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Transcript
00:00In this video, I'm revealing a simple and profitable trading strategy that is proven
00:06to have a high win rate.
00:08And at the end of the video, I'm going to show you proof of it having a high win rate
00:13by backtesting the strategy 100 times.
00:16So without further ado, let's get on with the video.
00:21For this strategy, we are using a combination of three indicators, the stochastic, RSI,
00:28and MACD.
00:30First, let's start with the stochastic because that will generate our main entry signal.
00:36The stochastic is a very simple to use indicator that does a very good job of identifying overbought
00:42and oversold levels on the market.
00:45It consists of two parts, the blue line, which is called the K percentage, and the orange
00:50line, which is called the D percentage.
00:54One of the most common mistakes that traders make when using this indicator is that they're
00:58trading the stochastic by itself.
01:01So they take a buy position every time the indicator hits oversold and they take a sell
01:06position every time the indicator hits overbought.
01:09If you're still using the indicator this way, you will get a very low win rate.
01:14Instead, you need to combine the stochastic with other indicators to further confirm your
01:19analysis.
01:21And so let's move on to the second indicator for our strategy, which is the RSI.
01:27The RSI is one of the most famous indicators used in trading.
01:31And a popular way of using the RSI is by trading it as an overbought and oversold indicator.
01:38However, for this combination strategy, we already have the stochastic to do that job.
01:45So having two indicators that give the same signals is quite useless.
01:49Instead, we are using the RSI as a trend confirmation indicator.
01:54And to do that, first, we need to go to the indicator settings and change both of these
01:59levels to 50.
02:02So now we have a single line in the middle like this.
02:05And the way we use it to confirm a trend is very simple.
02:09If the RSI is above the middle line, it means that the price is on an uptrend, so you only
02:14take buy positions.
02:16And if the RSI is below the middle line, it means that the price is on a downtrend, so
02:21you only take sell positions.
02:25Now let's move on to the third indicator, which is the MACD.
02:29The MACD is one of the most popular indicators that does a very good job of detecting momentum.
02:36And a common way of using the MACD is by taking a buy position if the MACD line crosses above
02:41the signal line and taking a sell position if the MACD line crosses below the signal line.
02:48However, this strategy only works if the market is trending.
02:53If the market is moving sideways, the MACD often gives false signals.
02:58So that is why for this combination strategy, we are not going to buy or sell just because
03:04the MACD crosses over.
03:06Instead, we are using it to give extra confirmation and making sure that the momentum is on our
03:12side.
03:14And so this is how the stochastic, RSI and MACD strategy works.
03:19First, let's start with our entry signal.
03:23To identify a buy signal, the first step is you want to look at the stochastic and wait
03:29for both the K and D lines to hit oversold.
03:33Then you want to use the RSI to confirm the uptrend by making sure that it's above the
03:38middle line.
03:40The next step is you want to use the MACD to confirm the upwards momentum by waiting for
03:45the MACD line to cross above the signal line.
03:49Once this happens, however, you still need to make sure that both of the stochastic lines
03:53still hasn't hit overbought yet.
03:56And if all the rules are met, you take a buy position.
04:02Let's move on to finding sell signals.
04:04Again, the first step is you want to look at the stochastic and wait for both the K and
04:10D lines to hit overbought.
04:12Then you want to use the RSI to confirm the downtrend by making sure that it's below the
04:18middle line.
04:19The next step is you want to use the MACD to confirm the downwards momentum by waiting
04:24for the MACD line to cross below the signal line.
04:28And you still need to make sure that both of the K and D lines still hasn't hit oversold.
04:34Once all the rules are met, you take a sell position.
04:39Now for your exit strategy.
04:42If you took buy positions, you want to place your stop loss below the nearest swing low and
04:47set your profit target at 1.5 times your stop loss.
04:51Similarly, if you took sell positions, you want to place your stop loss above the nearest
04:57swing high and set your profit target at 1.5 times your stop loss.
05:03So now, before we backtest this strategy 100 times, let's look at it in full action.
05:09In this chart, we can see that both of the K and D lines is at oversold, meaning we are going
05:14to take a buy position.
05:16Then, you want to confirm the uptrend by making sure that the RSI is above the middle line.
05:23The next step is you want to use the MACD to further confirm the upwards momentum by waiting
05:29for the MACD line to cross above the signal line.
05:33And you still need to make sure that both of the stochastic lines still hasn't hit overbought
05:37yet.
05:39Once all the rules are met, you take a buy position.
05:43Now for your stop loss, you place it below the nearest swing low and set your profit target
05:48at 1.5 times your stop loss.
05:51Let's look at another example.
05:54In this chart, we can see that both of the K and D lines is at overbought, meaning we're
05:58going to take a sell position.
06:01Then you want to confirm the downtrend by making sure that the RSI is below the middle line.
06:07The next step is you want to use the MACD to further confirm the downwards momentum by
06:12waiting for the MACD line to cross below the signal line.
06:16And make sure that both of the K and D lines still hasn't hit oversold.
06:21Once this happens, you take a sell position.
06:24And for your stop loss, you place it above the nearest swing high and set your profit target
06:29at 1.5 times your stop loss.
06:33So now, I'm going to prove that this strategy actually works by backtesting it 100 times.
06:39For this backtest, I'm going to use the EURUSD 30-minute timeframe with a starting capital
06:45of $1,000.
06:47And for our money management, we are risking 2% over total capital per trade.
06:52And for each trade, we are using 200 times leverage.
06:56By the way, you can download this backtesting tool for free in the description below.
07:01So without further ado, let's start backtesting!
07:04Come by, place it!
07:06No!
07:07All right!
07:08Let's go ahead!
07:09Go ahead and see!
07:11Like, fill your ticket!
07:14You can add $1,000!
07:16Here is the store, let's go ahead and see!
07:18That's what we're taking!
07:20The store says, you can download it!
07:22And you can do it, how to earn money!
07:25You can do it today!
07:28I'm going to use the store, let's go ahead and set it up!
07:32And finally,
08:01after backtesting the strategy 100 times, the results are in.
08:07It took us 134 days to reach 100 trades.
08:11And out of that 100 trades, we received a very good win rate of 56%.
08:17Our most wins in a row was 5 and our most losses in a row was 3.
08:22And in total, we made a profit of $280.41, which equates to around 28% overall gain of
08:31our $1,000 capital.
08:36So after backtesting, I discovered a couple of optimizations and changes that you can
08:40implement to further increase the win rate for this strategy.
08:44The first one is limiting your stop loss.
08:48So normally, if you're taking a sell position, you want to set your stop loss at the nearest
08:53swing high.
08:55However, in this particular trade, you can see that the swing high is too far away from
09:00the price.
09:01Therefore, your risk will be too large.
09:04And it can potentially give you a massive loss.
09:07And that is why I recommend limiting your stop loss to only 0.15%.
09:13So no matter how far your stop loss is, your loss will never exceed 0.15%.
09:21Another tip that you can use is don't open a new position if you haven't closed your previous
09:26one.
09:27Let me explain.
09:29If you're taking a position, you only exit a trade if the price either hits your stop
09:34loss or profit target.
09:37However, there are times where the trade takes a long time to hit a target.
09:42And as a result, you will miss a couple of entry signals along the way, which is perfectly
09:48fine.
09:49I recommend sticking to only one trade at a time, because managing more than one trade
09:53is very hard.
09:57So I just revealed to you a very simple high win rate strategy that you can immediately
10:02use right now.
10:04And all I ask for in return is for you to invest 2 seconds of your time into liking the video
10:09and subscribe to the channel.
10:11It literally takes only 2 clicks, but it means so much to me.
10:15And you can also check out my other videos as well.
10:18So thank you guys for watching and I'll see you in the next video.
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