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Transcript
00:00First race, let's keep the GST conversation going and let's talk to two of the biggest category benefits that are coming in.
00:06First up, let's talk about the GST cut from 12% to 5% on ready-made numkeens, pre-packaged bhuja, snacks.
00:14On the back of that, we have the management of BKG Limited joining us on the show.
00:18And also remember, the second biggest beneficiary in terms of the rate cuts that we're seeing also extends to the milk sector,
00:25wherein you have dairy products, ultra-high temperature milk, all of them have seen significant rate cuts coming in,
00:32for which we also have the management of Amul joining us.
00:35So let's first get into conversation with Rishabh Jain, CFO at BKG Food International.
00:39And Rishabh, hi, morning. Thanks for joining us.
00:43Help us understand this GST rate cut that we've seen from 12% to 5% on your categories like pre-packaged numkeen, bhuja, mixtures.
00:55Would it be via price cuts? Would it be via increase in grammage?
00:59Or perhaps a mix of both, depending on which category we're addressing in your portfolio?
01:04Yeah, so thank you very much.
01:06And the simplification in the structure overall, we're also helping doing ease of business in India across.
01:14And as a business, as a brand, we are committed to pass on completely.
01:18Like in Family Pack, we serve a two-pack, Family and Impulse Pack.
01:21So all the bigger packs will have reduced MRP from today.
01:25So we'll be passing on completely to the consumers.
01:29And in a 5-rupee, 10-rupee pack, we are giving more grammics to the consumers.
01:33That's what our strategy is.
01:37All right. So that's about BKG strategy.
01:40But along with that, Mr. Mehta, let me come to you.
01:42Because over the weekend, we did hear your announcement that how Amul is definitely,
01:47has already announced the price cut across so many categories.
01:51But if you can help us understand that what will it really mean for the growth going ahead?
01:57Which categories do you believe can really be the biggest beneficiaries of this GST rate that has been announced
02:06and which have definitely led to the price cuts as well?
02:09Thank you so much. Happy Navaratri to you.
02:13And the first Diwali has kicked in today.
02:16The GST cut will bring in really big benefit to all the consumers.
02:20And as you mentioned, the demand will lead to a better future for the milk producers of our country.
02:27The GST cuts have been fantastic, particularly in product categories like ice cream,
02:31which was always treated as a luxury product, so from 18% to 5%.
02:35And products like ghee, which is the second largest consumed dairy product in the country,
02:41brought down from 12% to 5%.
02:43It was a longstanding demand of the industry, which the government listened to it and actually implemented it.
02:49And along with that, the butter and the cheese category is also coming down from 12% to 5%.
02:54The per capita consumption of ice cream, butter, cheese in the country is still very low.
02:58And once the prices become affordable, the demand will grow up multifold.
03:03And this is what is the benefit we look at as marketeers, we look at as consumers,
03:08and we also look at as a producer-owned corporate team.
03:12Okay. So, Mr. Mehta, that's the take coming in on the GST cut.
03:16But also help us understand on the back of this GST cut,
03:19do you expect to see any acceleration in the shift from unbranded dairy to now branded dairy?
03:25Is that something that you are expecting to see?
03:30Yes, exactly. This is going to be one of the biggest catalysts for this particular change,
03:36as consumers want to shift from loose to package and branded,
03:39but it was the tax factor which was coming in as a deterrent.
03:42Paneel, again, a very large category, now brought into GRO's GST.
03:46So, we'll see a massive, massive shift, and that's how consumers will benefit
03:50by consuming branded products which are safer, better quality,
03:55and, of course, you are not at the risk of adulteration.
03:58Same applies to ghee also. Same applies to most of the dairy product categories also.
04:03So, milk now, both in package from beet carton or pouch, is now zero GST,
04:09and the same applies to low GST for butter, for cheese, for ghee, the ice creams,
04:15and, of course, the chocolates and other categories also benefit out of it.
04:18So, yes, we would see a major, major shift,
04:21and that's how the industry will develop, organized sector will develop,
04:26and it will benefit both the producers as well as the consumers.
04:29All right. But, Rishabh, let me come to you,
04:31because we understand that some of your raw materials are also getting taxed low,
04:36and specifically with respect to the refined sugar,
04:40which is now taxed at almost 5%.
04:42How will this affect the margin structure for you,
04:45if you can help us understand that?
04:48So, for us, it's tax neutral because all 12% categories are coming at 5%.
04:52Numkins, and from input perspective, sugar and dry food are very small.
04:57So, overall, from margin less, we don't see any major improvement due to GST cut,
05:02but, yeah, overall, we see good volume growth coming in after GST cut
05:05because, as rightly said, we see organized sector going more stronger in future,
05:11and that will help all the organized industry, and that will help Bikaji also.
05:15That's positive coming in for Bikaji,
05:17but let's talk about your raw material pricing, Rishabh.
05:20Now that the cuts on Numkins, of course, they affect your direct product offering,
05:25but what about the process of the products that you are making?
05:29So, you have dried fruits that have seen a cut coming in,
05:33you have cuts coming in on milk, ghee, butter, some major raw materials for you.
05:38On the back of that, how much are you expecting to see an overall cut
05:42in your cost of production as well?
05:46We are cutting costs of production.
05:48Largely, we are looking at complete output and input ratio of tax structure,
05:53trend will pass on completely. That's what we will be doing.
05:57All right, but Mr. Mehta, the other thing that I wanted to understand
06:01is in terms of the shift that people are making in terms of their eating
06:06and consuming habits, and specifically with respect to Amul,
06:10I see that you guys are focusing a lot more on getting a protein-rich diet.
06:15So many new offerings are being done, and overall,
06:19we are seeing that premiumization trend also growing.
06:23If you can help us understand what's your expectation with respect to
06:27the demand for such newer products, how do you see this transition happen
06:33with lower prices? Do you believe that more people will shift from,
06:37say, a normal milk to an A2 milk, from a normal paneer to a paneer
06:44which offers you more protein? How do you see this change in a transition
06:49happen? And along with that, can we say that these products are
06:53better margin products versus the ordinary ones?
06:59Consumers moving from loose to package itself is a very big shift.
07:03Milk by itself is a superfood. And of course, when you say superfood,
07:06you have good quality fat inside the milk, also the protein, also vitamins,
07:11calcium, and the sum of the parts game is actually much, much larger.
07:15Indian GDP has been growing very fast, and so is the availability of the money
07:20for our consumers to buy. And once you increase the consumption of these
07:24value-added products, obviously the focus on nutrition also goes up
07:27multifold. And that's why you just mentioned that we have shifted a lot
07:31towards bringing in high-protein products in our portfolio.
07:34Now, for us, the whey of the cheese is a by-product, and we found out a way to
07:40extract the best quality whey protein and launch this high-quality
07:43whey protein-based products in the market, be it high-protein paneer
07:48or whey protein concentrates or high-protein lassi, buttermilk, shakes, and so on.
07:54Now, this means better value addition for the milk, better quality for the customers,
07:59lower price for good quality protein for the customers, and more importantly,
08:02the trust of the Amul brand is also there. So we do expect a very, very significant shift
08:07towards the high-protein-based products, and also the consumption of milk-based
08:13dairy products under the Amul brand name, under the variety of products that we already
08:16have in the market, also grow multifold. So this is actually a win-win situation
08:21that you are adding value to the liter of milk which our producer gives.
08:26End of the day, pass on the highest price of the consumer's rupee to the producer,
08:30thanks to the lower taxation, and more importantly, consumers benefit by a trusted brand
08:36which brings in the best quality products at the most affordable prices.
08:40So value addition, while, is a very important step in this journey, but more importantly
08:45is the story of bringing the goodness of the superfood called milk to the largest number
08:50of consumers in our country, and the various initiatives that we do are in that direction.
08:55Okay, Mr. Mehta, sounding very optimistic over there. Rishabh, let me come to you for
09:00a last question. Just give us a sense of where you are seeing the festive period headed
09:04this time around. What expectations do you have this year? Because you have the festive
09:08boost coming in, Navaratri has just begun, Diwali around the corner, and you also have
09:13the GST cuts now that are going to be giving this a further fillip. Any year-on-year expectation
09:18compared to last year?
09:19So we are hopeful that this Diwali will be very good for brand, as well as for country
09:24first. And we are targeting good numbers from last compared to last year.
09:30If you can talk number with us, Rishabh, in terms of numbers, what sort of a volume growth
09:35are you anticipating, if at all?
09:37So, lastly, from this BHT benefit, we see that in next two quarters, we will at least
09:44have, so this year will be up to our first half and second half. And we see at least
09:48two to three percent more volume growth compared to first half and second half. That's what
09:51we are targeting.
09:52Okay. So, Rishabh and Mr. Mehta, thank you so much for taking the time out and joining
09:59us. Wishing both of you a very good festive season and hopeful to interact with you after
10:03the festive season as well to get a sense on what that period has been for you. Thanks
10:07once again for joining us.
10:09Okay. On that note, we'll skip into a very short break on this edition of First Rates.
10:13Lots of more interesting conversations lined up on the other side. So you stay tuned.
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