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00:00G'day,Red Bull has 5 drivers for 4 seats in 2026
00:04and with just 4 races to go this year
00:06a decision about which one dips out is not far away
00:12Here are the 5 drivers in line for a seat at Red Bull and VCarb next year
00:16Who gets what seats?
00:17Well that'll largely be determined by these two men
00:20Laurent Meckies and Helmut Marko
00:22They'll need to convince this man Oliver Mintzlaff
00:24who is the CEO of Red Bull in Austria
00:26Along with the two major Red Bull shareholders
00:28Chileum Yuvidea and Mark Mattershitz before the decision can be announced
00:32Straight up,Max is in obviously
00:34His average finishing position so far this year is 4.1
00:37Now he still has a slim chance of picking up his 5th World Drivers Championship
00:41I'll go into what it would take for him to win that later in this video
00:44But it's fair to say the team revolves around Max
00:47And since Laurent Meckies has come to the team
00:49There's been a marked turnaround
00:51Laurent is an engineer
00:52Max is a supreme driver and they work very well together
00:55So knowing that Max is secure
00:56Who is going to be the second driver?
00:58Of course you have to have a second driver
00:59Albeit if you are that second driver
01:01You're pretty much on a hiding to nothing
01:03Red Bull just destroys second drivers
01:06There's a list of them of course
01:07But there are four drivers in the running for that
01:09And the other two seats at VCar
01:11Let's start with Isaac Hadjar
01:12Laurent and Helmut both rate this young driver
01:15The team sees Isaac as Max's successor at some point
01:17When Max leaves
01:18After his round one disaster in Australia
01:21He's bounced back admirably
01:22His average finishing position this season is 11.6
01:25And at the moment he's loving driving at V-Cup
01:28He's even scored a podium
01:29But elevate him too early and you could ruin him
01:32Getting smashed by Max week after week takes its toll
01:35Mainly mentally
01:36As Checo said anyone in that car is doomed
01:39Even Lewis Hamilton
01:40Helmut Marko wants him in that seat
01:42Laurent Meckies
01:43He's hesitant
01:44Yes he wants the best two drivers in the team
01:46But he's mindful of what an early promotion might do to a young driver
01:50The team dropped Checo last year for Liam
01:52And then dropped him a couple of races into the 2025 season for Yuki
01:56And while Yuki's struggling
01:57There's no guarantee Isaac would do any better
02:00If the team puts him in that seat next year
02:02And he's destroyed by Max's dominance
02:05Which is a fairly high risk
02:06Then there's no one left to replace Max in 2027 or beyond
02:10If Max leaves
02:11A lot of the pundits are saying leave him in V-Cup for another year
02:14Let him find his feet and then transfer him to the senior team
02:18And at this point a reminder that my 2026 F1 calendar
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02:40But if you order now the book will be completed then
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02:44After this video head to the shop at KimEllman.com
02:47There's a link in the description below
02:50Let's talk about Arvid Lindblad
02:52Helmut wants him in V-Cup
02:54He's a big rap for the young British Swedish driver
02:57And if Helmut has his way he'll be in
02:58He performed well in Mexico in that FP1 test
03:01And at just 18 he'd be the youngest driver on the grid in 2026
03:05At the moment he competes for Campos Racing in F2
03:09But he's only seventh in the standings
03:10And there are two races to go
03:12He is 81 points shy of the top spot
03:14But he was the youngest ever driver to win an F2 race earlier this year
03:18And is part of the Red Bull junior team
03:20Red Bull like what they see in Arvid
03:22Then we have Yuki Tsunoda
03:24A veteran now
03:25His average finishing position this year 12.4
03:28And it's fair to say he struggled like everyone has in that second Red Bull seat
03:33But for Yuki he's got the might of Honda behind him
03:36And Honda has plenty of money
03:38And Red Bull needs Honda in 2026
03:40But aren't Red Bull making their own engines next year?
03:43Yes, along with Ford.
03:44And I'll get to that a little bit later in this video
03:46But there's an important consideration
03:47Red Bull needs Honda for their TPC program
03:50That's the testing of previous cars
03:52Because Red Bull doesn't own those engines
03:54Effectively they leased them
03:55And Red Bull needs Honda's people and expertise
03:59In order to run those cars
04:00And for that Red Bull needs to pay Honda millions per year
04:03Perhaps 10 plus million per year
04:05Honda's also the biggest Japanese car maker
04:08And they own and manage the Suzuka circuit
04:10Now from a marketing point of view
04:12The value of Yuki Tsunoda driving for Red Bull
04:16In Japan is astronomical
04:18So Honda is very keen to stump up a lot of money
04:20To make sure Yuki continues on with Red Bull
04:23Or as a second option V car
04:25And of course the other driver in the mix is Liam Lawson
04:28His average finishing position this year 12.9
04:32He has the least going for him
04:33He doesn't have the huge money of Honda behind him
04:36But he is dogged and certainly he's giving it all
04:39Now up until last week
04:40I thought Isaac Hedger had pretty much locked in that seat
04:43At Red Bull next year
04:44But now I'm hedging my bets
04:46If Helmut Marko doesn't have the power he thinks he has
04:49It may well be that Yuki stays in that seat
04:52Isaac remains at V carb
04:54And Arvid and Liam fight it out for that remaining seat
04:57Let's go back to Max
04:58Can he still win the championship?
05:00Yes he can
05:01If he won all of the remaining races
05:03And there are six of them four feature races and two sprints
05:06He would pick up an extra 116 points
05:09But that alone wouldn't be enough for him to guarantee winning the championship
05:13He'd need Lando's help
05:14Because if Lando finishes second in every one of those events
05:17Lando would still win the championship by six points
05:20And while almost all of the other drivers went back to Europe
05:23After the Mexico City race
05:24Max headed to Brazil the day after on his Dasso Falcon 8X
05:28Which he acquired earlier this year
05:30That's a flight of around nine hours
05:32Landed in Brasilia
05:33Which is the capital of Brazil on Monday
05:35And caught up with Kelly and the two girls
05:37Who'd arrived some days prior
05:39And remember last year in Brazil
05:40Max won this race
05:42And it was a surprise podium
05:43With Esteban Ocon and Pierre Gasly rounding out the top three
05:47And Brazil can certainly throw on some interesting weather
05:49And still on the subject of Red Bull
05:51What's Christian Horner up to I hear you cry
05:53Well he secured a monster payout of a hundred million dollars from Red Bull
05:56He settled the court case with his ex-PA
05:59Apparently shelling out three million pounds
06:01Or four million us to put an end to that matter
06:03And now he's just tending to his horses on his property
06:05And testing the waters with teams as a team principal
06:08Or even an investor
06:10Back when he was running Red Bull
06:11He had almost total control
06:13Now things have changed
06:14With Oliver Mintzlaff and the two major shareholders
06:17Needing to be consulted in big decisions
06:19Like the team's second driver
06:21So what would it take to keep Max at Red Bull beyond 2026
06:26Well a competitive car
06:28And a lot of that will hinge on Red Bull's new engine
06:30Of course they got rid of Honda
06:31And are now producing their own engines along with Ford
06:34And that deal came about after the Porsche Red Bull deal fell apart
06:37In the summer of 2022
06:39Ford was already looking to enter F1
06:41And because of those changes in regulations for 2026
06:44Red Bull needed Ford
06:46As much as Ford needed Red Bull
06:47Initially the deal was done based on support around the hybrid system
06:51But that's now grown to include aspects of both combustion
06:54And the electric power unit
06:55So will it be ready on time?
06:57Ford says yes
06:58It's been running for some time now
07:00And we're hitting all our internal metrics
07:02And if they get it right
07:03There'll be no need for Max to leave
07:05And if you're a Red Bull fan
07:06That will be music to your ears
07:08Of course we won't know how that engine stacks up
07:10Until possibly testing in Barcelona next year
07:13But that three-day event is closed to the media
07:17And they probably won't be going flat out
07:19Thereafter there are two three-day tests planned for Bahrain
07:22Once again I don't think they'll be pushing it to the limit there
07:25I think our first indicator will be on Saturday March 15th in Melbourne
07:29When all 22 cars take to the track for qualifying
07:33In closing if Helmut Marko has the power he thinks he has
07:36I think we'll see Isaac next to Max next year
07:38And Arvid Lindblad at VCar
07:40If he doesn't I'm betting that Arvid will replace Liam Lawson at VCar
07:45And the other two stay the same
07:46Now before I go two things
07:47You can find a whole host of Christmas gifts from the shop at KimEllman.com
07:51And for those of you not yet subscribed
07:53I'd welcome you to remedy that situation by clicking a simple button
07:57And for everybody else please like the video
08:00Thanks for watching and stay passionate
08:08F**k off
08:11No, that's not right.
08:17You know
08:37I think I have to, as you can see there's probably…
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