সোনার দাম রেকর্ড উচ্চতায়, তবে ২০২৫-এর শেষে ধাক্কার আশঙ্কা

Transcript

00:00Gold prices are on a wild ride this year, shooting up, but might they cool down soon?

00:06Let's find out what's driving gold's rally and why analysts think it might slow later

00:12this year.

00:18Right now, gold prices are rallying.

00:21Just this week, spot gold climbed over $3,338 an ounce and gold futures for august went up

00:29too.

00:30One big reason, uncertainty in global trade, especially with the upcoming July 9 tariff

00:36deadline set by the US President Donald Trump.

00:41Another big factor is the weak US dollar.

00:44The dollar had its worst start of this year since 1973.

00:48Our weaker dollar usually make gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies, which

00:55boosts demand.

01:02Analysts at HSBC, one of the world's top banks, now expect gold prices to average $3,215

01:10per ounce this year.

01:12Earlier, they had predicted only $3,015 per ounce.

01:18For the next few years, they also raised their forecast.

01:22Even though HSBC raised their price target, they also warned that most of the rally has

01:28likely already happened.

01:31This is because high gold prices mean miners produce more supply.

01:35But when gold gets expensive, people buy less jewellery, coins, and other physical gold.

01:42This drop in physical demand could stop prices from rising much further.

01:51Despite the risk of a slowdown, HSBC analysts say, some things might still keep gold prices

01:58historically high.

02:00This includes the big changes in world politics, or what they call the seismic shift in the geopolitical

02:07landscape.

02:08Secondly, financial market problems push investors to safer assets like gold.

02:14Third, growing economic nationalism like new tariffs can create uncertainty and support gold prices.

02:28In simple words, in the near term, gold prices could go higher.

02:33But by the end of 2025, prices might face pressure from more supply and lower demand.

02:39Overall, though, gold is still expected to stay expensive compared to history.

02:47Gold has always been seen as a safe haven investment, and 2025 might be no different, though experts

02:55warn the rally may not last forever.

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03:06explanation on global markets and gold price trends.

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