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How India can counter USA and China on Trump tariffs | Homeland
India Today
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4/4/2025
Donald Trump’s new tariffs are shaking up global trade. While China, Vietnam, and others face steep hikes, India has been hit with a 26 per cent tariff— but it’s not all bad news.
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00:00
Donald Trump has announced the tariffs and phew, it's a relief.
00:04
At least now we know exactly where we stand with the USA in trade.
00:08
I think India is positioned to benefit from the new tariff policy of America,
00:14
if this opportunity is tapped into well by our country.
00:18
1. Lower tariffs have been announced on Indian goods compared to other countries.
00:23
2. China has been levied 34%, Bangladesh facing 37%,
00:28
Sri Lanka is facing 44%, Vietnam is facing 46%, some other nations even higher.
00:35
But in Asia what does this mean?
00:37
That India could position and work toward becoming a manufacturing hub to counter China primarily.
00:44
3. America is not in the safe zone completely either.
00:48
They will also face an increased price for consumers eventually on imported goods,
00:52
possibly looking at recession too.
00:54
Let me explain these points to you.
00:56
Trump did what he is known to do, optics, theatrics, full on charts showing on camera and personal remarks.
01:03
He called the 2nd of April as the liberation day.
01:06
But did he really think this through?
01:08
About India and Prime Minister Modi, here's what Donald Trump said.
01:12
India very, very tough, very, very tough.
01:15
Prime Minister just left and he's a great friend of mine but I said,
01:18
you're a friend of mine but you're not treating us right.
01:22
They charge us 52%, you have to understand we charge them almost nothing.
01:26
So India received a tariff of 26%, exactly half of what India levies on the United States of America.
01:32
We expected a lower tariff, yes of course,
01:34
especially after the negotiations and expectations from the bonhomie, the leadership.
01:39
And therefore the commerce ministry has said in the statement that they are studying finer details
01:44
and calling this a mixed bag but not a setback.
01:47
Why not a setback? Look closely.
01:50
The annexure 2 highlights exemptions on certain items that are crucial exports from India
01:56
into the United States of America, especially the pharmaceutical products.
02:00
Items that have been exempted from American tariffs include gold and silver bullion,
02:05
insulin and salts, vitamins and other derivatives, coins, stainless steel, waste and scrap,
02:12
platinum, palladium, basic dye preparation.
02:16
The USA realizes that it cannot afford to have high tariffs on certain issues
02:20
that are important for their internal market and that would otherwise cause a disruption
02:24
on some important items from India.
02:27
India took the negotiation route because eventually trade also has to continue.
02:31
There has been work on mission 500, that is the pledge of 500 billion dollar trade by 2030.
02:38
There have been already meetings and negotiations in the past few months.
02:42
In the 2025 union budget, the Indian government slashed duties on several high capacity motorcycles,
02:48
for example, including Harley Davidson.
02:50
So there was a certain signaling, a step that possibly in turn helped looking at our 26%
02:56
compared to other nations.
02:58
I come to point number 2. Unlike India's negotiations, China took a confrontational route.
03:04
Why is comparison important with China here this time?
03:07
The tariff for China is way higher in comparison. It's 34%.
03:12
But reports suggest that there could be an added tax of 20% due to the charges
03:17
of flow of fentanyl into the USA.
03:20
So unlike India, China therefore has been threatening action.
03:24
They've even vowed a retaliatory tariff against the USA on American goods if the tariffs are not lifted.
03:30
And that tariff could go higher against America.
03:33
This means tensions are bound to rise between the USA and China.
03:36
America also has been planning to counter China for a while now.
03:40
Remember that the Chinese investment in Asian nations has been rampant in the past two decades.
03:45
Small Asian countries like Sri Lanka, Nepal, Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia and Thailand,
03:49
among other nations, are glaring examples of this.
03:52
So there comes an alliance that could pose a danger to India,
03:56
especially how China is known to dominate.
03:58
China and Pakistan together, investing a lot in Pakistan already,
04:02
and then comes in with other countries as well.
04:05
USA has imposed a 49% tariff on Cambodia.
04:09
Some of these nations are fully integrated with China's supply chain.
04:14
So there will have to be possibly a rethink on this too.
04:18
So if there's going to be an impact on the existing trade pattern,
04:21
that is where India can take an advantage.
04:23
Showcasing itself as an alternative for production-related needs,
04:27
not for the companies based in the Western nations,
04:30
but Asian companies too, and especially in the manufacturing sector.
04:34
Attracting both American companies and supporting the smaller Asian nations too.
04:39
So that brings me to point number three.
04:42
For all of Trump's theatrics, can the impact on the US economy also hit negatively?
04:49
Despite Donald Trump promising that these tariffs will benefit the US economy eventually,
04:54
experts say there could be a rethink on this.
04:57
The actions could actually negatively impact the USA economy too.
05:01
For example, how?
05:02
The price of commodities could go up,
05:04
especially in sectors like the automobile industry.
05:07
For instance, car manufacturers using imported parts will have to face a higher price.
05:12
Consumers will have to face the rise in car prices,
05:15
as well as inflation on other commodities.
05:18
Let's now look at where American manufacturers have been investing in.
05:22
Vietnam, for example.
05:24
After the liberation day, Trump imposed a tariff of 46% on Vietnam.
05:29
That means American countries that deal in clothes, toys, furniture,
05:33
could face a potential price hike for customers too back home.
05:36
They could in fact move out of these countries.
05:39
And I'm talking about American companies like Intel, Nike, Murphy Oil, Cargill,
05:45
First Solar, Boeing, among many others that are actively present in Vietnam right now,
05:51
investing heavily there.
05:53
What happens now to the American companies too?
05:57
So American companies whose manufacturing or several sectors,
06:00
especially in apparel, for example, happens in other nations,
06:03
will now get disrupted.
06:06
I have another thought here.
06:07
The USA has definitely ruffled feathers of many countries.
06:11
What if some of these nations, even though facing territorial disputes, for example,
06:15
could decide to come together and forge their own alliance,
06:19
thus looking at options beyond the dollar,
06:22
that is a dominant currency right now in the world.
06:25
So India is currently at crossroads.
06:27
How it really maneuvers that path, which benefits both India and Indian interests,
06:31
will be the real test of diplomacy and geopolitical strategies.
06:35
We will be watching and tracking that closely.
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