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00:00A C-130 Hercules transport aircraft
00:03comes apart mid-flight.
00:05This is unbelievable.
00:07Let me show you the video
00:08and I'll explain what I think happened.
00:16Alright, let me stop it right there.
00:18You can see the wings
00:21and you can see part of the fuselage.
00:24Those four little things pointing out down this way
00:27are the engines on the C-130.
00:30And I believe what's coming out the ends of the wings is fuel.
00:33Alright, when the C-130 can dump fuel
00:35it would come out the ends of the wings like that.
00:37And I believe because of the way this aircraft came apart
00:39the fuel that is remaining in the wings
00:42is now venting out the end of those pipes
00:45at the end of the wing.
00:46What's missing in this picture is the tail of the aircraft
00:49and the cockpit of the aircraft.
00:52It's just come apart.
00:53I've never seen anything like this.
00:55The very first part of this video, you saw either the tail
00:58or the fuselage or the cockpit part of the airplane
01:01kind of descending on its own.
01:03What could cause something like this?
01:05I have no idea.
01:07I'm going to give you a couple of possibilities here
01:09in a minute, but it's hard to imagine
01:12what could have caused this.
01:13Let's watch this now as it continues to descend.
01:18The wings are still kind of partially flying
01:20as it just spirals down to the ground.
01:25It's going to descend below a mountain ridge here in a minute,
01:31continuing to descend.
01:33And then in just a second, you're going to see a fireball.
01:38All right, there it is, where it impacts the ground.
01:47The rest of the parts of the airplane are still falling.
01:54All right.
01:57So again, the airplane comes apart mid-flight.
02:02We don't know exactly why.
02:03Where was this aircraft when it came apart?
02:06It was near the Georgia-Azerbaijan border.
02:09It's a Turkish Air Force C-130.
02:12And the C-130 is like a Swiss Army knife of an aircraft.
02:16They've been around forever.
02:17The first flight of a C-130 was in 1954.
02:20It was pressed into service in the U.S. Air Force in 1956.
02:24That's how old it is.
02:26It's older than me and older than a lot of you.
02:29Now, this airplane in particular,
02:30don't know exactly how old this airframe is.
02:33Probably not one of those 1950s models.
02:36However, an airplane, no matter how old it is,
02:39just doesn't come apart like that in flight.
02:40There's got to be a reason for that to happen.
02:42Either something happened internally
02:44or something happened externally.
02:46So I can talk about both of those,
02:48but give me a minute on this.
02:50It's confirmed right now they believe 20 dead.
02:52There were 20 folks, total souls on board on that aircraft.
02:56Clearly all fatalities on this.
02:58The aircraft call sign was Tango Uniform Alpha Foxtrot 543,
03:04flying under the Turkish flag.
03:06It departed at 1019 UTC time.
03:10It flew for 30 minutes.
03:11The last report on ADS-B was at 1049 UTC.
03:15The aircraft climbed all the way up to flight level 240,
03:19which is a typical altitude for that aircraft.
03:22I flew an aircraft similar to this.
03:24The P-3 has the same engines.
03:26Those Allison T-56 engines, beautiful airplane.
03:30Very, very versatile.
03:32Now, what possibly could cause this thing to come apart?
03:35I have really no idea.
03:37If there was some sort of an internal explosion on the inside of the airplane,
03:43maybe it could come apart like that.
03:46The video picks up from the wing and the airplane's already separated, descending.
03:52And it doesn't look like there was a big fireball or anything associated with this.
03:57It looks like it just came apart.
03:58The other possibility is that it was some sort of external issue.
04:03A missile, perhaps, hit this thing.
04:07Again, from the video, we can see there's no evidence of that.
04:10And there's no eyewitness reports talking about that, at least at this early junction.
04:15All I know is that this aircraft came down on the border of Georgia and Azerbaijan.
04:20The western shore of the Caspian Sea is not far from there.
04:24And that is one of the areas where the Russian-Ukraine war is raging right now.
04:28So could this have been a mistake?
04:31Could it have been...
04:33I don't know what it could have been.
04:35It could have been an errant missile on purpose.
04:38But again, there's not a lot of evidence that it was even a missile.
04:41So all of that is kind of guesswork for why an aircraft like this would come apart mid-flight.
04:47If they're cruising at flight level 240, they're not doing anything extraordinary
04:52that would cause an airplane to break up like this.
04:55And again, it would have to be the most extreme of Gs
04:58for an airplane to break up into three distinct parts like this.
05:02I've never seen wings continue to fly like that.
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