00:00The Atlantic is fairly quiet right now for a few different reasons.
00:04We've had some Saharan dust across the region.
00:07We've got a lot of wind shear.
00:08The deep purple on this map indicates wind shear.
00:11And when we're on the far right side of this index here, this key,
00:15that's when we have a lot of wind shear.
00:17And that's going to really prohibit anything from getting organized here
00:20in the Gulf for the Caribbean within the next week or so.
00:23So quiet weather continues for the Atlantic Basin, which is good news.
00:26Here's a map showing through this week.
00:28The Saharan dust, and, in fact, a future animation here,
00:31will continue to carry plumes of this through parts of the Caribbean over Cuba
00:35and into the Gulf at times as well.
00:37Just one more argument against any development in the Atlantic.
00:40Now, with that said, you know, the West Pacific has been relatively quiet.
00:43We do have a storm out there now.
00:44But Typhoon territory had a very slow start.
00:47The Indian Ocean very slow.
00:48But the East Pacific has been rampant over the past three weeks.
00:53And this has really been just gangbusters here.
00:56We're already on the East Storm in the East Pacific.
00:58We're dealing with Tropical Storm Eric strengthening.
01:01And this storm is going to continue to move northwest at 7 miles per hour.
01:04Unlike its predecessor, Delilah, which hooked it offshore and just brushed Mexico with rain,
01:10we expect Eric to make landfall.
01:12And it may occur as a Category 3 major hurricane Thursday morning.
01:17So big concerns out there for the south coast, the Pacific side of Mexico, east of Acapulco.
01:23We're going to be dealing with some areas here.
01:25If you count the colors, 1, 2, 3, 4, the fifth shade of purple,
01:29that puts us up into the area where there's potential for gusts of 120-plus miles per hour.
01:33And along with that, 8 to 16 inches of rain in southern parts of the Mexican nation here,
01:42especially near where the mountains go right up against the coast.
01:44Some areas can see a 6 to 10-foot storm surge.
01:46So overall, the storm has an AccuWeather real impact scale rating of 3 in Mexico.
01:51We'll see you next time.
Comments