Through the infrared feed of two Leleka-100 reconnaissance UAVs, the Russian hidden base appears in sharp relief, heat streaks across the bivouac clearly marking where a large concentration of materiel has been staged. Eight Ural-4320 military trucks, each carrying about 8,820–11,025 lb (4,000–5,000 kg) of artillery ammunition. Nearby, four KamAZ-5350 tanker trucks holding a total of 2,512 US gallons (9,510 L) of diesel fuel. They are massed beside a reinforced dome warehouse that has been marked as the battalion-level field logistics hub for the entire eastern Donetsk cluster.
00:08Through the infrared feed of two Leleka 100 Reconnaissance UAVs,
00:13the Russian hidden base appears in sharp relief,
00:16heat streaks across the bivouac clearly marking where a large concentration of material has been staged.
00:22Eight Ural 4320 military trucks, each carrying about 8,820 to 11,025 pounds of artillery ammunition.
00:32Nearby, four Kamaz 5350 tanker trucks holding a total of 2,512 U.S. gallons of diesel fuel.
00:41They are massed beside a reinforced dome warehouse that has been marked as the battalion-level field logistics hub for the entire eastern Donetsk cluster.
00:51The total weight of materiel, fuel and ammunition is estimated to exceed 583,160 pounds enough
00:59to sustain the entire mechanized battalion for 48 hours without resupply.
01:04But the most striking detail, directly behind the base, sits a colossal dam holding up to approximately 80 billion U.S. gallons,
01:13approximately 300 million cubic meters, of water.
01:18Within 15 minutes, a bold plan is sketched.
01:22Ukraine will turn the enemy's own reservoir into a weapon, creating an artificial flood from the dam's water.
01:29Breach the Belgorod Dam's subsidiary control cluster so that a titanic surge of water will entirely submerge the Russian logistics node,
01:39wrecking any river crossing plans.
01:41At 3.05 a.m., in a dense wood near Chuhuiv, three HIMARS launchers are pulled out from camouflage pits.
01:50The target has been locked, using coordinate data streamed back from reconnaissance UAVs, two minutes after a final systems check.
01:59The order to fire is transmitted from the headquarters of Ukraine's 16th Field Corps.
02:04The ready-fire status lights on panel number two come on, all three crews confirm.
02:10The three HIMARS roar to life simultaneously.
02:13Each launcher carries two GMLR-SER rounds, the newest GPS-guided rockets supplied by the United States,
02:22with ranges beyond 93 miles and exceptional accuracy.
02:26Each warhead weighs 200 pounds, a penetrator design with a heavy steel casing and a shaped charge core,
02:33specifically built to punch through reinforced concrete and detonate inside a dam's structure.
02:39A total of six GMLR-SER rockets are fired.
02:44They immediately activate dual GPS plus INS navigation, locking on the upstream dam coordinates at Belgorod,
02:52the strategic crossing point where the Siverskai Donets meets the Russian logistics axis into northern Kharkiv.
02:59At the same time, northwest of Volchansk, from a prepared heat-resistant makeshift runway,
03:05two UJ-22 decoy UAVs sprint into the sky.
03:10These are low-cost stealth decoys improvised by Ukraine.
03:14Composite foam airframes that absorb radar, fitted with RF emission modules to emulate cruise missile signatures,
03:21creating an electronic bait that misleads Russian radars.
03:25The sole intent, to draw the attention of the 96 L-6E radar cluster and a Pantsir S-1 battery
03:33emplaced at Shebekino, less than approximately 11.2 miles from the Belgorod dam.
03:39Flying between 492 to 656 feet altitude, the two UJ-22 decoys close on the Russian base at sustained speeds of 68 to 81 miles per hour,
03:52just enough to mimic the flight profile of a Neptune cruise missile.
03:57Each UAV is programmed to continuously emit electromagnetic signatures that replicate radar reflective patterns,
04:04RCS 5.38 to 6.46 square feet approach velocity, and the infrared signature of a Neptune warhead in terminal flight.
04:14An integrated active jamming package aboard the UAV simulates mid-course guidance signals plus an active radar seeker return,
04:23fooling both X-band and S-band trackers.
04:27At 3.08, 54 a.m., a Russian 96 L-6E radar detects the signature and classifies it as an approaching Neptune from the northwest.
04:38Immediately, a Pantsir S-1 battery on alert 1.2 kilometers from the target is switched to automatic tracking.
04:46All launch tubes and the 30-millimeter cannons pivot toward the northwest, precisely the vector the decoy UAVs are inviting.
04:55The Pantsir S-1 locks onto the false target with millimeter-wave radar control, exactly as Ukraine planned.
05:02At that moment, while the Pantsir family concentrates its fire northwest, six GMLR's rounds slice across the bends of the Siverski Donets,
05:12now less than 5.6 miles from the target.
05:15They fly at ultra-low altitude, only 148 to 197 feet, hugging the terrain to evade radar detection.
05:24All GNSS guidance was turned off at border crossing.
05:28Navigation is now handled by Active Terrain Profile Radar and Inertial Navigation .
05:35Each round travels at Mach 3.0, roughly approximately 2,282 miles per hour, closing on the target like silent blades in the dark.
05:47030601 AM, at approximately 1.86 miles out, the terrain profiling systems kick in.
06:04approximately 85 to 90 degrees on the dam crest, where reinforced concrete density is highest and shock convergence is strongest.
06:13Here would allow hydraulic pressure from the reservoir to propagate and rip open cracks, triggering cascading hydrostatic failure.
06:22030650 AM, six rounds sweep the river's narrowest stretch, the channel between the rugged banks by the village of Yarova and the hills southwest of Sviatohirsk.
06:36The Russian air defense network is effectively blinded.
06:40The only remaining defensive links are rear Tor M-2 and Pantsir S-1 units, but they lack engagement solutions at ultra-low altitudes.
06:49Just 15 seconds remain before the dam's body could be torn apart by six penetrator warheads arriving at Mach 3.
06:57In the Pantsir S-1 control cabin, a junior-grade lieutenant notices the danger.
07:03On the infrared monitor, six tiny bright blips flash.
07:07Too fast. Too close.
07:09Another officer shouts in vain,
07:11That's not a Neptune. That's high Mars.
07:14But it is already too late.
07:16Interceptor munitions were exhausted.
07:19The system is reloading and will not be ready for at least 15 seconds.
07:24030705 AM, the first impact, round number one slams into the dam crest at the central spillway control area.
07:35A blinding white flash followed by the detonation of hundreds of kilograms of penetrative explosives ripping through over 3.94 feet of reinforced concrete.
07:460.2 seconds later, the second round penetrates at the right edge, near the maintenance staircase and machinery chamber.
07:53Sparks erupt. A massive slab of concrete is hurled tens of meters into the air.
07:59Then the third, fourth, fifth rounds follow. The entire dam structure shudders as if awakened by an earthquake.
08:06030708 AM, the final sixth round tears into the reinforced axis of the left spillway valve, detonating inside the steel structure designed to withstand hundreds of thousands of cubic meters of water daily.
08:21But this time, the pressure comes not from water, but from penetration and fire.
08:27Each GMLRS ER carries 200 pounds of penetrative explosive.
08:32The six strikes deliver a cumulative approximately 1,204 pounds of shaped charge explosive into a single critical point.
08:41The dam's structure begins to fail. A long metallic cracking sound, like steel being bent, echoes through the control room.
08:52The first fissure appears, running laterally from the third impact across the dam face.
08:58Water pressure starts to bleed through hairline cracks, at first a trickle, but within four seconds it turns into a white writhing torrent that rips at shattered concrete.
09:093.07.14 AM, the dam breaches. Just 1.5 seconds later, the entire upstream embankment collapses. A vertical wall of water thunders downstream like a freed beast.
09:22A plume exceeding 98 feet erupts skyward. Over 530 million U.S. gallons of stored water surges downstream at speeds up to 43.5 miles per hour,
09:35carrying mud, rock, concrete fragments, and hydraulic shock waves.
09:402.4 kilometers downstream, at the Russian field logistics base.
09:45The northern Lyman forest edge houses more than 80 troops, mostly logistics technicians, tanker drivers, and ammunition handlers sleeping in temporary tents.
09:55A few remain on watch or smoking after their shift.
09:58Within five seconds, the initial surge sweeps away three Ural 4320 trucks parked near the bank as if they were tin toys.
10:08Satellite dishmasts collapse. The military mobile comms mast is swept away with its steel frame.
10:15An electronics bunker floods within 20 seconds, cutting all battlefield communications across northwest Donetsk.
10:22An officer screams into a dead radio,
10:25We've lost everything!
10:26Re-establish the defensive line. Anyone hear me?
10:29030800 AM. Less than a minute later, the entire base is underwater.
10:36Ukrainian recon UAVs continue to circle silently, recording the devastation, preparing the strategic report that will shock the Russian general staff within hours.
10:470325 AM. The Southern Military District Command Center in Rostov-on-Don lights up with dozens of alert signals.
10:56On control screens, icons representing UAVS, logistics vehicles, and forward radars flip to no contact.
11:04The supply corridor from north of Lyman to East Slovyansk, the same sector that saw heavy fighting yesterday, abruptly falls off the operational map.
11:14All communications from the Volodymyrovka rear base are severed.
11:190334 AM. An urgent report is relayed directly to the Russian general staff.
11:25A red headline on the operational telegram reads,
11:29Complete loss of logistics base Volkostia due to hydrologic incident level 1.
11:58Casualties cannot be tallied yet, but initial estimates put losses at no fewer than approximately 80 personnel.
12:050337 AM Observation Post No. 5, near Bilohorivka, which monitors the logistic raft crossings, transmits a final thermal image.
12:16One large heat patch dispersing. The last remnant of an Ural truck being dragged away, its engine still burning.
12:24The feed then dies.
12:26At the front, Russian artillery units waiting for resupply are unaware their rear base has been erased from the map.
12:330345 AM in Rostov-on-Don, the Southern MD command shifts to tactical alert.
12:40Within 30 minutes of the dam failure, at least three major riverine supply routes along the Siversky Donets are marked temporarily unsafe.
12:49Russian engineer units are ordered to conduct immediate terrain surveys, damage assessments, and provisional restoration plans.
12:57A Sapers detachment with floating bridge gear, hydrotechnical repair teams, and field-pumping units are dispatched from Shebekino and Starioskol.
13:070410 AM, an urgent internal bulletin from Emmercom states,
13:12The downstream sections of the Siversky Donets from north Volodymyrovka to southwest Svyatohirsk experienced extreme hydraulic shock,
13:22with flows exceeding 43.5 miles per hour during the first two minutes.
13:27Riverbank structures, riverside roads, and temporary logistics infrastructure are likely 30 to 70 percent destroyed.
13:36The Russian Ministry of Defense immediately requests satellite imagery from BARZ-M and RESERS-P platforms and ground station telemetry,
13:45but heavy cloud cover and electromagnetic disruption from flares and tactical UAV activity render much of the data unusable in real time.
13:55Over the next 24 to 72 hours, Russian units near Vovchansk, Lyman and northwest Slovyansk will face acute supply interruptions,
14:05notably in artillery shells, fuel, and medical supplies.
14:09Temporary bridges and minor dam crossing routes are destroyed, forcing Russian forces to rely on pontoon bridges or airlift, increasing airspace pressure along the logistics axis.
14:21A number of small resupply UAVs are trialed from Belgorod, but their throughput is severely limited.
14:29If reservoir levels remain critically low and the main dam cannot be restored quickly,
14:34the southern riverside of Svyatohirsk will undergo permanent geomorphologic change, impacting all wheeled logistics from fuel tankers to self-propelled guns.
14:45Mud, boulders, and debris will block rapid reestablishment of former routes.
14:51Motor pools, field refueling sites, and UAV hubs will need full relocation.
14:57Any attempt to rebuild the old line will take at least five to seven days, while combat operations continue.
15:04This was not a conventional artillery barrage or a standard UAV raid, yet the hydrologic traps effect is campaign shaping.
15:13Within two minutes, Ukraine transformed a hydraulic work into a weapon comparable in destructive effect to several dozen HIMARS strikes
15:22when measured by equipment losses and supply disruption.
15:26If Ukraine continues to replicate this pattern, striking geographic and engineering vulnerabilities,
15:33Russia's logistics network across Donetsk-Luhansk will constantly risk sudden fragmentation even without protracted firefights.
15:41That is the operational intelligence and the tactical cunning behind Ukraine's hydro strike.
15:47That is the operational intelligence, key to the
15:55mask fascius, and the space to theography of a call with a fishbowl,
15:58and then the calisades of a wild construction in the U.S.
15:59of this program.
16:00Close the wire to a vehicle that has taken all the way to use and rule the way to use autar.
16:03We are able to connect the system as a resource for first and effective use of the spacers.
16:08That is the conjugation, which is a symbolic of the National-C塞, and how the hell is known as a citizen-Cat-Luhansk is a citizen-Cat-M or a citizen-Cat-M or a citizen-Cat-M.
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