00:00Ultimately, trade is like water.
00:03When countries put an obstacle in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers,
00:09the flow diverts.
00:11Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports.
00:17Others may see shortages.
00:20Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.
00:25We will quantify this cost in our new World Economic Outlook
00:31to be released next week.
00:35In it, and I see our chief economist right here.
00:39He would make the presentation.
00:41In it, our new growth projections will include notable markdowns,
00:47but not recession.
00:49We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries.
01:19In it, we will continue to increase.
01:28The 18 places you are being fuelled by the US and the US and the US.
01:32The 18th quarter of the US will still be addressed with a little more information like this.
01:38The 17th quarter of the US and the US,
01:40the 18th quarter of the US will still be alench.
01:43The 18th quarter of the US will still be divided by the US.