Week 9 of the NFL season is here, and it’s time to lock in your best bets. In this Couch Potato Diary game-by-game preview, we dive into spreads, totals, matchups and picks for every key game — from the Bears-Bengals to Chiefs-Bills and everything in between.
Longtime Football commentator Peter Klein breaks down:
✅ Spread & total picks for every major Week 9 matchup
🎯 Unders/overs analysis and spot plays to watch
💡 Early bets worth considering (moneyline, alternative lines)
📊 Why certain teams (Colts, Ravens, etc.) stand out as value
📣 Call to action: comment your pick of the week & smash Subscribe
👉 Hit Subscribe and turn on the 🔔 to stay ahead of the game with weekly previews, betting breakdowns and NFL analysis.
💬 Drop your lock of the week or boldest underdog pick in the comments — we’ll feature your take in the next livestream.
#NFL #Week9 #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #BestBets #CouchPotatoDiary
🎧 Listen on: Apple https://apple.co/49NGm2L | Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/3QgazeHcSKSteZbBIubcuM?si=icY7NEBvT7yZadv_JFlT6Q
💬 Follow for live breakdowns: X.com/primetimepk | Twitch.tv/primetimepk | Kick.com/primetimepk
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- Tip Jar: https://streamelements.com/couchpotatodiary/tip (fuels more content!)
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Longtime Football commentator Peter Klein breaks down:
✅ Spread & total picks for every major Week 9 matchup
🎯 Unders/overs analysis and spot plays to watch
💡 Early bets worth considering (moneyline, alternative lines)
📊 Why certain teams (Colts, Ravens, etc.) stand out as value
📣 Call to action: comment your pick of the week & smash Subscribe
👉 Hit Subscribe and turn on the 🔔 to stay ahead of the game with weekly previews, betting breakdowns and NFL analysis.
💬 Drop your lock of the week or boldest underdog pick in the comments — we’ll feature your take in the next livestream.
#NFL #Week9 #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #BestBets #CouchPotatoDiary
🎧 Listen on: Apple https://apple.co/49NGm2L | Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/3QgazeHcSKSteZbBIubcuM?si=icY7NEBvT7yZadv_JFlT6Q
💬 Follow for live breakdowns: X.com/primetimepk | Twitch.tv/primetimepk | Kick.com/primetimepk
🔗 Support the Show:
- Tip Jar: https://streamelements.com/couchpotatodiary/tip (fuels more content!)
- Partners: C of Dead http://cofdead403.ca/ | Swift Energy https://www.swiftenergy.gg/?ref=mriusnqm PROMO CODE: PKPrimetime for 25% Off!
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SportsTranscript
00:00Let's go game by game and give you the picks for this week in the NFL.
00:19Alright, it is another week in the NFL. Let's go game by game and give our predictions for each one of these.
00:26The order is going to be a little bit different from the fantasy. Also, I said this in the last segment, but if you're watching just the YouTube video of this after the fact, with a lot of these previews before, I've given my picks and the gambling thoughts along with the fantasy in one video.
00:38If you're looking for the fantasy football, that was in a different video, but if you are watching live, get your fantasy football questions in right now.
00:47Okay, let's start. Bears taking on the Bengals. The Bears on the road are favored by two and a half points. The total is at 51.
00:56Neither defense is very good. So I think even with the potential of Joe Flacco not being in the lineup, there could be an over in play here.
01:05Flacco's injury does kind of keep me away from going too far onto the over in terms of making that like an actual play this week.
01:13Um, trying to find some player props here that we like, uh, looking at a Caleb Williams one. Do we have, oh, we don't have those props in this particular site. Great. Fantastic.
01:25Okay. Well, nevermind that then. Um, man, like Flacco has really turned things around for the Bengals.
01:32Um, oh, this number while we're recording, the number now has bumped up to three. Um, so make sure I do some line shopping, see if you can find a better one out there.
01:40But, uh, right now what I'm seeing is, uh, Bears minus three. As we were recording this, that, that line takes a bit of a hop there.
01:47But if Flacco is playing, I kind of like the Bengals in this spot. Like I, there's, there are pieces on the Bears that I really like.
01:53And I do worry that the Bengals defense won't be able to stop Caleb Williams at all, where I think the Bears defense can get a stop or two.
02:00But Joe Flacco has really kind of reinvigorated this offense with the Bengals. And so I'm going to go, I'm going to take the risk and go Cincinnati plus three in this game.
02:11Atlanta taking on the New England Patriots. Pats at home, favored by five and a half with the total being at 45.
02:18I like New England in this spot quite a bit. Um, Atlanta, they have been wildly inconsistent.
02:23And I do still think, man, I know I just said I like New England, but just thinking about it,
02:27I think Atlanta's best beats New England's best still. Like Drake May has looked special, but,
02:33and Atlanta has looked not great at times. But when Atlanta looks good, I think the good looks
02:38better than what the Patriots can do. It is on the road, it's outdoors, it's going to be November,
02:43so it's probably going to be cold at Foxborough. But we've seen Atlanta bounce back from bad performances
02:48before. If Penix is healthy, I think they cover this. I like Atlanta plus the five in this spot.
02:54Chargers taking on the Tennessee Titans. Um, Chargers favored by nine and a half with the
03:00total being at 43 and a half. Um, there isn't a whole lot that needs to go into this. Uh, the
03:05Chargers, if there was going to be a new coach boost, it went away when they punted on fourth
03:10and three or fourth and four in plus territory. Um, that, that's just, yeah, there isn't a whole lot
03:15there. This is a very well-coached LA Chargers team. They have some holes. The Titans have an
03:20opportunity to exploit that with some pressure up the middle. Um, with Simmons being a beast on the
03:26defensive line, but the Chargers are still better. So nine and a half is a bit much though, just kind
03:32of talking it through. I will probably, the pick for this one is under. We'll go under 43 and a half
03:37for this game with the Chargers and the Titans. Uh, Minnesota taking on the Detroit Lions. Lions favored
03:43by nine with a total of 48 and a half. There has been a lot of talk about JJ McCarthy and, um,
03:51are the Vikings afraid to use him and everything like that. Personally, I think it makes sense to
03:56let who you thought maybe at one point could be face of the franchise quarterback, maybe let him
04:01marinate a little bit and make sure he's a hundred percent healthy when you have a Carson Wentz who can
04:04try to get something going for you, even though every part of him was breaking down in some sort of a
04:09way. Um, I, I think that they keep it close in this. Like I just, this is more, um, a respect of
04:17what I think Minnesota fully can be defensively. I think they're a very well coached unit on the
04:22defensive side. And so I think they can hang with Detroit here and keep it close. I would, if this
04:27was a survivor pool or pick them thing like that, I'm going with Detroit, but I think Minnesota keeps
04:32it close. I'm liking the, uh, liking the Vikings to keep this close at plus nine. Green Bay taking on
04:38Carolina, the Packers favored by 13 with a total of 44. Bryce Young expected to play. I am as excited
04:46about the Packers as everyone else is, but this feels a little high to me because we have seen
04:54like, yes, against Pittsburgh last week, that looked great. And that is the type of performance
04:59that can really rocket you forward quite a bit. Um, and Carolina isn't as good on the road as they
05:04are at home, but this green Bay team has played with their food a lot this season. And so to expect
05:11them to come away with a blowout victory when they haven't really done that a lot this year,
05:17I, I don't know. So maybe I'm overthinking this a little bit. I'm going Carolina on the road,
05:23road dog, baby going road dog at plus 13 and, uh, sorry, just the plus 13 Colts taking on at the
05:30Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis favored by three and a half points. The total is 50. Um,
05:36this is borderline disrespectful to the Indianapolis Colts. And I don't really understand it unless
05:44someone is hurt that I don't know about. Um, I think the Colts are a bad matchup for Pittsburgh.
05:49I think they have receivers that can kind of take the top off the defense and exploit where this
05:53secondary has been vulnerable this season. I think the offensive line has been good to,
05:58you're not going to take away some of the great pass rushers that the Pittsburgh Steelers have,
06:02but they can limit it a little bit. And Jonathan Taylor is better than any running back going in
06:06the NFL at this time. And this is a defense that has looked pretty solid, um, against the Steelers
06:11offense that has been good, but has been more lucky than good, I think this season. So I like the Colts
06:17big in this. I love this Colts minus three and a half. I might give a little thought to the under as
06:22well because of how good I think this, um, Colts defense can be and how little respect I have for
06:29what the Pittsburgh Steelers offense could do. San Francisco minus two and a half against the New
06:34York Giants with a total at 48 and a half. I don't really get this one at all. Like I understand
06:40a lot of injuries on the San Francisco side, and maybe it comes back to finally get them last week,
06:44but this is still, even with the injuries they have, this is still a significantly better football
06:50team than the New York Giants are rolling out there right now, especially with the injury to
06:55Cam Scadaboo. So I don't, I don't really get this one at all. I, I like San Francisco here to win this
07:02one, um, by more than a field goal. Absolutely. 100%. I do. And that total feels a little bit high
07:08for a game where Jackson Dart and Mac Jones could be the quarterbacks here, even though either defense,
07:12um, is all that successful, but I would give a look at the under as well. Denver taking on the
07:17Houston Texans, the Texans at home favored by two. The total sits at 40. Um, I love CJ Stroud. I love
07:25Nico Collins and this defense is really, really good. But even though they have found ways to kind
07:32of shore it up the last little bit, this offensive line, I don't think is going to be able to handle
07:35what the Broncos can bring as a pass rushing unit on defense. I love the Broncos in this spot. I think
07:42that defense is really going to dominate against the Texans. Um, I don't think Bo Nix has a
07:46particularly good day. We talked about this in fantasy, neither of these quarterbacks are ones
07:50that I'm trusting right now, but I think that there is a real opportunity for Denver to pick
07:55up a win on the road in this spot. Um, so yeah, I will, I'll take the points. I'll take Denver plus
08:00two. Absolutely. I'll even look at Denver plus one Oh five as a money line play and looking at the,
08:06the total under 40 feels like a pretty good spot to be right now also. But the official pick is
08:12Denver plus two, uh, Rams against the saints. Again, we don't need to break this one down a
08:16whole lot. The Rams are a very good team and the saints ain't. So, uh, Rams minus 14. Sure. We'll go
08:21with that. Jacksonville taking on the Vegas Raiders, the Jags favored by two and a half heading into the
08:28Vegas hole with the total being 44 and a half. Um, I get Jacksonville didn't look great the last time
08:35we saw them and it has been a little up and down, but the Raiders are not a good football team. Um,
08:40you can make a case that they are one of the three worst teams in the national football league at this
08:44particular time. So no, I'm not, I'm not buying this at all. I am surprised the number is as low
08:50as it is. I, I just, I don't see it with the Raiders. I don't know what they do offensively to
08:57deal with a pretty good pass rush that Jacksonville has. I don't know what the Raiders can do defensively
09:02to stop Brian Thomas Jr. Um, or Trevor Lawrence or anything that Jacksonville has going on the
09:08offensive side. So no, I will take Jacksonville minus the two and a half all day in that one.
09:13The game of the day is Buffalo against Kansas city. The chiefs are favored by a point and a half
09:19heading into Buffalo with the total being at 52 and a half. I know these two teams go a little bit
09:25insane when they play each other. I, I have too much respect for either defense to not take the
09:32under on a number that comes in at over 50. I just, I can't not do that. So I love under 52 and a half
09:41in this spot. Um, Kansas city getting rice back, I think is a difference maker and like cook, I think
09:49can be a bit of a game breaker in the run game that other teams haven't been able to have against
09:53Kansas city when they get going, um, running wise. But I, I, I just think rice is a bit of a
10:01difference maker in this spot. Um, I think Kansas city kind of needs this one a little bit more
10:05given where they're at regular season wise. Not that that matters like that. Oh, well this team
10:09wants it more practice that then. But yeah, I'm going to go Kansas city minus the point and a half
10:14in this spot. It's going to be a heck of a football game though. I cannot wait. And, uh, Seattle taking on
10:20Washington Seahawks favored by three with a total at 47 and a half. Jayden Daniels coming back
10:25certainly makes this interesting. I, I think Washington's defense continues to get exposed a
10:30little bit here. I like Seattle in this spot. I think the defense is really, really good and just
10:35too many injuries. Daniels coming back from an injury is great, but is his timing going to be
10:39there? Is his consistency going to be there with the great defense that Seattle has? I just don't think
10:44so. So I like Seattle in this spot minus the three. And then we go to Monday night. Again,
10:50these are your primetime breakdowns. So follow me on social media. I am at primetime climb. Uh,
10:56let's see. Why did my NFL number go away? There we are. Um, Arizona taking on at the Dallas Cowboys,
11:00the Cowboys favored by two and a half with the total at 53. Um, look, Dallas's offense can be
11:08elite. Dallas's defense is bad. Arizona. I have said a hundred times that I need to give up on these
11:14guys, but it's going to need to be 101 more. Um, I, I like Arizona here. I, I, I will go to my not
11:23grave. I don't think I will think about the 2025 Dallas Cowboys that long, but I am going to die
11:28on the hill that Dallas isn't that good of a football team. And I, I, I think Arizona can be a
11:33little bit better than them in this game. So I like, I'll, I'll take the points, Arizona plus two and a
11:37half. I think this game, it's a huge number at 53. I think it goes over. I like over 53 for Arizona
11:44in this spot here against the Dallas Cowboys. So give me that one here for, um, what should be a
11:50wild close to the week? Uh, let me know in the chat, um, any, what are your kind of locks of the
11:57week for this one and any more questions you have on any of these games? Let me know in the chat or in
12:02the comments below. I can't imagine I just nailed it 100% all the way through on things that you would
12:07agree with me on for this NFL slate.
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