00:00you
00:30you
01:00you
01:30you
01:38is expected by the next five years we are targeting to improvement of about
01:4510 to 15 percent from the base year say 2024 now when you move towards 2047
01:51certainly you have to look at what we have achieved in past 25 years if I
01:57compare 1999 super cyclone and now if I compare there has been a hell-and-heaven
02:01difference there is a paradigm shift in the approach of India Meteorology
02:05Department it is an equipped with technological investment in terms of
02:12observations modeling communication infrastructure and also the warning
02:16infrastructure at that time we did not have adequate surface observational
02:21network we did not have adequate operator observational network satellite
02:25picture was available every three hours and there was no Doppler radar now we
02:29have got we're at that time we have got only analog radars we started to one
02:35Doppler radar in 2002 now we got 39 and recent 10 years has been the major
02:40addition in the number of radars so looking at that the achievement while
02:46there was only 24-hour forecast 99 now we are providing forecast up to 5 to 7
02:51days warning I can say that by 2047 ago it will be the warning will be
02:57provided about 10 to 15 days in advance similarly if I look at the forecast
03:01accuracy in the past 10 years there is in 40 to 50 percent improvement so if I
03:08consider 2047 certainly our forecast accuracy will be almost 100% so
03:14therefore I will I will can have a dream while in 2047 that forecast will be
03:20completely accurate for at least three to five days in advance for each and
03:25every severe weather events and also the granular forecast will be provided village
03:29level and household level as for their requirements and the communication will
03:35be such that in the geospatial platform utilizing the artificial intelligence
03:40and our physical models so that whatever customized information is required by
03:45the individual person or the individual family that will be available