- 9 months ago
Canada Election 2025: Liberals Secure Fourth Term but Fall Short of Majority Again | Seat Tally and Voter Turnout Overview
The Liberal Party, now under the leadership of Mark Carney, has won a fourth consecutive term in office following the 2025 federal election. Despite the victory, the party is set to lead another minority government.
According to Elections Canada, 19,155,470 of the 28 million registered voters cast their ballots on April 28, 2025, resulting in a turnout rate of 67.15%. This marks a modest rise from the 62.89% turnout recorded in the 2021 election.
Final results show the Liberals winning 169 seats—three short of the 172 needed for a majority. In the previous election, the party secured 160 seats and maintained power with support from the New Democratic Party, led by Jagmeet Singh, through a supply-and-confidence agreement.
While the Conservatives did not win, they made significant gains. Led by Pierre Poilievre, the party captured 144 seats—up from the 119 they secured in 2021.
Liberals Win Narrowly Amid Shifting Support
This election marks the Liberal Party’s fourth term in office, having first claimed a majority in 2015 under Justin Trudeau with 184 seats. However, voter fatigue appeared in subsequent elections, resulting in back-to-back minority governments in 2019 and 2021.
Initially projected to face major losses in 2025—with early-year polls showing the Conservatives ahead by 25 percentage points—the Liberals, now led by Carney, defied expectations to stay in power.
A Look Back at Previous Results
Before Trudeau’s 2015 victory, the Conservatives held power, forming a majority government in the 2011 federal election with 166 of 308 seats.
The Liberal Party, now under the leadership of Mark Carney, has won a fourth consecutive term in office following the 2025 federal election. Despite the victory, the party is set to lead another minority government.
According to Elections Canada, 19,155,470 of the 28 million registered voters cast their ballots on April 28, 2025, resulting in a turnout rate of 67.15%. This marks a modest rise from the 62.89% turnout recorded in the 2021 election.
Final results show the Liberals winning 169 seats—three short of the 172 needed for a majority. In the previous election, the party secured 160 seats and maintained power with support from the New Democratic Party, led by Jagmeet Singh, through a supply-and-confidence agreement.
While the Conservatives did not win, they made significant gains. Led by Pierre Poilievre, the party captured 144 seats—up from the 119 they secured in 2021.
Liberals Win Narrowly Amid Shifting Support
This election marks the Liberal Party’s fourth term in office, having first claimed a majority in 2015 under Justin Trudeau with 184 seats. However, voter fatigue appeared in subsequent elections, resulting in back-to-back minority governments in 2019 and 2021.
Initially projected to face major losses in 2025—with early-year polls showing the Conservatives ahead by 25 percentage points—the Liberals, now led by Carney, defied expectations to stay in power.
A Look Back at Previous Results
Before Trudeau’s 2015 victory, the Conservatives held power, forming a majority government in the 2011 federal election with 166 of 308 seats.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Canada Election 2025. Liberals secure fourth term but fall short of majority against seat tally and voter turnout overview.
00:09The Liberal Party, now under the leadership of Mark Carney, has won a fourth consecutive term in office following the 2025 federal election.
00:18Despite the victory, the party is set to lead another minority government.
00:22According to Elections Canada, 19,155,470 of the 28 million registered voters cast their ballots on April 28, 2025, resulting in a turnout rate of 67.15%.
00:39This marks a modest rise from the 62.89% turnout recorded in the 2021 election.
00:46Final results show the Liberals winning 169 seats, three short of the 172 needed for a majority.
00:55In the previous election, the party secured 160 seats and maintained power with support from the new Democratic Party, led by Jagmeet Singh, through a Supply and Confidence Agreement.
01:07While the Conservatives did not win, they made significant gains.
01:11Led by Pierre Poilibre, the party captured 144 seats, up from the 119 they secured in 2021.
01:21Liberals win narrowly amid shifting support.
01:24This election marks the Liberal Party's fourth term in office, having first claimed a majority in 2015 under Justin Trudeau with 184 seats.
01:34However, voter fatigue appeared in subsequent elections, resulting in back-to-back minority governments in 2019 and 2021.
01:44Initially projected to face major losses in 2025, with early-year polls showing the Conservatives ahead by 25 percentage points, the Liberals, now led by Carney, defied expectations to stay in power.
01:58A look back at previous results.
02:00Before Trudeau's 2015 victory, the Conservatives held power, forming a majority government in the 2011 federal election, with 166 of 308 seats.
02:14The political trajectory of Canada's Prime Minister, from Trudeau's decline to Carney's rise.
02:21In the 2019 federal election, Canada entered new political territory, as no party managed to win a majority.
02:28Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberals secured a minority government with 157 seats, while the Conservatives followed with 121.
02:38The new Democratic Party, NDP, continued to lose voter support, marking a steep decline.
02:45In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, Trudeau called an early election in 2021, hoping to capitalize on the government's pandemic response and secure a majority mandate.
02:56However, the Liberals once again fell short, winning 160 seats.
03:02This result led to a cooperative agreement with the NDP, led by Jagmeet Singh, allowing the Liberals to maintain power.
03:09By September 2024, public dissatisfaction with Trudeau's leadership grew, and the NDP withdrew from their Supply and Confidence Agreement, weakening the Liberal hold on Parliament.
03:20Following the 2025 federal election, Mark Carney has emerged as the new leader of the Liberals and is set to remain Prime Minister.
03:30Should he choose to reorganize his cabinet, new ministers will be formally appointed by the Governor-General during a swearing-in ceremony at Rideau Hall.
03:39Liberal Comeback as Conservatives Face Setbacks
03:42In a dramatic political shift, the Liberal Party, under Mark Carney, claimed victory in the April 28, 2025 election, reversing earlier predictions of defeat.
03:54The win was seen as a political comeback, spurred in part by growing tensions with the United States, including threats of annexation and an intensifying trade dispute initiated by you.
04:05S. President Donald Trump
04:07Speaking to supporters in Ottawa, Carney emphasized national unity and condemned what he called the end of the historic post, World War II partnership between Canada and the U.S.
04:19We have moved beyond the initial shock of America's betrayal, he stated, but we must carry its lessons forward.
04:27As the final votes were counted, the Liberals secured more seats than the Conservatives in the 343-seat Parliament.
04:34However, it remained uncertain whether they would govern alone or require support from smaller parties to pass legislation.
04:43Election fallout
04:44Poilivra and Singh lose seats, Carney vows to defend Canada's sovereignty amid global reactions.
04:51The Canadian Broadcasting Corporation projected on Tuesday that Conservative leader Pierre Poilivra, known for his populist rhetoric, lost his seat in Parliament.
05:01A long-time political figure, Poilivra campaigned with a nationalist platform echoing former you.
05:07S. President Donald Trump, adopting the slogan Canada first.
05:12However, his alignment with Trump-style politics may have contributed to his electoral defeat.
05:18Meanwhile, Jagmeet Singh, head of the New Democratic Party, NDP, also lost his seat in Burnaby Central and subsequently announced his resignation as party leader.
05:28Singh's departure marks the end of an era for the NDP, which has faced dwindling influence in recent years.
05:36Global leaders react as Carney celebrates victory.
05:40Following the Liberal Party's win, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi extended his congratulations to Mark Carney and the Liberal Party,
05:48emphasizing the strong democratic values and close people-to-people ties between India and Canada.
05:55Modi expressed optimism about enhancing bilateral relations and exploring new opportunities for cooperation.
06:02China also responded to Carney's election, signaling a willingness to strengthen diplomatic ties.
06:08A spokesperson from China's foreign ministry stated that the country is open to fostering Canada,
06:14China relations based on equality, mutual respect, and shared interests.
06:20Carney warns of you.
06:21S. Threats in Victory Address
06:23In his post-election address in Ottawa, Prime Minister Mark Carney underscored the need for national unity
06:30in the face of escalating tensions with the United States.
06:33He declared that the long-standing cooperative framework between Canada and the U.S.,
06:39established after World War II, was effectively over.
06:44We've moved past the initial shock of the betrayal, Carney said,
06:47referencing recent hostile moves by the U.S. government, but we must remain vigilant.
06:53He warned Canadians of existential threats, stating,
06:56The United States wants our land, our resources, our sovereignty.
07:00These are not hollow threats.
07:02President Trump aims to destabilize us to gain control, but we will not yield.
07:08UK
07:09Prime Minister Starmer congratulates Carney,
07:12emphasizes commitment to Stronger UK, Canada partnership.
07:16British Prime Minister Keir Starmer extended his congratulations to Mark Carney
07:21following his victory in Canada's federal election.
07:24In an official message, Starmer highlighted the enduring relationship
07:28between the United Kingdom and Canada,
07:30built on deep historical ties and shared democratic values.
07:35Congratulations to Mark Carney on your electoral success, Starmer said.
07:40The UK and Canada enjoy a unique bond as close allies and friends,
07:44and I look forward to deepening our partnership in the years ahead.
07:48Carney issues stern warning about you.
07:51S.
07:51Relations calls for national resilience.
07:55Newly re-elected Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney
07:58delivered a powerful speech following his win,
08:01warning Canadians about the implications of strained relations
08:04with the United States under President Donald Trump.
08:09Carney declared that the nation had moved past the initial shock
08:12of what he described as an American betrayal,
08:15but urged citizens to remember the lessons it revealed.
08:17We will prevail in this trade conflict, Carney told an enthusiastic crowd in Ottawa,
08:23while acknowledging that difficult times lie ahead due to you.
08:27S.
08:28Tariffs and aggressive rhetoric.
08:30Challenging days are coming, but we will face them together,
08:33supporting our workers, our businesses, and our communities.
08:36A vision of unity and resolve.
08:40Outlining his vision for Canada's future, Carney stressed that Canadians possess the strength
08:45and resolve to overcome any challenge.
08:48We have more to give ourselves than the Americans could ever take away, he said,
08:52urging citizens to remain united.
08:56Carney emphasized the values he plans to uphold as Prime Minister,
09:00humility, determination, and national unity,
09:03and pledged to work every day to serve Canadians and safeguard the country's sovereignty.
09:07He reaffirmed that it is through collective resilience
09:10that Canada will overcome the pressures of the ongoing trade dispute with the United States.
09:17Carney warns of you.
09:18S.
09:19Intentions, while Poi Libra and Singh concede defeat.
09:23Prime Minister Mark Carney issued a stark warning about growing threats from the United States,
09:28accusing President Donald Trump of attempting to destabilize Canada
09:31in pursuit of its natural assets.
09:34America wants our land, our water, our resources,
09:38Carney said during his post-election address.
09:40Trump's goal is to weaken Canada to gain control,
09:43but that will never be allowed to happen.
09:46Poi Libra acknowledges loss as Conservatives prepare for opposition role.
09:52Conservative leader Pierre Poi Libra has conceded defeat
09:55as projections show the Liberals, led by Carney,
09:58on course to form the next government.
10:00The Conservatives are expected to win close to 150 seats,
10:04securing their place as the official opposition.
10:07Poi Libra, trailing by over 2,000 votes in his Carlton riding,
10:12admitted to the party's overall loss,
10:14but emphasized that the Liberals and NDP lack enough seats combined to form a majority coalition.
10:20Canada has chosen a narrow minority government, he stated.
10:25Jagmeet Singh steps down after electoral defeat.
10:28New Democratic Party leader Jagmeet Singh congratulated Carney on his victory
10:32and confirmed his own loss in Burnaby Central.
10:36Singh also announced his resignation as NDP leader,
10:39signaling a leadership change for the party after its continued electoral struggles.
10:44What the Liberal win could mean for Canada's government
10:48With the Liberals falling short of a majority,
10:52two main paths lie ahead.
10:54Majority government,
10:56unlikely in this case had the Liberals secured a clear majority,
10:59Carney would continue without requiring support from other parties.
11:03He would be expected to appoint a cabinet,
11:05draft a budget,
11:06and outline his legislative agenda before parliament resumes on May 26.
11:10Minority government,
11:13most probable in this scenario,
11:15Carney remains prime minister,
11:17but must seek support from opposition parties to pass legislation.
11:21The government's stability would hinge on the confidence of the House,
11:24tested during the speech from the throne,
11:26an address outlining the government's priorities
11:29and read by the Governor-General.
11:32The Governor-General,
11:33who serves as the King's official representative in Canada,
11:36would play a key role in overseeing the formation of a new government.
11:40While the Liberals could continue governing after the election,
11:43opposition parties would have the chance to challenge their hold on power
11:47when the federal budget is introduced.
11:50If the Liberals fall just a few seats shy of the 172 required for a majority,
11:56they might proceed as if they had won,
11:58betting that no opposition party
11:59would be willing to trigger another election so soon.
12:02However,
12:03a more significant shortfall,
12:05around 20 seats or more,
12:07would compel them to seek external support.
12:09Their most likely ally is the New Democratic Party,
12:13NDP,
12:14a progressive party that previously supported
12:17Justin Trudeau's minority government
12:18through a supply and confidence arrangement
12:21in exchange for social policy commitments.
12:24This kind of partnership has historical precedent.
12:27After the 1972 election,
12:29the NDP also held the balance of power
12:31when Pierre Trudeau,
12:32Justin's father,
12:33lost his majority.
12:34Coalition governments are rare in Canadian politics
12:38and have only occurred during times of war.
12:41If NDP support is not forthcoming,
12:44Carney could turn to the Bloc Cable Block,
12:46a party that advocates for Quebec's independence.
12:49However,
12:50any cooperation with the Bloc would likely be informal
12:52and based on individual jobs,
12:55as entering into a formal agreement
12:56with the separatist party
12:58would be highly controversial
13:00across much of Canada.
13:01...at never being able to afford a home,
13:03for the seniors on fixed incomes
13:04whose savings are eroded by inflation
13:08and no longer feel safe
13:09in their local neighbourhood parks,
13:11for those who are now living in fear and terror
13:15because of crime,
13:16for those worried about losing their jobs
13:18because of unacceptable tariffs
13:20from the United States of America,
13:22for all of those who feel left behind and forgotten,
13:26my message is one of hope.
13:28Change will take time,
13:29but we will fight for that change
13:31and we will deliver that change
13:33and we will never give up on fighting
13:35for the great Canadian promise
13:37that anyone from anywhere can achieve anything,
13:41that hard work gets you a great life
13:44in a beautiful house,
13:45on a safe street,
13:46protected by our brave troops
13:48under our proud flag.
13:52Canada first,
13:53Canada always.
13:54Let's bring it home.
13:55Thank you very much, Canada.
13:57Merci beaucoup, Canada.
13:58...
13:59...
14:01...
14:05...
14:07You're going to get me all choked up here, guys.
14:11Got to keep it together here, folks.
14:13Thank you very much.
14:14The love is amazing.
14:15I appreciate y'all.
14:16Big thank you to Suzanne.
14:18She's been with us from the beginning.
14:20Huge thank you.
14:23Appreciate her so much.
14:25Thank you, thank you.
14:27And all of you in this room,
14:28you guys poured your heart into this.
14:29Thank you so much for everything you've done.
14:31You're amazing.
14:31Love you all.
14:33Love you, man.
14:34And I know,
14:38I know in election parties,
14:40night parties across the country,
14:42people are gathered,
14:44and I want to thank them all
14:45for all their hard work.
14:47They're amazing people
14:48gathered together across the country.
14:49I want to take a moment
14:51to congratulate Prime Minister Carney
14:52on his victory.
14:54He has an important job to do
14:56to represent all Canadians
14:58and to protect our country
15:00and its sovereignty
15:01from the threats of Donald Trump.
15:04Tonight and every night,
15:06all of us here,
15:07we're on Team Canada.
15:09We want Canada to thrive,
15:10and we're going to continue
15:11to fight for Canada.
15:12I want to congratulate
15:29all the other leaders
15:31on a hard-fought campaign.
15:33It's been the honour of my life
15:35to represent the people
15:36of Burnaby Central.
15:37Tonight they chose...
15:42Tonight they chose
15:48a new member of Parliament,
15:49and I wish them well
15:50as they continue to work hard
15:51for this community.
15:53Obviously, I know this night
15:54is a disappointing night
15:55for new Democrats.
15:57We had really good candidates
15:58that lost tonight.
15:59I know how hard you worked.
16:01I spent time with you.
16:02You're amazing.
16:04I'm so sorry you're not going to be able
16:05to represent your communities.
16:06I know you're going to continue
16:07to fight for them.
16:08I know how many doors you knocked,
16:10how many family dinners
16:11you missed,
16:12how many nights your kids
16:13went to bed without you there
16:14to tuck them in.
16:16I know it was a tough sacrifice,
16:17and I just want to thank...
16:18And we can give a round of applause
16:19to every single candidate
16:20that went for us.
16:23Our resources,
16:24our water,
16:25our country.
16:28Never.
16:30But these are not...
16:31These are not idle threats.
16:33President Trump is trying to break us
16:37so that America can own us.
16:40That will never,
16:42that will never, ever happen.
16:45But we...
16:47But we also must recognize
16:51the reality that our world
16:54has fundamentally changed.
16:55There is also,
16:59for me,
17:01as I stand before you this evening,
17:02humility
17:03in recognizing that,
17:05well,
17:06many
17:06have chosen to place
17:08their trust in me,
17:10trust in the Liberal Party.
17:13Millions of our fellow citizens
17:15preferred a different outcome.
17:18Our old relationship
17:19with the United States,
17:20a relationship based
17:22on steadily increasing integration,
17:25is over.
17:27The system
17:28of open global trade,
17:31anchored by the United States,
17:33a system that Canada
17:34has relied on
17:35since the Second World War,
17:37a system that,
17:38while not perfect,
17:40has helped deliver prosperity
17:41for a country for decades.
17:44When I sit down
17:45with President Trump,
17:46it will be to discuss
17:48the future economic
17:50and security relationship
17:51between two sovereign nations.
17:58And it will be,
18:00with our full knowledge,
18:03that we have many,
18:04many other options
18:06in the States
18:07to build prosperity
18:08for all Canadians.