifetime to generate the atmosphere.
06:24
But even before you have sort of like planet wide oxygen, if you dropped a dome down, the
06:30
plants could fill just the dome in a year or two with it, with enough atmosphere for you
06:35
as a human to, to live in.
06:37
So it's, it's, it's terraforming.
06:40
It's not, it's, it like requires that we like recognize that Mars will never quite be
06:45
earth.
06:45
So it's like the, the end point is not identical.
06:47
Right.
06:48
But, but certainly something that is more amenable to life and much more amenable to human life.
07:00
So it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's,
07:07
it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's.
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