00:00Kasaan pa rin natin si Dr. Marmangahas, Chair Emeritus ng Social Weather Stations o SWS at Prof. Ranjid Rai.
00:08Ayan, Dr. Mgaahas, sabi nyo, meron din kasi kayong mga local surveys, di ba Dr. Mgaahas?
00:15Commissioned local surveys. So, eto yung mga nakita nyo, mas tugma? Mas tugma po ba siya?
00:23Not all, but it's not all work.
00:27Yung iba kasi still too close to call.
00:28You know, we have released many local surveys already because the sponsors did it and we confirmed it.
00:37So, in particular, look at Albay because we have confirmed the survey commission in Albay.
00:45So, have a look at that and let's see what happens.
00:48Pero yung mga ganun, 20% na lang po, tapos ang lamang mga 8,000, pwede pa hong magbago yung resulta, no?
00:57Well, I wouldn't say, no, ha, siyempre.
01:03Pero pag 20%, ilang voto na lang ba?
01:05Depende siguro sa...
01:06Total number of voting population.
01:09Pero definitely 20% is still in the slowly...
01:11Pwede pa rin?
01:12Pwede, mathematically, masyadong tiket.
01:14Pero of course, ang reading naman talaga it was a competitive race from the start.
01:18Si Rosal was a mayor, a popular mayor, in that particular province.
01:26Okay.
01:27And so, you know, everybody thought that this would be a close fight.
01:31But not this close.
01:33It's kind of a...
01:34Including the Cebu.
01:35You know, the governorship, no?
01:38We didn't expect that big a gap between Governor Garcia and the challenger.
01:45Okay.
01:46So, the politics at the local and national level is changing.
01:51Nagbabago.
01:52So, mga votante natin nagsasabi...
01:54Gusto ng pagbabago.
01:54Gusto ng pagbabago.
01:55And this is...
01:57There are many ways to interpret this.
01:58One way is, of course, the opposition won here.
02:00There is a protest vote, no?
02:04To some extent.
02:05People want change.
02:06Siguro kung ayon nila ipasay yung political dynasty sa Congress,
02:10tao na ang nagbabago.
02:12Yeah, but yun nga lang.
02:14More of the same, eh.
02:16Dynasty still won in this election.
02:19Political family still won.
02:21Yung ating politika, hindi pa rin disiplinado ng program, platform, ideas.
02:26Hindi siya...
02:27Hindi ganun, eh.
02:28Yung ating politika.
02:29Sir, sir.
02:29Sige po.
02:30I can read to you because this we have released already.
02:34Okay.
02:35This is Albay.
02:37Governor of Albay.
02:39As of May.
02:40So, the first week of May.
02:42You know?
02:43We had Salceda, 49%.
02:45And...
02:47Rosal, 34.
02:50Wow.
02:51Ah, okay.
02:5115 points.
02:52Oo.
02:52Okay.
02:54And...
02:55Ah, and then maraming undecided.
02:59May mga 18 pa siya undecided.
03:00Ah, so baka doon din galing sa undecided.
03:02Okay.
03:02So, but the trend there...
03:04The trend there has always been...
03:08This is the third round already, eh.
03:09May March, may April, may May.
03:11Always Joey Salceda.
03:13Dr. Mangasta, magit niyo kanina, also Professor Rina, sometimes kailangan talagang maraming rounds of surveys para closer to election day and closer to the actual tally.
03:24Ah, ideally ba, ilang rounds po ba dapat yan?
03:28I mean, how many rounds do you do compared to the one that you'd like to do?
03:32These are all commissioned.
03:33Yeah.
03:34So, in fact, we would not even...
03:35We would not even report this.
03:37If it were not commissioned.
03:38If it were not commissioned, yeah.
03:39If the commissioner did not release it already.
03:43Right?
03:45But I would like to say, we're an NGO, no?
03:47After three years, we can release anything.
03:50But that's, of course, by that time, it's already for historians.
03:53Tama nga na itanong natin yung, kailang kayo nag-de-desisyon?
03:57Kasi sinabi, ang laki ng porsyento pa ng undecided, so kailan sila nag...
04:01Sa Okta...
04:01We've done that.
04:02We've done that.
04:03Sa Okta, we're going to release this.
04:06But we have data to show that 20% of our voting population will only decide on the day of election.
04:13Ismo election.
04:14Okay.
04:14And then another 20%, close to 20%, but 18%, will decide the week before the election.
04:20So 20%.
04:21Masyadong malarap.
04:22It's the voting population, so that's what we're seeing.
04:24Ay, babalikan pa po natin si Dr. Mangaso at Professor Rai.
04:27Tuloy ating pagbabantaya sa bilangan.
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