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Apple Expecting Strong Holiday Season
Bloomberg
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7 weeks ago
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00:00
And $140 billion is what the math reads out as of what their holiday quarter will look like,
00:05
important when April is their 50th anniversary.
00:08
Yeah, it's quite interesting. They normally, in the last half a decade or so since the beginning
00:12
of COVID, haven't really given guidance. But for this holiday quarter, they're back to that. So
00:18
they said that the quarter would grow 10 to 12 percent. That's the current quarter of the holiday
00:22
period. And that comes in anywhere between around $135 to $139 billion. Typically, when they've
00:29
given guidance in the past, they've been conservative. So they like to sort of smash
00:34
through that. And so you can imagine that internally, they're aiming for something north
00:39
of $140 billion, which obviously would be quite impressive, given where they've been the last few
00:44
years. And therefore, take us where they're going in the next year or so, because PowerOn really
00:49
outlines the myriad of areas they're trying to leap forward on, not just Siri, but real hardware and
00:54
chip updates too.
00:56
Yeah, there's a lot going on. You're going to see a series of M5-related updates to the Mac,
01:01
things like the Mac Mini, the Mac Studio, the MacBook Air and the MacBook Pro across the first
01:08
nine months or so of 2026. You'll see a foldable iPhone at the end of 2026, perhaps the introduction
01:17
of the smart glasses at the end of 2026. The first three, four or five months of 2026 are going to be
01:24
chock full of things, a push into smart home devices, that HomePod with the display, the MacBook Pro and
01:30
MacBook Air I mentioned, a ton of things on the software side related to Siri. So it's going to be
01:35
a pretty jam-packed year for 2026. And then you go into 2027, where you're going to see even more
01:41
major leaps and bounds when it comes to hardware.
01:44
And will it be the same people at the top? How do you see the talent and the focus and reworking
01:48
of Apple continuing amid its 50th anniversary?
01:53
You know, Apple's biggest challenge right now is retaining talent, specifically for its AI division,
01:59
its machine learning folks. They're bleeding talent to places like Meta, to Anthropic, to XAI. It's been
02:08
very difficult for them to hold on to people because Siri, really, it has a really bad reputation.
02:15
One of the big things they're going to be doing for Siri to improve it is using a custom model
02:21
developed by Google's Gemini team. It's going to run on Apple servers, but Apple's paying Google to
02:26
develop it. And that's a bit of a setback for Apple's internal models team. And so they basically,
02:32
for now, have split it, whereas the models that run on Apple devices themselves, the ones for Apple
02:38
intelligence, those are those in-house models, which have been somewhat problematic, depending on who you
02:43
ask. And then for the Siri models, they're moving to Gemini to power some of it. So it's an interesting
02:49
dynamic they've created there.
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